8/24/2026 at 7:25:58 PM
The record scratch for me here was the idea that people can choose to be unsure instead of angry.People hate being unsure. Neurochemistry prefers anger to uncertainty. People get angry about being unsure. We feel anger in large part as our brain's natural salve for the discomfort of uncertainty. The suggestion he's making sort of defines away human nature.
(There's a lot of practical benefit to be gained from understanding this; for instance, skilled consultants put a price tag on certainty; you can sell determinism by itself, separate from any product or service you're more overtly offering.)
by tptacek
8/24/2026 at 7:47:08 PM
Perhaps it doesn't come naturally for others and is therefore a bit of a struggle to shift into, but I love being unsure. It's great. It's a thing that's totally okay to be. The reality of life is that we're all unsure about a great deal, and it's quite a nice feeling to acknowledge uncertainty, sit within it and feel okay.by jjulius
8/24/2026 at 7:53:01 PM
People typically do not approach existential uncertainties with such intrepidness. I think this is the case for most people who hate AI. This article glosses over that.by tolerance
8/24/2026 at 7:55:15 PM
I suppose I am one of the people who could technically be lumped into the "hate AI" category, and yet I find myself incredibly comfortable with the uncertainty around where things are going. Perhaps it's because, as I previously mentioned, I have always enjoyed the feeling of uncertainty (and I recognize that's not the norm for most), but it's also because the entire thing feels so hyperbolic from all angles that I can't help but assume that whatever happens will be somewhere "in the middle" of all the rhetoric everyone's spouting from everywhere.I also have a very, "The world's gonna do what the world's gonna do, the best I can do is find my path through and flow with it," attitude about, well... most things. Maybe that helps? Maybe I'm talking out of my ass rn? I'm unsure! :)
by jjulius
8/24/2026 at 8:08:33 PM
No, I think that you're on to something and I wish you kept the original version of this part of your comment (yes I caught your edit and have it on my clipboard still!) because it touched on what I think about the whole "existential" bit of my own comment a bit more direct (but I think your edit expresses your attitude more sophisticatedly).Few people have anything that comes anywhere near any sort of philosophical foundation that they can rely on to weather their anxieties. If anything they only strengthen their sensibility to express—and compound—their worries.
by tolerance
8/24/2026 at 7:59:34 PM
There’s absolutely nothing existential about a program that guesses the next word based on the last.by grebc
8/24/2026 at 9:16:26 PM
There’s absolutely nothing existential about a tiny powder that just combusts very quickly.by ricketycricket
8/24/2026 at 8:06:25 PM
Truly such a first-order Markov chain would not be a threat but it turns out that they have built a program that guesses the next word based on the last few hundred thousand and it turns out that it works pretty well for writing software.by arjie
8/24/2026 at 9:56:40 PM
Keep diving down the chain brother, I’m sure you’ll find the singularity down there somewhere.by grebc
8/24/2026 at 8:00:00 PM
There is if you're a software developer!by tptacek
8/24/2026 at 8:05:52 PM
[flagged]by the_great_talke
8/24/2026 at 8:13:04 PM
For what it's worth...I launched tptacek's Markdown viewer, mdv, like yesterday.by tolerance
8/24/2026 at 9:18:05 PM
It is flat out not a nice feeling to experience uncertainty about things like "can I pay for someone to look after my child so I can go to work?" and "will I have food to eat this weekend?". For some people, "will AI mean my job goes away next year?" leads directly to those concrete uncertainties, and they understand that, and that is why they don't enjoy the uncertainty they are currently feeling. I'm guessing that for you, those first two concerns have not come up?by lazyasciiart
8/24/2026 at 10:01:21 PM
Sure! Uncertainty is a spectrum, and there are certainly moments where it's not a nice feeling. I'm a father, and I'd be lying if I said I haven't had those feelings over the years. My (making it very clear here that one's mileage will obviously vary) approach?I don't know what's going to happen. Maybe I'll need to figure out childcare, maybe I won't. Maybe I'll have food to eat this weekend, maybe I won't. Maybe my job will go away next year, maybe it won't. Today, there's work, and I'll do that work as best I can. Today, there's evidence things are changing, and I can be aware of that. Today, I can do something prudent to make myself more resilient towards whatever may or may not happen. Tomorrow, if something happens, I can react accordingly.
The mind wants certainty, but that's not always available, so I observe the "wanting". The best I can do is act based on what's in front of me, and sitting in the negative emotions around existential thoughts doesn't help me, nor my family (it's natural to have them, but I acknowledge them and let them pass by). The best I can do is to do. If things change, I change. Everything in nature/life is ephemeral, and I have done my best throughout my life to set myself up to be as adaptable as possible.
Edit: To reduce this and get a bit Tao-ish, you don't need to know the exact shape of the river downstream as long as you're capable of steering when you get there.
by jjulius
8/25/2026 at 2:37:09 AM
> I don't know what's going to happen. Maybe I'll need to figure out childcare, maybe I won't. Maybe I'll have food to eat this weekend, maybe I won't. Maybe my job will go away next year, maybe it won't. Today, there's work, and I'll do that work as best I can. Today, there's evidence things are changing, and I can be aware of that. Today, I can do something prudent to make myself more resilient towards whatever may or may not happen. Tomorrow, if something happens, I can react accordingly.I take it you've never worked on realtime software. :)
For most Americans with kids, if they don't figure out childcare they will miss deadlines. By missing deadlines they risk systemic failures: failure to make enough income to eat, keep their job, pay for healthcare, etc.
It's easy to get Tao-ish about meeting deadlines when your buffer is above 100k.
by jancsika
8/25/2026 at 3:33:36 AM
My buffer is below that, and I've absolutely dealt with missing deadlines such as those in the past, yet this mindset and approach to the world has managed to keep me sane throughout. :)That's not to say that things aren't easier or harder at different levels, but you can still approach life from that perspective no matter where you are at. I've always lived a life far from the the income levels that are common around these parts, and this is how I've to sustained myself and remained happy.
by jjulius
8/24/2026 at 10:23:33 PM
Okay, but why get angry about it? Getting angry at things you can't do anything about is just silly, and if you can do something about it, get motivated instead of angry.by stronglikedan
8/25/2026 at 1:03:15 AM
Are you asking why emotions aren't logical?by akerl_
8/24/2026 at 7:59:39 PM
The observation here is basically a corollary to the idea that people experience loss outcomes differently than gain outcomes. It's not complicated or fuzzy.by tptacek
8/24/2026 at 10:57:41 PM
It's just not true that "neurochemistry prefers" one state over the other. Neurochemistry rewards you based on how you've trained yourself.We used to gain status by being good hunters and warriors, and now we're trying to get it through clever hacker news comments. Believe me, "human nature" is very flexible.
People are just uncomfortable with uncertainty when they're not used to it. I think most of us have trained ourselves out of a lot of intense emotions in favor of seeing the big picture. I could give a hundred examples of this.
by asdfman123
8/25/2026 at 1:26:15 AM
> Neurochemistry rewards you based on how you've trained yourself.And how society has trained you. Most people understand the social impacts of appearing anxious and unsure. It's bad in pretty much every situation. I would say in most cases being angry will lead to better outcomes.
by 121789
8/25/2026 at 1:42:27 AM
Selling certainty is one of the oldest and the most consistently profitable industries in the world. We call it insuranceby hammock
8/25/2026 at 1:47:43 AM
> We call it insuranceI really expected this sentence to read “we call it religion”.
by fn-mote
8/25/2026 at 2:22:17 AM
Me too. I wasn’t expecting to find religion and insurance that close conceptually todayby tudorconstantin
8/24/2026 at 10:16:56 PM
Big +1. Uncertainty is where we learn, and where non-zero-sum games are, but most western AI labs right now operate firmly in zero-sum game territory.by janpeuker
8/24/2026 at 11:03:22 PM
In a zero sum game, resources are neither created or destroyed, just fought over by competing parties or converted losslessly from one type into another. So far, this industry is negative sum by a long shot.Maybe one day AI will make a contribution that's so awesome that we'll look back at all of the harm it's causing and say that it was worth it, but that day... zero sum day... seems distant indeed.
by __MatrixMan__
8/24/2026 at 10:39:33 PM
I think I’m angry b/c I’m unsure but so many people are claiming to be sure without sufficient evidence.by dimbletimbers
8/24/2026 at 10:08:33 PM
>People hate being unsure.I disagree with this and the same patronizing attitude of the article. We live in an age where being anxious, unsure and neurotic isn't just tolerated but encouraged. The reason is pretty obvious, anxious people are paralyzed, self-critical and as a consequence harmless. Hence Alfred Adlers profound insight, we don't suffer from anxiety, we produce it because it's a safeguarding mechanism against conflict, it's an excuse for not acting. That's why it's everywhere today.
The author is right that anger is directed at someone, and in this AI shitshow where developers have technology shoved unto them some righteous old testament anger at the people responsible would be a very productive thing indeed. In the words of Utah Phillips The Earth is not dying, it is being killed, and the people who are killing it have names and addresses.
Anxious people in the workplace tend to have no agency, they go to the pill doctor or ask themselves if they're at fault, angry people organize make their interests heard. It's pretty obvious why the tech 'luminaries' in charge prefer one over the other.
by Barrin92