7/5/2026 at 11:43:24 AM
to me, these heatwaves feel like the start of the end of human existenceby Natfan
7/5/2026 at 11:59:55 AM
Nah. It's really as simple as this: Southern climates are moving north. (In the northern hemisphere.) If you want a vision of the future, consider a New England that looks more like the Southeast.There will be winners and losers. As climate zones move toward the poles, weather patterns and agricultural viability will shift with them. This will eventually turn current breadbaskets into deserts while warming up northern/southern regions for longer growing seasons.
Various regions will cross ecological thresholds, causing sudden, dramatic shifts in local climates. For example, a warmer Earth could bring monsoon rains back to the Sahara and Arabian deserts, turning them green once again. In general, a warmer world is a wetter world due to increased oceanic evaporation.
Sea levels will gradually begin rising, but perhaps at a rate of 1-2" per year. It takes a lot of heat to melt glaciers.
Human existence is not in doubt on account of the climate alone -- our prehistoric forebears had a lot worse to deal with -- but there could be mass population movements and alterations in how agriculture is handled globally. Current political structures are not up to this challenge.
by A_D_E_P_T
7/5/2026 at 12:09:29 PM
That's how it starts, sure.Give that state you described another 50 odd years again and things can get worse - the land based glaciers are already greatly reduced, almost gone. The bulky polar ice is retreating a little - but the warming sea surface is the thing, it'll carry warm water and melt more and more ice.
Now it's fun and games for predicting what comes next - the insulation in the atmosphere is still increasing and the same amount of trapped energy that now goes to turning a mass of ice to a mass of water (at much the same temperature) will now turn to raising that same mass of water from near 0 C to about 60 C (roughly IIRC) - speeding up ice melts.
There's also the increasing amounts of water and methane in the atmosphere that come along with rising temperatures, these are much much better insulators that measly old CO2 and will serve to trap ever more energy from the sun.
Geophysically that's how this all goes in the absence of any serious reduction of insulation in the atmosphere.
by defrost
7/5/2026 at 12:06:35 PM
Climate change itself is not gonna endanger humans as a species, but secondary effects might. Such as wars resulting from dramatic shifts in the value of territories and wars over resources.by mike_hock
7/5/2026 at 12:13:12 PM
War won't end human existence. If there's one thing you can learn from the recent wars in Iran and Ukraine, it's that conventional air-bombing has acquired a terrible cost:efficacy ratio that cannot be sustained, that drones have leveled the playing field on the ground, and that attackers generally appear to lack the stomach for mass mobilization and mass casualties in war.Again, there'll be winners and losers. Some in fortresses; others in famines and droughts. It is, of course, imperative that we do what we can do now to mitigate this. But the continuation of the human species is, I am sure, not in doubt. Our ancestors in prehistoric times have, assuredly, gone through FAR worse, including real population bottlenecks.
by A_D_E_P_T
7/5/2026 at 12:15:32 PM
War definitely can end technological civilization. Bootstrapping it again will be quite difficult as a lot of the easily accessible natural resources are already depleted.by adrianN
7/5/2026 at 12:31:22 PM
> Bootstrapping it again will be quite difficult as a lot of the easily accessible natural resources are already depleted.That's a myth, but let's assume it isn't. I'm thinking it sounds like a job for you.
Okay, here's what you've gotta do. Buy some titanium slabs. Etch onto them, in simple and decipherable language (there's a technical way to approach this, I can explain later,) the secrets of solar panels, how to refine scrap metal, the basics of modern materials science, and so forth. Include the secrets of nuclear power, germ theory, semiconductors, DNA, important mathematical and physical formulae, and whatever else you feel like they ought to know. Warn them against the once-low-hanging fruit of fossil fuel; tell them that hydrocarbons ought to be used as chemical building blocks, solely.
Bury the slabs in a seismically stable vault, and leave clues to its existence at various geographic landmarks.
That's it, you've saved technological civilization in 50,000AD.
by A_D_E_P_T
7/5/2026 at 2:23:54 PM
Any high technology has incredibly long dependency chains. I think you seriously underestimate the difficulty of bootstrapping, say, WW2 level tech from irradiated wastelands after major nuclear exchanges.by adrianN
7/5/2026 at 2:52:14 PM
"Irradiated wastelands" -- surely you realize that Hiroshima and Nagasaki are large cities today? Harmful radiation usually doesn't stay harmful for very long.In any case, I don't share your low opinion of future humans. They'll be as capable as we are; maybe far more capable.
You also over-estimate and over-weight how destructive nuclear exchanges really are, the readiness state of the world's nuclear arsenals, and the willingness of their possessors to lash out at effectively unaligned countries like Argentina, Chile, Austria, Morocco, Fiji, and I could go on all day.
by A_D_E_P_T
7/5/2026 at 7:13:16 PM
> surely you realize that Hiroshima and Nagasaki are large cities today?I don't think you understand the massive difference in scale between detonating a couple of atom bombs vs. thousands of thermonuclear devices, each with at least an order of magnitude (~16 kt vs hundreds) more destructive power. Nevermind the vast fallout dispersal that would blanket the northern hemisphere at least, as well as the ridiculous amounts of soot in the atmosphere from the resulting firestorms that would, to put it mildly, be a bit of a setback for agricultural yields for a damn long time. You might be okay in those unaligned places, sure, bit if you're in roughly half of the world you're pretty much effed.
by nmeagent
7/5/2026 at 12:28:00 PM
You seem to forget about hydrogen bombs. War can 100% end everything.by Dumblydorr
7/5/2026 at 12:31:38 PM
Depends if that war turns nuclear. Perhaps a few million will survive with sustinance living in areas like patagonia, new zealand, global population of nomadic tribes around the same level as pre-agricutural civilisation - say about 10k years agoby iso1631
7/5/2026 at 12:27:18 PM
> our prehistoric forebears had a lot worse to deal withDo you mean in terms of climate change? I know some temperatures were different but this was much more gradual afaik, which is no problem for anyone with two feet and a sense of where to go, but they were much more dependent on the ecosystem which struggles to keep up with the speed of today's changes
From what I hear, what we're causing is unprecedented for humans. Not dinosaur meteorite level of course (it's not an overnight change) but an ecosystem extinction event is nevertheless going on (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_extinction)
I agree with the broader point that we'll survive and the question is more about the amount of suffering we inflict on ourselves and other animals along the way. Just curious if any old human (or even any great ape from the 'homo' genus) did experience worse
by Aachen
7/5/2026 at 12:37:35 PM
Prehistoric climate change was sometimes much more sudden than anything we've experienced. See e.g.: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Younger_DryasThere are others.
by A_D_E_P_T
7/5/2026 at 2:50:10 PM
The present has accepted this challenge. As Wiki states: "The scientific consensus is that severe AMOC weakening explains the climatic effects of the Younger Dryas." And with the news about AMOC weakening today, we could as well be off to quicker temperature swings (particularly in Europe) than we've seen the last decades that might well challenge the Younger Dryas.by Tarsul
7/5/2026 at 1:02:56 PM
"in the tropics, the cooling was spread out over several centuries" but "2–6 °C in Europe and up to 10 °C in Greenland, in a few decades. Cooling in Greenland was particularly rapid, taking place over just 3 years or less"That's indeed a lot more extreme in a shorter amount of time, at least regionally. Feel like I should have known that! Thanks
by Aachen
7/5/2026 at 12:55:14 PM
Let’s say the end of our civilization and going back to middle age or something like that.by illiac786
7/5/2026 at 1:00:20 PM
The middle ages were in the middle of something called "the little ice age" which was entirely different and, obviously, mostly had the opposite effect.The most dramatic story about that is what happened to the settling of Greenland (more than once). Basically during a cold spell the city was gradually abandoned, with sometimes the last few people literally freezing to death when their fuel ran out.
by spwa4
7/5/2026 at 2:07:08 PM
I think you missed my point. What’s coming will obviously not be the middle age, that’s in the past. It will still be bad.by illiac786
7/5/2026 at 2:56:38 PM
[dead]by cindyllm
7/5/2026 at 12:16:38 PM
This is… one way to look at the death of billions, the end of nations, and the collapse of society due to the ensuing refugee crises.Not to forget, we are dependent on the food web. These changes mean species will be wiped out, fishing stocks will crash, and invasive will spread.
Since you are likely in the developed world, tropical temps in Europe would mean refurbishment of houses.
People won’t remember things like the lakes freezing over or ice skating.
by intended
7/5/2026 at 2:31:44 PM
> collapse of society due to the ensuing refugee crisesSociety won't collapse. Humans will do amazingly evil things to survive. The British were happy to starved millions of Indians to death until the country gained independence. All to support the British empire. We live in an era of basically unprecedented niceness in the history of humanity. Even the great empires of the past oppressed and killed multitudes more through slavery or serfdom or constant expansionist wars or other such means.
> refurbishment of houses
Perfect work for refugees to do at gun point.
Billions may die but society will go on with a somewhat lower regard for life and a larger amount of nationalism. Arguably what we consider western society will collapse but that's only existed for under a century.
In some ways that is more depressing than society simply collapsing. We will leave behind a rotting zombified corpse of our society to future generations.
by bob001
7/5/2026 at 5:41:55 PM
> Billions may die but society will go on with a somewhat lower regard for life and a larger amount of nationalism. Arguably what we consider western society will collapse but that's only existed for under a century.It is easy to write provocative things when we do not let ourselves bear the weight of their implication. This is horror being outlined.
In earnest conversation, these are sombre and sobering implications, not frivolous or minor things.
This is a sea of humans, extending from one end of the horizon to the other, hungry, lost, frightened, confused, sad and angry. It is the loss of culture, history and fascinating things that one cherishes.
by intended
7/5/2026 at 12:45:16 PM
Even anatomically modern humans have gone through similar events several times in the history of our species, let alone our ancestors. Climate change itself will not be the end of humanity, but it may be the end of the current civilisation.by usrnm
7/5/2026 at 1:03:42 PM
There are several highly problematic areas, but they are local (very, very big, but local, not remotely close to covering the whole of human civilization).by spwa4
7/5/2026 at 2:05:12 PM
I am curious how humanity is not affected as a whole by climate change.You already said these are massive geographic issues.
Yet these different, large, geographic problems are of a size that doesn’t end up having even a remote effect on human civilization?
How? Is there some geography which is not impacted at all? A geography where a massive portion of human civilization is situated?
by intended
7/5/2026 at 12:43:10 PM
> the collapse of society due to the ensuing refugee crisesThis is what worries me.
At some point more northern facing countries will decide enough is enough and start mass genocide of any population attempting to flee.
Europe will be ok with just killing a few hundred million trying to flee in boats, and the eastern frontier is securable, especially with drones, but even with conscripts. Hell Ukraine has done a solid job on its own against an organised army on its doorstep.
America will act as a buffer for Canada and will have no problem with wiping out refugees. Argentina will be interesting but it's too small and isolated to matter globally.
The big global risk is that India and Pakistan have nukes and will be trying to flee into China and central Asia.
Setting aside refugees, far bigger risk for Europe isn't reurbishment of housing, it's tropical diseases in the south, it's the collapse of food security, and the general collapse of society as the economy falls over.
by iso1631
7/5/2026 at 1:58:53 PM
I agree.I find it very difficult to maintain an even tone and address statements that posit climate change positive effects on society.
There are so many incredibly bad things about climate change it boggles the mind.
I try and believe people are burying their heads in the sand to avoid the pain of reckoning with the end of everything they hold dear. This ends up with punches being pulled.
by intended
7/5/2026 at 12:32:23 PM
One thing. "Longer growing season" is not predicated upon temperature. Length of the day, sunlight, is a hard requirement for some plants. And the further north you go, the less the sun gets up over rhe horizon, even at noon.So extending the time before frost, won't help many plants reach maturity. The days will be shorter, and when the sun comes up there is barely any light anyhow. Raw "daylight hours" are meaningless here, when the sun only gets barely over the norizon.
One month of June light is like 6 months of December light in much of Canada.
by b112
7/5/2026 at 11:45:15 AM
People one or two generations before you felt that about the cold war.by inigyou
7/5/2026 at 11:49:21 AM
I think thats the wrong level of abstraction. The cold war ended, but clima change will not end.by notrealyme123
7/5/2026 at 12:43:23 PM
Of course it will. There is a finite amount of fossil fuels and it'll become uneconomical to use before those are fully exhausted. Give it some more years (say, a few hundred) after the last car fleet and power plant switched away and the climate will have triggered any tipping points it's going to tip. Then the animals that haven't adapted will soon have finished going extinct, the ocean finished warming up with its lag effect, and climate change is finished changingAfter that it's 'over' no? The world map is redrawn (many countries' shapes will look different), people that needed to move have moved or got killed (quite possibly by territorial humans refusing to let them onto livable land), but it'll settle into a new normal eventually
by Aachen
7/5/2026 at 12:56:56 PM
That's the correct level of pedantic answer my comment deserves. Everything is true. Clima change will stop, how much of humanity or human society survives is open, but yes it will stop.by notrealyme123
7/5/2026 at 12:58:48 PM
I think they meant "end before the near-extinction of humanity", but yes, it eventually will reach another steady state one way or another.by InsideOutSanta
7/5/2026 at 12:00:58 PM
The word abstraction does not mean the same thing as the words analogy or comparison.by epgui
7/5/2026 at 1:06:34 PM
Yes absolutely. They are different things . I am using "level of abstraction" in a sense to find a useful amount of details to drop or keep, which in turn makes an analogy/comparison possible.by notrealyme123
7/5/2026 at 4:08:08 PM
Wow, you have the patience of a saint. It seems you have almost nobody actually engaging in discussion and instead trying to nitpick and play word games.by Tadpole9181
7/5/2026 at 5:30:48 PM
Hahaha ouch - and thank you. I think this particular topic is not about being right, but about revealing wild claims as what they are.Answering to nitpicking and word plays is just fun along the way.
by notrealyme123
7/5/2026 at 11:57:05 AM
It can change, if we get to net negative emissions. Not probable but possible.by underdeserver
7/5/2026 at 12:17:10 PM
It will just take at least three or four generations to get back to 90's climate, provided we don't trigger any irreversible tipping points, like the melting of the permafrost, in which case the climate is messed up for millennia.by adrianN
7/5/2026 at 4:52:42 PM
The melting of the permafrost is already underway and it's not looking good for any hope of it slowing down, and that's only one (of many) irreversible tipping point we're facing right now. But hey, it'll be fine because it's all just "fake news" anyhow. (I wish that were actually true about it not being real, but it's crystal clear to anyone with an IQ higher than a houseplant that the scientists were right all along and we really should have started acting on all this stuff decades ago.) :(by blooalien
7/5/2026 at 12:13:38 PM
Or solar geoengineering? Which is scary but becoming more likely it seems.by phreeza
7/5/2026 at 12:17:21 PM
> The cold war endedYou wouldn't know it based on how everyone talks about Russia pulling the strings of just about every election (and being a moment away from conquering Europe while simultaneously being too incompetent to beat Ukraine).
by xienze
7/5/2026 at 5:14:38 PM
> and being a moment away from conquering Europe while simultaneously being too incompetent to beat UkraineTBF, I don't think anyone has seriously espoused this fear since the war in Ukraine bogged down. It's become very clear that NATO folks overestimated Russia's conventional military capability - and along with the Russians, underestimated how rapidly drone warfare was evolving.
The cold-war era risk still facing us is more that one of the unhinged megalomaniacs currently in power in Moscow/Washington decides to press the big red button and end it all
by swiftcoder
7/5/2026 at 1:17:07 PM
An animal is most dangerous when deeply wounded.by Paradigma11
7/5/2026 at 12:32:49 PM
Let me remind you that launching nuclear weapons close to your border is an issue, launching them half a continent away not so much.by genericacct
7/5/2026 at 12:29:13 PM
Russia is great at stuff that can be automated cheaply like influence campaigns. They're not so great at physical hardware and logistics and so forth. Not everyone is good at everything.Messing with elections by fooling the most volatile and eager to be fooled is not a genius move.
by DFHippie
7/5/2026 at 11:52:14 AM
Nuclear winter may cancel it out.by iso1631
7/5/2026 at 11:51:47 AM
The conditions leading to the Cold War were reversible, this crisis is becoming very much less so. Despite what the carbon capture techno optimists say.by IneffablePigeon
7/5/2026 at 12:56:56 PM
If you actually look at the numbers of carbon capture its entirely obvious that it can't work. It's honestly strange to me that they even waste money on it, personally I think it's a distraction - "look we're working on a fix, now let us just pump up the rest of this oil in the mean time and we'll definitely fix it later".In order to just offset our current emissions, we would need around a million carbon capture facilities equivalent to the largest one we currently have. For comparison, the number of power plants in the entire world is a few tens of thousands. So we'd need maybe like 50 times as many capture plants as we currently have power plants.
Like it's not even in the neighbourhood of realistic, it's just completely infeasible and I am sure engineers know that. You basically need to suck the whole atmosphere through facilities, and there's a lot of atmosphere.
by sfn42
7/5/2026 at 8:06:11 PM
I think you're measuring one method against a goal it wasn't set for. I assume you are referring to Mammoth direct air capture in your comment -- Stratos in Texas will soon be up, at ~15x the size of Mammoth. But DAC is only one method, and it's the hardest to scale. Just look at options outside of DAC, like Vaulted Deep, whose costs (financially and energy-wise) are far lower.I do agree that it's unlikely that we can ignore reduction and just depend on purely scaling capture, especially if we care about avoiding more negative climate effects as the scaling goes on. But to say it is "completely infeasible" is not accurate.
by rsanek
7/5/2026 at 12:12:31 PM
>The conditions leading to the Cold War were reversible, this crisis is becoming very much less so.During the covid start lockdowns when everyone was forced to WFH and nobody was driving to work for a couple of weeks, we saw a massive decrease in CO2 and emissions. So it can be reversed, we just don't want to because we gotta keep the GDP hamster wheel moving
by joe_mamba
7/5/2026 at 12:18:14 PM
We did not see a massive decrease. We saw a short-lived drop to levels normal in the mid tens. It is barely a blip on the graph. WFH won’t save us, unfortunately.by rsynnott
7/5/2026 at 12:29:33 PM
My bad, I was only talking about the readings in my city, not the whole planet. I assumed it would scale to the whole planet in that period.by joe_mamba
7/5/2026 at 1:05:11 PM
Ah. I’d consider _city-level_ readings an absolutely useless metric here, because, particularly if it’s a city with a large commuter hinterland, a lot of people were simply not present in the city, but still existed out there somewhere, running their heating/cooling/etc. Daytime populations of large cities generally dropped during the covid wfh period, so yeah, no shit CO2 emissions dropped; people were off emitting CO2 elsewhere.by rsynnott
7/5/2026 at 11:52:07 AM
The cold war never heated up.Even if we stopped using fossil fuels tomorrow, it will take millennia for the climate to return to normal.
by TheOtherHobbes
7/5/2026 at 1:08:12 PM
> it will take millennia for the climate to return to normalNo. There is no such thing as "normal" climate. It's ever changing. We're just making the change a whole lot faster.
by tasuki
7/5/2026 at 12:19:38 PM
Won't the climate change naturally even in the absence of fossil fuels? Like it has during all of history? What's "normal" is based on a small slice of human history, which itself is a small slice of the planet's history.by xienze
7/5/2026 at 1:15:16 PM
Your question betrays the fact that you simply don't understand the scale of what's happening.Imagine a line chart. It displays average global temperature over millions of years. It goes up a little, it goes down a little, it fluctuates over time. That's the natural change. It occurs over thousands and millions of years.
Looking at the last few decades on that chart, you'll see a wall. It's going almost straight up compared to the rest that just meanders lazily. You can see a few other similar peaks on the chart many millions of years in the past, they generally correspond with things like apocalyptic meteorite impacts etc. And even then the change occurs much more slowly than what we're seeing now.
It's honestly insane to me that we're watching the world end and half of people are like "but are we sure this isn't normal?"
Yes we're sure. We double checked. Just look at any "global average temperature" chart and try to predict where it's going. This isn't the stock market it won't just randomly start doing something else. The movement we're seeing is directly correlated to our ghg emissions, and there's a lag - the effects of current emissions won't be fully seen until up to two decades from now. So even if we stopped right now it would continue warming for decades.
Warming also releases more GHGs. As poles and permafrost thaws, enormous amounts of methane are released that was previously trapped, further accelerating warming and acting as a positive feedback loop on top of our steadily rising emissions.
In short were fucked, we know it, and anyone who doesn't know is not paying attention.
by sfn42
7/5/2026 at 12:30:25 PM
It isn't the fact of change but the rate of change which is anomalous.by DFHippie
7/5/2026 at 11:50:50 AM
Well, they had a point, and we've got pretty close to that outcome. It didn't happen, thus today we're able to discuss the fact that it didn't happen.by freetonik
7/5/2026 at 11:51:53 AM
There's a lot of worry about the future, and has been since world-ending threats became apparentHowever while apocalypse scenarios (Nuclear war, asteroid impact, AI powered biological warfare) are low likelihood, extreme impact, climate change is extreme likelihood and high impact, not just the immediate effect on places like Europe, Canada etc, but also from the conflicts that climate change will drive, which in turn may escalate to those extreme impact nuclear wars.
On a 5x5 matrix, grand extinction events would be a 5 for effect but a 1 for likelihood, putting them in a "medium-high" category
Climate change is a 3-4 on effect but a 4-5 o likelihood, putting them in a "very-high" risk category
by iso1631
7/5/2026 at 11:59:01 AM
Space weather that would bring down our systems is not such low likelihood.I am not convinced nuclear war or biological warfare are as unlikely as you think. We have historically had narrow escapes from nuclear war.
by graemep
7/5/2026 at 12:16:00 PM
Let's just say that, if we're talking likelihood, climate change is the "we've already smashed the button and are now debating whether we should get in the vault" category.by pyrale
7/5/2026 at 12:03:45 PM
Climate change also greatly increases the chance of a huge global conflict breaking out.by hyperbovine
7/5/2026 at 12:16:13 PM
It might raise the chance of some conflicts (e.g. over Antarctica or Russia's border) and some land grabs, but I cannot see it leading to a world war.by graemep
7/5/2026 at 4:08:10 PM
India and Pakistan are both reliant on the Indus River for their agriculture. The Indus has its source in glaciers in the Himalayas. As those glaciers disappear, the Indus will deliver less water, and deliver it much less reliably (melting ice and snow provides a nice steady flow, runoff less so).So: you have two nuclear powers who are both relying on the same diminishing resource to feed their people. Do you not see how that could cause....tension?
by water-data-dude
7/5/2026 at 6:50:42 PM
Yes, but that would be a regional, not global conflict. There are already tensions over it and plenty of other tensions between India and Pakistan. the comment I replied to claimed it would cause a "huge global conflict" - i.e. world war. Serious as a war between India and Pakistan would be I would not characterise it in the same way as, say, an all out war between the US and China.by graemep
7/5/2026 at 12:27:24 PM
That largely depends on to what degree food production collapses in newly-tropical regions. A whole bunch of staple agricultural production isn't going to survive widespread drought and heatwaves, and everyone dependent on those food sources is going to end up very hungry, and taking a hard look at cooler neighbouring regions...by swiftcoder
7/5/2026 at 12:04:01 PM
The prophecies always were about water stress and food security. How that plays out, I don't know.If it's anything like the recent energy spikes it means burdening future generations of wealthy countries with subsidised amenities while others go without.
by ricardo81
7/5/2026 at 12:23:44 PM
There is a lot of desertification of farmland going on, including in the USA.It gets abstracted away for richer countries as they can outbid the poorer countries for food. In developed economies, most of a particular piece of food's price is not the costs that go to the farmer, but costs that come later in the process, so that cost increasing is also felt less.
Heatwaves on the other hand affect the western countries directly.
by est31
7/5/2026 at 12:06:43 PM
When food and water become scare, conflicts arise.by newsclues
7/5/2026 at 12:53:46 PM
yes, essentially. But gets hidden behind wealthier countries tucking away the debt.by ricardo81
7/5/2026 at 12:00:09 PM
Relax, it's just the start of more Air Con sales in Europe.by khurs
7/5/2026 at 12:07:12 PM
Buy aircon stocks now!by mike_hock
7/5/2026 at 12:10:55 PM
uk here. I've been trying to by a portable AC unit for a couple of weeks and every single retailer is sold out nationwide.by gh2k
7/5/2026 at 12:51:35 PM
Don't get the portable ones. I made the mistake in 2019 and the thing is abysmally loud, barely gets the temperature 2 degrees lower in a single room, uses twice as much electricity as the rest of the household combined, and you still can't work from the heat and noise. That's with a window replaced by an insulating panel with a round cut-out for the hose, not a cracked window like you see most people needing to do. I've compared about two dozen units in a spreadsheet and this one was clearly the best buy, so I don't think it's just my unitI totally recommend airco but only the split units that actually provide relief. Still a lot of energy but I feel differently about that consumption when it's not mostly wasted
The mobile ones are nice to aim at you though, I'll give them that much. For the effect they give, you might nearly just as well run it outside (anywhere in the shade) and aim it at you. Then the noise also doesn't reflect off the walls so that's more bearable, too
Btw the split units, as a bonus, can usually also heat the room(s) they're in. The UK has quite a lot of (planned) wind power year round, so reducing gas consumption will also cut back on the fuels that are causing this
by Aachen
7/5/2026 at 6:26:37 PM
A lot of people are renting in UK now, so they will need permission to install a perm one?by khurs
7/5/2026 at 11:51:37 AM
Serious question, are you doing a simple extrapolation and assuming in 10 years Europe is going to have 60C heatwaves or something?by xienze
7/5/2026 at 12:16:36 PM
The french government (more pro-business than pro-ecology, but not climate deniers) is seriously planning for how to manage 55C heatwaves around the half of the century.Because climate scientists agree that's what's coming (except for extreme, immediate reduction of fossil fuel burning).
by lefra
7/5/2026 at 12:23:02 PM
no, im running on the assumption that the heat will stay at around 35C but get progressively longer, for months at a time countries that have developed around ~20C heat will not be able to cope. many people will die.by Natfan
7/5/2026 at 12:08:25 PM
This doesn't sound like a serious questionby pillefitz
7/5/2026 at 12:15:00 PM
It does when people start talking about a heatwave as being the "start of the end of human existence." It strongly implies that these trends will wipe out humanity in very short order. Perhaps even within the lifetimes of people in this thread.What I find most amusing is people somehow think climate change will end humanity faster than what's _actually_ on track to do so, and quickly: people having children well below replacement levels.
by xienze
7/5/2026 at 12:33:06 PM
> people having children well below replacement levelsYou do realise that the global population is still increasing? While birthrates are falling, we aren't even predicted to hit the peak for another half-century. Even pessimistic estimates put it in the 2200s before we fall back to current population levels.
Which is ~100 years longer than current estimates give us before the effects of climate change starts taking a bite out of the world population
by swiftcoder
7/5/2026 at 12:37:05 PM
I too am curious as to why that is the feature they are concerned about.As I recall there was a UN survey that found financial security was the most common reason for adults across the globe to choose not having children.
Income levels are highly dependent on the degree of stability and monthly expenses that households can expect.
by intended
7/5/2026 at 4:02:12 PM
It's probably also worth mentioning that nobody predicts birthrates to fall indefinitely - the human race isn't just going to die out because multi-child families are less common. Instead we expect that as affluence becomes more evenly distributed, the whole thing will stabilise at a lower population (and ideally one that leads to less competition for natural resources)Outside of "great replacement" types who are worried about the continued supply of purebred aryans, I'm not really sure why anyone would be concerned by this
by swiftcoder
7/5/2026 at 4:28:27 PM
> Outside of "great replacement" types.That is what stood out to me as well, but I could be doing them a disservice.
by intended
7/5/2026 at 12:21:30 PM
Both are temporary. Hopefully the reduction in population leads to a more sustainable humanity that changes the climate less.BTW both of these have been predicted since the 80s.
by inigyou
7/5/2026 at 11:54:11 AM
If we don't nuke ourselves first.by pjmlp
7/5/2026 at 12:39:14 PM
Yeah, that seems like our only realistic solution to the climate crisis.by abroszka33
7/5/2026 at 1:20:27 PM
We were somehow on the good path after covid, then world leaders decided killing each other folks was more relevant goal, followed by making big tech bros even more rich with AI centers.Meanwhile paperstraws, and glued bottle caps, are supposed to save the planet.
by pjmlp
7/5/2026 at 11:46:53 AM
Research past heat waves in Europe. Did your grand parents felt the same as you?by yde_java
7/5/2026 at 12:23:48 PM
Yeah it's true, Europe has had heat waves in the past. For instance, in 1540. Also 1779. And also 1906, 1947, 1964, 1976, 2003, 2006, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025.Frequency? Do I look like a statistician to you?!
by pyrale
7/5/2026 at 12:37:54 PM
I do not know about Europe as a whole, but 1911 was pretty bad in the UK: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1911_United_Kingdom_heatwaveby graemep
7/5/2026 at 12:50:01 PM
Popular Mechanics, March 1912 — an article titled “Remarkable Weather of 1911: The Effect of the Combustion of Coal on the Climate.”https://www.livescience.com/63334-coal-affecting-climate-cen...
Have you read this before? Great read.
by bamboozled
7/5/2026 at 2:50:17 PM
I have not read that article, but I was aware Arrhenius calculated the effects of CO2 on global temperatures earlier. AFAIK his models has held up very well, possibly because of its simplicity compared to current models (I tend to distrust complex models).by graemep
7/5/2026 at 12:05:15 PM
Well, this month has been the absolute record temperatures so we can't say what they would think since they never experienced thatby realusername
7/5/2026 at 11:59:24 AM
1960 to 1979 had 6 years where UK temperatures went over 30C in June1980 to 1999 had 6 years
2000 to 2019 had 13 years
2020 to 2026 has had 6 years so far, and we're only 35% of the way through
The longest period of time from 1960 to 2000 where june temperatures went higher than 30 was two years, reaching 30 in 1975 and 36 in 1976.
2021 was the only June in the last 10 years where temperatures didn't reach that 1975 record.
by iso1631
7/5/2026 at 12:35:52 PM
So even if it goes above 30 every single remaining year it will still be 9 vs 13 in the previous decade?by graemep
7/5/2026 at 1:13:31 PM
These are 20 year periods, not decades. How did you think there were 13 years in the previous decade? It would be 18 vs 13 if every year up to 2039 went over 30C.by onraglanroad
7/5/2026 at 12:53:31 PM
They’ve rendered that in a rather confusing way. 13 incidents is for _two_ decades, not one.by rsynnott
7/5/2026 at 12:53:30 PM
The time frames they are looking at are 2 decade intervals, not 1 decadeby NekkoDroid
7/5/2026 at 12:06:17 PM
Why do you choose 1975/30C as your cutoff point for "record heat" when it should be 1976/36C? Clearly 30C isn't unheard of, even in the past.by xienze
7/5/2026 at 11:52:42 AM
It's a good question, in terms of progression of climate changeby bloqs
7/5/2026 at 11:49:22 AM
Why don't you research past heat waves? We're literally setting new heat records nearly every year. This year the heat record in Germany went from 39 degrees to 42. We're even setting night time heat records because of how bad it is. I don't understand the impulse to ignore what we're experiencing right now. What do you gain by sticking your head in the sand?by Yokolos
7/5/2026 at 12:32:50 PM
Ask your grandparents about "Die große Dürre 1947" in Germany. Near entirely dried-up rivers and reservoirs, lakes three meters below normal, roughly half a million cattle emergency-slaughtered in Bavaria, hydroelectric shutdowns forcing power rationing, and forest fires along the Bavarian–Austrian border. Sure we have an all time high now, but currently there's still too much water as one could stick their head into the soil of the Elbe and Rhine.by yde_java
7/5/2026 at 12:43:23 PM
That used to be once in a lifetime event. Now we have temperatures like that two or three times every decade and soon it's going to be a normal summer temperature.by abroszka33
7/5/2026 at 11:56:16 AM
Every year people complain about the cold, heat and allergies. Even if they live 200 years, it would always be the same.People get use to it, it goes away, cycle repeats. Nobody remembers exactly unless they had a near death experience.
by maipen
7/5/2026 at 11:51:26 AM
Why does it matter how humans _felt_?by freetonik
7/5/2026 at 1:19:56 PM
> Did your grand parents felt the same as you?They remember a lot more snow and talk about how summers were not that hot. And like, they are otherwise into half of right wing conspiracy theories.
by watwut