6/9/2026 at 7:20:54 AM
I've said for a while that I think this sort of thing is a much better explanation for trends we see than moustache-twirling foreign dictators "spreading dissent" for the heck of it.Yes, they exist and yes, they have troll factories, but they usually promote narratives with some immediate benefit to themselves. When they do promote irrelevant stuff, I think it's just to build social media clout for their actual messages. The payload so to say.
In particular, when Russian trolls promote both sides in some divisive foreign domestic issue, it's not to "spread chaos", but to gain a foot in the door to promote their actual messages, which are things like, "Sanctions on Russian leaders are pointless and counterproductive", "Assad didn't gas anyone", "Actual nazis have the Ukrainian leadership's balls in a vice" etc.
by vintermann
6/9/2026 at 7:37:34 AM
There's a meme that most "nationalist" Twitter/X posters in the UK are actually from South Asia, and only doing it because for people in low-income countries the Twitter payments are a viable source of income.I'm not on Twitter anymore thankfully, but when I was there seemed to be a lot of truth to this. It even got to the point of there being successful witch hunts outing quite large/popular accounts as being Indian people pretending to be British
by ifwinterco
6/9/2026 at 12:49:36 PM
Which led Twitter to release a feature allowing you to see which country accounts were originally made which confirmed a lot of suspicions about Indian/Pakistan accounts positing politics stuff because it goes viral and pays. Other sites would benefit from that sort of feature to at least set the bar higher.by dmix
6/9/2026 at 12:57:40 PM
Didn't they almost immediately retract that after it became clear so many of the GOP adjacent accounts were based offshore?by giarc
6/9/2026 at 1:11:20 PM
No they released the feature. The more controversial part was X also announced they’d start a large ban campaign to kill off foreign accounts posting stuff low quality politics memes like this just for money. This got push back as a bunch of big accounts claiming it would create false positive bans and they had legitimate interest in the topics despite not being American etc. I didn’t follow it closely after that but I believe it still led to some foreign accounts being banned, just not at the scale Nikita Bier wanted.“Just ban them” is admittedly more complicated than it sounds once you think about it. Ie what about Canadians who post about American politics all the time. Or is it just low quality Indian accounts. How do you measure quality. Etc
by dmix
6/9/2026 at 1:10:02 PM
They did.by trumpdong
6/9/2026 at 11:47:40 AM
On the other hand... on the internet, everybody is an American (or a Brit).There are many people who don't live in a country where English is spoken natively, but who speak it well enough to lurk on the English internet. Those people are exposed to American and British politics and start to form opinions. It's not unusual for us to have our own takes on what happens in these countries.
by miki123211
6/9/2026 at 1:10:16 PM
But we don't pretend to be something we're not.by vintermann
6/9/2026 at 3:07:18 PM
Is the solution that global wages are normalized?I’m not an economist but it seems that a lot of things boil down to “X is cheaper in country A” or “Y is more costly in country B” creating arbitrage opportunities for players operating in grey area.
Again, I’m not an economist and am just speculating as a layman who understands math, but without wage normalization it seems the other option would be to only have per-country regulated social media. So Canadian social platforms are only accessible to users with Canadian IDs, US to US ID holders, and Indian ID holders can only access Indian social networks. And so on and so forth.. but then we become China.
by jitix
6/9/2026 at 7:50:56 AM
X famously implemented a feature that revelaed where the posters were from. Sure you can use a VPN, but Musk changed the rules all of a sudden and exposed a lot of accounts posting about issues from other countries.Twitter may have a lot of faults, but they're ahead of Facebook on this one.
by TZubiri
6/9/2026 at 8:55:04 AM
I think the difference is Elon is actually a Twitter addict and he's genuinely on there every day engaging with this stuff, so he probably saw the memes.I get the sense Zuckerberg is a lot more disconnected from everyday Facebook and Insta content
by ifwinterco
6/9/2026 at 9:24:55 AM
Which is actually healthier, like a drug dealer that doesn't consume his own productby TZubiri
6/9/2026 at 10:46:48 AM
Healthier for him, unhealthier for society that is forced to suffer the effects of mass consumption of his product.by trumpdong
6/9/2026 at 1:11:55 PM
Nothing we have seen since musk‘s acquisition of Twitter indicates that his close proximity/high usage has led to better results for society.by Forgeties79
6/9/2026 at 10:49:06 AM
Healthier - perhaps, although I do prefer when my dealers use the same product they sell to me.by suslik
6/9/2026 at 8:13:59 AM
[flagged]by drysine
6/9/2026 at 1:20:56 PM
South Asia and africa. There's a reason he bought twitter and let any bozo buy verification. The money they make goes a long way in low income countries.by Bluescreenbuddy
6/9/2026 at 1:15:18 PM
The same on Facebook, and its a very profitable:https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2025-11-16/kin...
by graemep
6/9/2026 at 12:51:20 PM
Makes sense for the UK since if you post the same content as a citizen you could end up with the police at your door.by throwthrowuknow
6/9/2026 at 2:35:47 PM
Not most of it - at least on Facebook where there is a LOT posted by people from South Asia and racist/extreme nationalist posters - far more than on Twitter the last time I compared my feeds. For one thing most of it on Facebook is dogwhistle racism not direct. A lot more does not meet the legal standards for creating records. Very little gets reported so no on investigates.You "could" end up with police at your door, but even if reported most of these things do not meet the requirements for being recorded: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/non-crime-hate-in...
by graemep
6/9/2026 at 12:40:42 PM
It's pretty amazing corporate america was able to find a revenue scheme based on Russian disinformation campaigns, init.by cyanydeez
6/9/2026 at 12:49:09 PM
It's more like astroturfing since forever, any mention of Americans doing disinformation instantly gets Russian bots brought up, like bro come on now.by dev1ycan
6/9/2026 at 1:46:32 PM
ok, but making it a revenue strwam is the point, not whose message is doing what.by cyanydeez
6/9/2026 at 8:06:21 AM
I mean I'm not sure it's a meme - this guy literally got rich doing it, to a point where he's selling "self guide" courses on how to do this:https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2025-11-16/kin...
by gambiting
6/9/2026 at 8:12:27 AM
People selling get rich guides did not get rich using the method they describe. But I don't doubt a lot of people try, with or without guides to help them.by vintermann
6/9/2026 at 9:15:57 AM
Well I think both things can be true. I imagine he made a lot of money doing it, then eventually that well dried up for whatever reason, so he started selling courses (which are worthless because his method clearly doesn't work or he would just keep doing it)by gambiting
6/9/2026 at 8:52:09 AM
Definitely a real thing, I meant it was a meme in the sense that at one point almost everyone was getting accused of being Indian (and subsequently having to refute it) in a partly humorous but also partly serious wayby ifwinterco
6/9/2026 at 9:04:07 AM
You know what? I ain't even mad. 300k is life-changing money in Sri Lanka.by delta_p_delta_x
6/9/2026 at 9:15:04 AM
Similarly: https://nypost.com/2026/04/21/us-news/top-maga-influencer-em...Some highlights:
> The move made him a mint — and Sam was soon raking in thousands of dollars a month.
> “I was spending maybe 30 to 50 minutes of my day, and I was making good money for a medical student,” he recalled.
> He said he also attempted to make a liberal counterpart for Hart on Instagram, but “Democrats know that it’s AI slop, so they don’t engage as much,” he said.
The effort-to-profit ratio is so insane that you almost can't blame them for turning the internet into such toxic wasteland.
by firen777
6/9/2026 at 3:52:30 PM
I was wondering how people monetised these things. Selling t-shirts and AI porn is not what I expected.by graemep
6/9/2026 at 12:15:27 PM
There's also the fact that the media and a large cadre of activists in the targeted countries already provide the 'democrat' standpoint which makes an AI simulacrum less noticeable as well as less appealing. I'd say that is a far more likely explanation than 'democrats know it is AI slop' which sounds a lot like wishful thinking by 'democrats'.by Mallory_Ringess
6/9/2026 at 11:31:24 AM
Its been discussed for long time already how russian methods work :The ex-KGB defector you're thinking of is Yuri Bezmenov (also known by his alias Tomas Schuman). The strategy he described is called "Ideological Subversion" (also referred to as "Active Measures" or "Psychological Warfare")
Their time scale is measured in decades.
1. Demoralization Undermining the moral and cultural foundations of a society — making people lose faith in their own country, values, and institutions ~15–30 years (one generation)
2. Destabilization Exploiting the demoralized state to create social, political, and economic instability — polarizing the population ~2–5 years
3. Crisis Pushing the destabilized society into a full-blown crisis, creating a situation where people demand radical change ~6 weeks
4. Normalization After the crisis leads to a power shift, the new order is "normalized" — a totalitarian system is established and accepted as the new normal Ongoing
by vincnetas
6/9/2026 at 11:59:10 AM
>1. Demoralization Undermining the moral and cultural foundations of a society — making people lose faith in their own country, values, and institutions ~15–30 years (one generation)took Putin less than 10 years to do that to Russia. the collapse is postponed while the regime's eunuchs and dogs are fed, of course, but God wills it, that might not be the case for much longer.
by vitalyan1234
6/9/2026 at 12:07:47 PM
These measures are directed outside of russia.by vincnetas
6/9/2026 at 1:23:10 PM
Putin had the backdrop of 1990s Russia to speed things up, though.by hylaride
6/9/2026 at 3:27:25 PM
Lol sounds like my country (Canada).We're in a recession caused by the current government's 11 years of mismanagement but approval ratings are higher than ever because our government just blames the US.
Meanwhile the gap between our peers and us is widening and certain Canadians (mostly boomers) just refuse to see the problem.
Everyone I know has left the country and I've already got one foot out the door.
by dismalaf
6/9/2026 at 12:06:48 PM
[flagged]by themgt
6/9/2026 at 10:14:51 AM
That's what you think they ought to be doing as a rational actor, but there is a body of counter-evidence suggesting that their intent is to cause chaos as a dual goal.I would point you towards the various hybrid warfare attacks on civic society especially across Europe, such as infrastructure sabotage, bomb threats to election centers, and hiring petty criminals to attack religious sites or paint hateful graffiti.
My interpretation of this strategy is that it's an attempt to undermine social cohesion, create sectarian politics, which fragments the society, draws its attention inwards and makes it impossible to pursue any specific coherent direction.
by energy123
6/9/2026 at 10:48:31 AM
> hiring petty criminals to attack religious sites or paint hateful graffiti.This turns out to have been alarmingly effective. All it needs is someone willing to hand cash to bored teenagers, and their vandalism can be redirected from bus shelters to critical infrastructure.
by pjc50
6/9/2026 at 11:23:18 AM
In the 1930s there were people arguing Hitler didn't really want war.Maybe it is time for us to stop sane-plaining Americans and just take them at their word?
by expedition32
6/9/2026 at 10:57:41 AM
They definitely play both sides to spread chaos. That's been extremely effective for them in reducing American power and influence. Getting their messaging out there is also a goal.by mcdonje
6/9/2026 at 8:06:55 AM
> which are things like, "Sanctions on Russian leaders are pointless and counterproductive", "Assad didn't gas anyone", "Actual nazis have the Ukrainian leadership's balls in a vice" etc.What would be the point of that? Wars and support of wars do not generally rely on public support. For instance here in the us, only around 3% of americans vote based on foreign policy. Does it really matter which narrative the masses believe? I would think it would be people in power worth persuading, and there are much more direct ways of buying politicians and career government workers.
Propagandizing their own people I get, but what you're outlining just doesn't make sense. "Spreading chaos" does because it draws resources away from their interests to domestic discord.
by throwaway27448
6/9/2026 at 8:29:37 AM
Public opinion does sometimes change the direction of a country. For Russia it's probably most relevant in a few eastern European countries, but there's a normality effect - it is probably easier for someone like Órban to dissent from EU on Ukraine the more there is minority dissent in other EU countries.Either way, it doesn't have to actually work, the propagandist only has to think it's worth it to try.
by vintermann
6/9/2026 at 9:08:46 AM
Its not about Americans. Russians already owned them and got them to do what they want. Its about Europeans that are much closer to their representatives.by tokai
6/9/2026 at 6:28:00 PM
Do europeans vote based on foreign policy?by throwaway27448
6/9/2026 at 8:19:16 AM
> Wars and support of wars do not generally rely on public supportUp until Iran, wars in America had large general support. Americans liked wars and their support for leadership went up when those wards started. And Americans politicians who wanted those wars put a lot of work into making people support wars.
Russians supported invasion of Ukraine. And Putin made sure they will. Even Germans prior WWI and WWII supported and wanted war. Ironically, especially young wanting to prove their masculinity.
by watwut
6/9/2026 at 8:38:09 AM
In case of Germany nope. Germans were not against the wars but there was not a huge support case. Especially WWI it was only a nationalistic educated minority who supported the war. Most people were not so keen to dieby lava_pidgeon
6/9/2026 at 9:11:22 AM
> Especially WWI it was only a nationalistic educated minority who supported the war.Definitely not minority. There were hawks "attack now" and doves claiming "we are not ready we get ready and attack". Moreover, large parts of Germans population did not accepted defeat of WWI, thought the peace was betrayal and wanted a redo.
In 1914, the "spirit for the war" was high.
> Most people were not so keen to die
It just so happen that young men and former soldiers were the keenest on WWII. Of course they were not keen to die, but they were massively keen on proving they are manly men who will kill their enemies. They wanted to prove they are as good as their heroes from WWI.
by watwut
6/9/2026 at 11:33:32 AM
> It just so happen that young men and former soldiers were the keenest on WWII.Weren't they subject to crushing economic conditions as a result of the diplomatic terms on which WWI ended? The context is important (as usual).
by fc417fc802
6/9/2026 at 12:55:18 PM
The actual context is that they believed they would win the war if they continued fighting. They believed that peace deal was "stab in the back" of great fighters by soft politicians (and jews). To large extend, WWII was redo because by and large Germans did not accepted defeat.Btw, that is literally why WWII ended up without peace deal, with complete military takeover of Germany. The alliance wanted to avoid another "we were about to win" myth followed by third round of the whole thing. They wanted clear military victory, so that no one can possibly think they would win it if it continued.
Second, the conditions were softer then what Germany planned against their enemies in case they win. The bigger economic disaster in Germany pushing toward far right was great depression. You can discuss how much economic consequences of the loss contributed to the culture, but the fact is, Germany was pretty violent country and celebrated war itself.
by watwut
6/9/2026 at 1:37:23 PM
We can get into the weeds about German (or more accurately, Prussian) militarism. Prussia dominated the day-to-day politics of the united German Empire (for good reason, it essentially led the unification), but didn't necessarily represent the rest of the country. Even today, German culture varies a lot by region.I remember reading about the post-war reconstruction of Germany, where a handful of anti-nazi German politicians (in particular Ludwig Erhard) tried to rationalize how the German people, that gave the world Beethoven and Bach, fell to the evils of Nazism. The oversimplified answer could just be it depended on who was in control. There are evil people everywhere.
by hylaride
6/9/2026 at 1:32:50 PM
It still is one - but more quietly.by trumpdong
6/9/2026 at 10:42:54 AM
Rather like the Raytheon adverts in DC airport, the aim of all this nonsense is to alter the worldview of the small number of people who make the actual decisions. It does seem to have some effect - the Trump administration withdrew support from Ukraine.by pjc50
6/9/2026 at 6:28:47 PM
I suppose. But social media would be a very indirect way of influencing decision makers. Surely it'd be more straightforward to simply bribe or threaten them.> It does seem to have some effect - the Trump administration withdrew support from Ukraine.
No, they haven't. We just haven't increased support. They still benefit from our existing aid packages and intelligence.
by throwaway27448
6/9/2026 at 8:58:20 PM
There was definitely a withdrawal, partially resumed, and a reduction of funding: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-...by pjc50
6/9/2026 at 12:09:19 PM
A divided and weakened EU is the biggest priority of Putin’s Russia after reconstituting the USSR.Brexit and other forms of dissension spread in Europe by Russian agents (from bombings in Berlin to poisoning dissidents in London) are definitely deliberate and war by other means, not some sort of sideshow. Separatist movements have and will be used to weaken enemies and figures like Farage and Orban are still doing Russia’s work.
I would not be at all surprised to find that dissent/separatism in countries opposed to Russia is funded by Putin. Dissent and chaos are an important part of the Russian playbook, not an afterthought.
by grey-area
6/9/2026 at 7:37:50 AM
Who of credit has claimed otherwise, that dictators spread dissent as an end rather than as a means?by Paracompact
6/9/2026 at 8:20:25 AM
Of credit, that's arguable. But a famous example is Nancy Pelosi suggesting that pro-Palestine protests in 2024 were funded by Putin.by vintermann
6/9/2026 at 10:05:31 AM
>Who of credit has claimed otherwiseBy my rough estimation a third to a half of these people: https://news.ycombinator.com/leaders
by cucumber3732842
6/9/2026 at 6:29:26 PM
>Rayinerby Larrikin
6/9/2026 at 11:49:22 AM
Those people are people with high HN karma, a lot of it for posting or submitting technical discussions. Is that enough to give that much weight to their opinion on political topics?by close04
6/9/2026 at 12:02:03 PM
>Those people are people with high HN karma, a lot of it for posting or submitting technical discussions.Click on a few of those names and see what kind of topics they wade into. I wish you were right.
You're not gonna get high karma by having high quality technical discussion. First off no human can likely know enough depth on enough topics to contribute to very many of them. Second off, such commentary only gets praise from the narrow band of people who are capable of assessing it.
Like all "scored" social-ish media this stuff is a numbers game. The way you "win" as these people have is by gaming the scoring system. Post stuff that appeals to the demographics of the site and with a low common denominator so anyone can "approve" of it. And if you click on through you'll find that's what they do.
>Is that enough to give that much weight to their opinion on political topics?
I assure you that a great many of them take great offense when you suggest that they are not experts in whatever they are speaking at a given minute. My personal favorites are the one that appeals to authority by cherry picking links (thereby moving the discussion from one of attacking his opinion to one of attacking his sources, a tried and true troll/propagandist/etc tactic) when you disagree with him and the one tries to portray being involved in politics as though it confers legitimacy.
That said, some of the power users around here are in fact reasonable and seemingly free of obvious ill will.
by cucumber3732842
6/9/2026 at 4:41:52 PM
> I assure you that a great many of them take great offense when you suggest that they are not experts in whatever they are speaking at a given minute.That I can believe without question. I see it in action every day. But how are they any different from any social media influencer who has an opinion on everything and millions of followers and who use their existing clout to demand more?
One of the people high on that list once introduced themselves by the karma points from HN. That was the value they saw in themselves, that’s all that matters.
That HN leadership list has in the same page the typical serial posters or panderers, with an opinion on every mundanity under the sun, having 10-20 times the karma of other people in the list who bring genuinely unique and fascinating views of things that normal people never get to see or even know they exist.
by close04
6/9/2026 at 1:28:44 PM
[dead]by donaldjbiden
6/9/2026 at 12:20:42 PM
Why not both?by seventytwo
6/9/2026 at 7:42:13 AM
> when Russian trolls promote both sidesPerhaps projection? It is perfectly valid to have different opinions. "Russian trolls" are not some sort of uniform centralized group, that gets directions what to "promote". Some people just have opinions, and do stuff out of conviction, not to get reward.
by throe939494848
6/9/2026 at 7:59:01 AM
There is a uniform centralized group that operated for a decade under the name of Internet Research Agency, and almost certainly something like it continues to operate to this day. These had paid employees who got directions on what to promote with the goal of manipulating the public debate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_Research_Agencyby a2128
6/9/2026 at 9:14:33 AM
That was a private company operated by Prigozhin [1] who was, almost certainly, an extremely mentally unwell individual. He was the guy who formed the 'Wagner' private military company, supported Putin, then seemingly tried to overthrow Putin, and then was likely killed by Putin. When he left the stage, it was unceremoniously shut down alongside most of his other ventures. The spastic operations of the org would be pretty much in the character of Prigozhin without any grand 5D chess going on.I'm also of the mindset that the effort to suggest there's state propaganda everywhere is, itself, mostly domestic state propaganda in an effort to try to 'otherize' dissenting views, especially as politicians and their actions become ever more unpopular.
by somenameforme
6/9/2026 at 9:17:15 AM
It's called Hybrid Warfare and is an explicit element in Russian military doctrine because it's such a cheap and effective force multiplier.by TheOtherHobbes
6/9/2026 at 11:25:26 AM
So that page didn't exist before December 2024, and was created by a guy whose done nothing but push anti-Russian propaganda, and links to a video in Ukrainian on his user page showing Russian soldiers being killed. Interestingly the page has also had segments of its edit timeline permanently deleted as well, which is something that never used to happen on Wiki.Anyhow apparently examples of "Russian hybrid warfare" are the West cynically claiming Russia blew up its own oil pipeline. Those tricky Russians multiplying their forces by blowing up their own pipelines. Just imagine what they could achieve if they nuked themselves! Imagine, just for a second somebody linking to an article/account that was pro-Russian, but otherwise everything was equal but opposite. Can you even begin to imagine what you might think? Well that's what I'm thinking.
by somenameforme
6/9/2026 at 9:00:27 PM
>something that never used to happen on WikiRevision deletion has existed for at least 17 years:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Revision_deletion (page created in 2009)
by card_zero
6/10/2026 at 3:45:59 AM
Thanks for the info! I've literally never once seen that done on Wikipedia, and pretty much the first thing I do when looking at a new page is go to the history.by somenameforme
6/9/2026 at 8:16:21 AM
I imagine Israel's various hasbara operation dwarfs its relevance and funding by multiple orders of magnitude. I don't see much evidence it plays a role outside of being useful to blame for inconvenient discourse.by throwaway27448
6/9/2026 at 8:59:23 AM
Sure, but that's a good example. They obviously push pro-Israel, anti-Palestinian and probably a good deal of outright anti-Muslim positions.But do you think they push random divisive issues, unrelated to their own interests, just to destabilize countries they don't like? I think the evidence for that is much weaker.
by vintermann
6/9/2026 at 10:49:42 AM
That wouldn't really make sense for Israel. They don't want America to be destabilised. They want it stable and supporting them. Same for European countries. They want Palestine and Iran unstable, but they've already achieved that through other means.by trumpdong
6/9/2026 at 11:47:04 AM
They certainly benefit from the division in the states. A large majority of AIPAC funding comes from American Evangelical groups. Why wouldn't they?There's no doubt in my mind that there's a constant effort to keep it that way.
There's entire apps designed to organize brigading efforts online: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/01/24/gaza-is...
by MSFT_Edging
6/9/2026 at 5:02:01 PM
Israel? No. Russia? Absolutely; a country preoccupied with domestic conflict is less likely to interfere with others.by throwaway27448
6/9/2026 at 9:46:50 AM
For a country of 8 million to "dwarf by multiple orders of magnitude" a country of 140 million in almost anything requires very lively imagination indeed.Soft power operations are hard to measure. You cannot measure the impact of Israeli activities either.
by inglor_cz
6/9/2026 at 5:03:04 PM
> For a country of 8 million to "dwarf by multiple orders of magnitude" a country of 140 million in almost anything requires very lively imagination indeed.I see you've never heard of Hasbara.
Anyway, there's little reason to think that influence scales with the size of the population as opposed to the number of people involved in active influence and funding, especially with Russia locking down access to the global internet. Israel simply has much, much, much, much more to gain from interfering in american culture than russia does (despite its being scapegoated by the least capable of our politicians).
by throwaway27448
6/9/2026 at 9:03:15 PM
Russia has its own Great Power status to lose, which they worked on since the 16th century. If they cannot defeat Ukraine and be seen as clear winners of this long war, no amount of nuclear weapons will help them regain their clout. Even their own heavily Muslim regions like Caucasus may well secede.by inglor_cz
6/9/2026 at 10:50:40 AM
Why would you even need to measure? There are precedents.VKomtakte social network was blocked because owners were russian, and there could interfere in internal affairs.
Why not block facebook? Its ownership has clear ties to Israel and it DOES interfere in elections and democratic process!
by throw9404048