alt.hn

5/20/2026 at 4:41:00 PM

Hormuz closure could trigger 'agrifood shock', price crisis within a year

 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hormuz-closure-could-trigger-agrifood-shock-price-crisis-within-year-fao-warns-2026-05-20/

by mooreds

5/20/2026 at 7:08:34 PM

It’s a sacrifice israel is willing to make.

by jalapenoj

5/20/2026 at 8:49:42 PM

Or Trump. In his own words he doesn't care about American citizens financial troubles at all.

One wonders if the people who hated Biden for egg prices feel any shame at all?

by TitaRusell

5/21/2026 at 4:13:32 AM

Not really. It’s a cult.

Well there’s a handful. For them you can suggest

https://leavingmaga.org

by nielsbot

5/20/2026 at 10:19:42 PM

[dead]

by aaron695

5/20/2026 at 7:30:26 PM

[flagged]

by asfqrt

5/20/2026 at 7:35:57 PM

I love it when people push back like this without suggesting the real reason. Can't think one can you? That too from a new sock puppet.

by moab

5/20/2026 at 8:07:11 PM

Not really an excuse when we had house republicans at the start of the war saying we went to war for Israel [1]. It's only become wrong to suggest this as politicians and pundits have woken up to the fact that waging war on behalf of Israel isn't a popular thing to do.

[1] https://apnews.com/article/congress-war-powers-trump-iran-68...

by cogman10

5/20/2026 at 8:19:57 PM

That is literally one of the blame game strategies outlined in this Brookings 2009 paper:

https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/06_iran...

Israel is happy to take the blame, because of course it does want the war. But it is a stretch that the whole "Path to Persia", which included Iraq, Libya and Syria was only done at the behest of Israel.

I'm not an Israel shill, the behavior in Gaza is abhorrent.

by 234k-awsh

5/20/2026 at 8:31:38 PM

Sorry, I have a hard time believing you aren't an Israel shill, especially since you are using a common tactic I've noticed of Israel defenders, working to hide any of your past opinions through new accounts or hidden comments.

It's happening a lot on reddit as well. You'll find a bunch of pro-israel accounts which are private.

Who knows, you may be legit, but forgive me for not trusting you and these other new accounts that always seem to float up when Israel is discussed. Especially since it's well known that Israel is spending nearly a billion dollars on online propaganda [1]

[1] https://libertarianinstitute.org/news/israel-plans-to-spend-...

by cogman10

5/20/2026 at 7:17:47 PM

Here are two articles Reuters wrote about how the war in Ukraine was going to do something similar in 2022[1][2]. Make of this what you will.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/graphics/UKRAINE-CRISIS/FOOD/zjvqkgo... [2] https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-war-ukraine-bla...

by hersko

5/20/2026 at 7:23:06 PM

And like other articles pointed out, wealthy western countries will always just outbid poorer countries for their food. No one in Germany, Poland or the UK was going to go hungry without the grain or fertilizer from Ukraine - but it does mean we have a much tighter supply than before, and poorer countries got quite literally priced out. Combined with the reduction of foreign aid(not just by US) there is a humanitarian crisis going on in a lot of places as a direct consequence of this. This is "just" going to make the existing problems worse.

by gambiting

5/20/2026 at 8:53:46 PM

Wait a minute! Dutch people were forbidden from buying more than 2 bottles of sunflower oil for a few months!

It was my generation's 1945 winter of starvation.

by TitaRusell

5/20/2026 at 11:45:46 PM

The knock-on effects of a prolonged Hormuz closure will coincide nicely with those of a super El Niño, if one develops as predicted this year.

by SaucyWrong

5/21/2026 at 6:25:57 AM

Meh they said that about Ukraine as well.

by sharts

5/20/2026 at 6:34:52 PM

[flagged]

by rasHfd

5/20/2026 at 7:00:04 PM

> The IRGC wants the blockade for self-preservation

No. The preservation was all done by the US attacking them. Everything on their part is just well motivated defense.

by marcosdumay

5/20/2026 at 7:12:47 PM

[flagged]

by hersko

5/20/2026 at 7:24:48 PM

It is most definitely a defense if you use the same logic the US does. If the US can seize oil tankers going to and from Cuba and Venezuela and attack fishing boats in the name of national security, then Iran can definitely blockade the Strait of Hormuz in the name of defense.

by Tyrubias

5/20/2026 at 7:40:27 PM

You would not call the the US enforcing a blockade as a defensive tactic. It is offensive, as is what Iran is doing. Defensive would mean defending ships navigating the strait.

by hersko

5/20/2026 at 8:13:30 PM

Bullets shot from guns can be defensive and offensive depending on who's pulling the trigger and why.

The straight is exactly the same. Iran is blocking the straight to pressure the world to pressure the US and Israel to stop their aggression. It's completely logical, reasonable, and is really a defense strategy.

The US blockading the straight is an offensive move to try and force Iran to... actually it's completely unclear what the US wants Iran to do. We just attacked them because of some imaginary threat cooked up by Israel.

by cogman10

5/20/2026 at 8:09:23 PM

Offensive? Who began the offensive against Iran?

by Daishiman

5/20/2026 at 7:33:59 PM

How are you going to discuss geopolitics here if attempts at explaining the stalling of the U.S. and Russia to defuse the conflict are censored.

Instead, the "Israel controls the world" narrative, repeated incidentally by many Western and pro-Russian outlets on Twitter and YouTube is the top comment.

So probably this censored comment is correct but outside the Overton Window.

by asfqrt

5/20/2026 at 6:59:59 PM

<< Trump has said so explicitly many times.

Well, based merely on the past 3 months, I am not certain he is a useful way to measure truth or evaluate anything as fact.

That said, in somewhat broad strokes, I don't disagree with the gist of your post.

by iugtmkbdfil834

5/20/2026 at 7:39:54 PM

You, as many do, forgot to mention the root cause: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/us-iran-war-request-israel...

> The meek recent Senate protest means nothing. If the elites didn't want the war, the House and the Senate would have 2/3rd majorities to stop it.

Yesterday’s AIPAC-driven ouster of Rep. Thomas Massie should tell you why no one is trying to stop this and who these “elites” you speak of answer to.

> The IRGC wants the blockade for self-preservation among its own population to show it is resisting "The West".

They are not showing off. They are actively and successfully resisting “The West”. Which could only sustain 5 weeks of active hostilities, got nowhere, hurt its position in the ME severely, but still cannot concede. Which brings us back to the root cause.

by rainworld

5/20/2026 at 7:43:10 PM

> AIPAC-driven ouster

Yeah, i definitely had nothing to do with him accusing his party of protecting pedophiles and repeatedly voting with the left to block Trumps agenda. It must have been the jews.

by hersko

5/20/2026 at 7:51:11 PM

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/17/massie-aipac-record... It literally was. And wait till you find out you find out who Epstein et al. were working for.

by rainworld

5/20/2026 at 7:56:51 PM

It literally wasn't. It was an ouster pushed by Trump. From your own article:

"Prominent pro-Israel GOP donors have funneled millions more into a super PAC stood up by President Donald Trump’s political operation"

> And wait till you find out you find out who Epstein et al. were working for.

Oooh, please tell me. I'm all ears.

by hersko

5/20/2026 at 8:59:21 PM

The classic HN trope of a non-rebuttal presented as rebuttal. And you conveniently left out the link in the sentence: https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/07/31/congress/ma...

It’s true, “MAGA KY” has Trump’s name slapped on. Like the Zionist war againt Iran. Which you clearly support.

> I'm all ears.

You’re clearly not.

by rainworld

5/20/2026 at 8:21:41 PM

Of course if Israel is willing to take the blame because its reputation is at an all time low anyway, the Trump administration will happily use it as an excuse for being dragged into the war.

by 234k-awsh

5/20/2026 at 7:22:20 PM

> None of these autocratic countries care about their own populations. Trump has said so explicitly many times.

Going to need a better source than a habitual liar.

by PenguinCoder

5/20/2026 at 8:13:31 PM

In legal terms, one would call this a "statement against interest". If a politician says he does not care one bit about the welfare his constituents, it is reasonable for those constituents to take him at his word no matter how untrustworthy he is. It only hurts him if we believe it.

Iranian negotiators probably shouldn't believe him, because it's not against interest in that context. There probably just aren't any on Hacker News.

by amalcon

5/20/2026 at 7:35:53 PM

Correction: Trump probably isn't even a liar, but a bullshitter. A liar, at the very least, understands whatever he's saying is not true; a bullshitter doesn't care at all about the relationship between his words and the truth, he just makes noise.

by throw-the-towel

5/20/2026 at 7:06:59 PM

Tough problem! Perhaps the US commentariat should listen to Thomas Friedman's wisdom and start loudly hectoring the rest of the world to step up and fix this problem.

by martythemaniak

5/20/2026 at 7:29:27 PM

Or we could just accept defeat and leave.

by bdcravens

5/21/2026 at 4:17:12 AM

But then we might look weak! (Like Trump does every time he slouches over in his chair next to Xi Jin-Ping)

by nielsbot