5/19/2026 at 1:03:08 PM
It would be a colony constantly depending on Earth supplies and you would be constantly rebuilding it. Just like every other planet, nothing can permanently survive in upper atmosphere. It would be easier to have a massive ISS-style station in orbit, with a tethered cable elevator for research.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exposing_Microorganisms_in_the...
by 1970-01-01
5/19/2026 at 1:24:27 PM
At 50 km altitude above Venus (where pressure is about 1 bar) you are not really in the "upper atmosphere" as there is still about as much atmosphere above you as on ground level on Earth. So UV radiation is not a problem.The atmosphere of Venus is just very thick. Also it contains many useful elements, C, O and H, which can be used to build basically anything if you have enough solar energy. The problem is the (comparatively small) amounts of other elements.
by seszett
5/19/2026 at 1:41:33 PM
From the point of view of exploitable resources, Venus is the opposite of Mars.On Mars, metals are very abundant and easy to extract, and also minerals suitable for making glass or ceramic materials are abundant, but the raw materials for making food and organic materials, like plastics, are very scarce and expensive to concentrate.
On Venus, there are abundant resources for making organic materials and food (except for a few metallic bioelements required in small quantities, i.e. Fe, Zn, Mn, Cu, Mo, Co), but there are no resources for making metallic, vitreous or ceramic materials.
However, the materials that are missing on Venus are easier to transport from elsewhere, because they are required in smaller quantities and they are dense solids that occupy little volume. If not enough water would be found underground on Mars, that would be really difficult to transport from elsewhere.
by adrian_b
5/19/2026 at 2:51:43 PM
> If not enough water would be found underground on Mars, that would be really difficult to transport from elsewhere.I was under the (uneducated) impression that there was a fair amount of water ice locked up in asteroids that are fairly easy to redirect into a Mars capture orbit.
by pavel_lishin
5/19/2026 at 3:20:29 PM
"Fairly Easy" Is doing a lot of work there. Theoretically possible yes.by neaden
5/19/2026 at 10:09:35 PM
Mars also has two polar ice caps [1].by bhelkey
5/20/2026 at 7:10:50 PM
True... I had to look if wiki has some new information, but no - as expected it is frozen ice of co2 and not h2o. Getting that h from somewhere to make water is still going to be an issue on Mars.by pasta67
5/21/2026 at 7:37:17 PM
I don't believe this is accurate. From the wiki:> The caps at both poles consist primarily of water ice. Frozen carbon dioxide accumulates as a comparatively thin layer about one meter thick on the north cap in the northern winter, while the south cap has a permanent dry ice cover about 8 m thick.
by bhelkey
5/20/2026 at 6:29:00 AM
Mars has a huge amount of water iceby Tepix
5/20/2026 at 7:13:12 PM
No. Most of that is co2. There are a lot of comets that can deliver ice(of water), but if that is a solution then that works for Venus as well.by pasta67
5/19/2026 at 4:10:42 PM
> would be a colony constantly depending on Earth supplies and you would be constantly rebuilding itTo be fair, this is true for all planets with known science and engineering. I'm not sure it's obvious that Venus (with its higher pressure and better radiation shielding) has fewer fundamental problems than Mars (with its surface that doesn't melt metal).
by JumpCrisscross
5/19/2026 at 4:30:51 PM
True fact, but not by much, as plans are already in-progress with Artemis V and a lunar colony.by 1970-01-01
5/19/2026 at 6:57:39 PM
The results of some experiments done with mice on the ISS have been published recently and they cast doubt about the possibility of living for a long time on the Moon.For mice, at least a third of the Earth gravity was required to prevent serious health problems and at least two thirds to avoid any health problems.
So it seems that the gravity of Mars is close to the minimum compatible with long-term staying, while that of the Moon is insufficient. Therefore people would have to spend only a limited time on a Moon base, much like on the ISS.
by adrian_b
5/20/2026 at 2:31:47 PM
> results of some experiments done with mice on the ISS have been published recently and they cast doubt about the possibility of living for a long time on the MoonWe’re too early in low- (versus zero-) g research to draw conclusions. And from drugs to resistance routines, we haven’t even started researching mitigation.
The best argument for Moon and Mars bases is to enable this sort of research at scale.
by JumpCrisscross
5/19/2026 at 9:28:56 PM
> plans are already in-progress with Artemis V and a lunar colonyArtemis aims to establish lunar and Martian colonies. Not self-sufficient settlements. That's still at least a generation away, probably two or three.
by JumpCrisscross
5/19/2026 at 1:12:11 PM
Untrue. You can actually mine the Venusian surface for metals. Carbon, hydrogen, oxygen, and nitrogen (the vast majority of the elements used by life) can be extracted from the atmosphere, as well as sulfur. So from an elemental standpoint, it actually could be self-sufficient. Not that you’d WANT to avoid trade with other planets, but it is possible.It is also possible to terraform Venus, although much more difficult than for Mars.
by Robotbeat
5/19/2026 at 2:12:44 PM
Yes, but! It's very hard. But you are a million percent right that the Venusian surface has lots of fantastic metals, largely tied up in basalt and volcanic ash. The bad news to my understanding is that they're kind of pulverized and evenly spread out and requires lots of refining/processing, and not necessarily so much in the way of veins/ore deposits ripe for harvesting (though I could be mistaken).But back to how hard it is. There's mid-atmosphere winds that are effectively persistent hurricanes. It's hotter than a pizza oven, and the thick co2 air might as well be an ocean, because it has that much crushing force.
In my opinion, people should get excited about the thick atmosphere, because it's also the secret superpower that unlocks all the near term possibilities. Floating in the upper atmosphere is more like being a ship in an ocean, and if we ever got materials strong enough (graphite-carbon composites?) we could do some really cool passive dragnet + air balloon lift kinds of things to recover surface resources and lift them to a hypothetical settlement.
The one need-to-have resource that, as far as I know, there's none of on Venus whatsoever, is iodine. So even in the best case you'd have to import that. Oh, and water. You can get some out of the sulfuric acid rain but probably not as much as you want.
Granted, these are all assuming technology advances and big time scales, but trying to practice a golden rule here and be as charitable to the exercise as possible and not bean soup the discussion to death, which is a pet peeve of mine.
by glenstein
5/19/2026 at 3:47:55 PM
How high does the ocean-like CO2 extend? Usually the idea for a base is ~50 km altitude.by mmooss
5/19/2026 at 5:13:13 PM
It'd be interesting to try to imagine a Venusian colonization that's like two separated levels: an atmospheric area where most people live and where you grow food, and then a subterranean (yes, yes, sub... aphroditean?) where you mine and so forth, and there are brief, fraught transitions between the two layers but no actual habitation of the surface or lower atmosphere.by aetherson
5/19/2026 at 3:00:47 PM
> It is also possible to terraform Venus, although much more difficult than for Mars.We are facing an existential crisis in the form of climate warming on Earth that we are unable to address properly. The thing is, terraforming Earth is the easiest thing to do: we already live on it, it's already liveable. Mars, Venus or any other body in the solar system is magnitudes harder to transform on almost every aspect.
So unless humanity demonstrates it can tackle the easiest terraforming endeavour that be, anything else is firmly in the science fiction realm.
by 0xAFFFF
5/19/2026 at 4:19:49 PM
Geoengineering of Earth is remarkably easy. The reason it’s not already being done is political, not technical or even necessarily economic. For less than NASA’s budget, it’s possible to do things like stratospheric solar radiation management. See: Mount Pinatubo. Some places (Florida, etc) have already made laws prohibiting it.As far as being science fiction… obviously? Terraforming Venus is a very long term project. It’s scientifically possible but hasn’t already been done. I guess I don’t understand what “science fiction” is supposed to mean. Like, Jules Verne writing about long distance underwater submarines? Trips to the Moon launched from Florida?
by Robotbeat
5/19/2026 at 3:13:46 PM
Exactly. I used to be a lifelong fan of anything space. But right now it is limited to people conducting actual science to get a better understanding of our universe. All the dick-swinging billionaires and geopolitical vanity projects of going to the Moon and Mars are utter follies. Every billion spent there, a waste of money that could be better spent. And I am not even talking about outer atmosphere ultra-rich people tourism in literal penis rockets. Utter pollution and waste. Let's wait to colonize other planets until after we get our own house in order.by rapnie
5/19/2026 at 4:21:46 PM
I really doubt your veracity about this. It’s literally illegal for billionaires to geoengineer the Earth to stop global warming (at least in several states). Doubtless you would also object to that as well. In which case it’s not actually about solving Earth’s problems but about not liking those who are doing it.by Robotbeat
5/19/2026 at 4:40:13 PM
But it is legal for them to fund politicians who believe greenhouse gasses should be limited. Strangely they don't do that, mostly.by dboreham
5/19/2026 at 5:10:03 PM
Billionaires could trivially fund uncontroversial projects like planting trees or solar electrification, especially in the developing world, both of which would help stop global warming. But I'm not holding my breath waiting for Elon or Larry to start doing either of those things, or anything else that would actually help mitigate or reverse climate change.by teachrdan
5/19/2026 at 5:30:49 PM
There are a lot of complaints about the environmental consequences of data centers. Musk is investing heavily in putting data centers in space.by WalterBright
5/19/2026 at 6:00:56 PM
Which is, it should be said, also a dumb idea and a waste of money.by brendoelfrendo
5/20/2026 at 6:34:29 PM
Which has also been said for every one of his enormously successful businesses.by WalterBright
5/19/2026 at 7:12:56 PM
Musk could spend 10 or even 100 billion on more down to Earth efforts without affecting his quality of life in the slightest. Instead he's promoting a self-serving idea, one that relies entirely on his own rocket-company infrastructure.Putting data centers in space is also a dumb idea due to the difficulty of dissipating heat, solar radiation, maintenance challenges and more.
by teachrdan
5/19/2026 at 11:05:38 PM
I don’t understand this. Elon thought of a way to virtually eliminate the land, heat, water, and energy impacts of datacenters, and because it makes his companies money instead of being non-profit, this is bad?Maybe I do get it. It’s not about the actual impact. It’s entirely about performing. Profit (which is literally just a measure of whether the return on something is greater than the inputs) is somehow evil, but losing money on something (ie it costs more in inputs than its outputs) is good.
by Robotbeat
5/20/2026 at 1:40:10 AM
> Elon thought of a way to virtually eliminate the land, heat, water, and energy impacts of datacentersHe has yet to do any of this. He had an idea that plenty of others have had, and have mostly dismissed due to concerns with feasibility. Granted, orbital DCs could one day be feasible with enough investment; I will not pretend that it is impossible. But for him to pretend that it is a solution for today's problems is at best the folly of a wealthy idiot and at worst a cynical attempt to juice the value of SpaceX before its IPO.
by brendoelfrendo
5/20/2026 at 6:32:44 PM
Elon has been called an idiot for every single one of his ventures. Again and again and again.Maybe he'll fail this time. Maybe he'll figure it out.
But I like the fact that he is trying rather than spending his money on mansions and yachts.
by WalterBright
5/20/2026 at 6:46:35 PM
I wish I was as "dumb" as Musk is. Long before Musk, I fantasized that if I was a billionaire, I would blow it all on a mission to Mars. Musk is living the dream. I bought shares in his companies just to share in the dream a bit!by WalterBright
5/19/2026 at 9:28:08 PM
Yes, Elon Musk, famous for not being interested in solar electrification projects.by Robotbeat
5/19/2026 at 8:16:22 PM
Yes, I don't care about these selfish sociopath billionaires, and certainly wouldn't want them to geoengineer Earth. Perhaps pay their due tax to society would be a better idea. Fixing Earth might include having a system where people don't get to be billionaires and soon trillionaires that dominate the planet.by rapnie
5/19/2026 at 1:44:46 PM
> although much more difficult thanTerraforming is so conceptual at this point that I wouldn't take a hard stance on either being easier or harder. You never know what a few generations of studies will teach us; and what misconceptions we hold dearly that our descendants will laugh at us for.
by gwbas1c
5/19/2026 at 2:27:52 PM
At this point we're so deep into the science fiction that it might be easier to just hop into a time machine and colonize Mars before its atmosphere boiled off.by marginalia_nu
5/19/2026 at 2:31:06 PM
Some infinities are bigger than others.by airstrike
5/19/2026 at 2:56:28 PM
From my experience there is a correlation between people who think science is nonsense while also believing in terraforming. I don’t think anybody can even remotely predict the outcomes of a terraforming project.by vjvjvjvjghv
5/19/2026 at 1:19:30 PM
Terraforming is possible but colonizing worlds hostile to humans has always meant genetic engineering to me. We need to drop the Star Trek idea that we can explore space in the sacks of water we call bodies.by p2detar
5/19/2026 at 2:50:46 PM
Let's take the idea further, and borrow cstross's belief that canned apes will never colonize or explore anything, and only digital uploads into mechanical bodies will be destined for space.by pavel_lishin
5/19/2026 at 5:39:30 PM
> You can actually mine the Venusian surface for metalsBy "surface" do you mean the ground of Venus? The odds of a mining operation happening on the ground of Venus seems like science fiction at best, impossible at worst. Between the high winds, corrosive atmosphere, outlandish heat and extreme pressure any vehicle on the surface would be torn to shreds likely within a few hours (which has so far been the case for all landers that actually survived the landing) - and that's not even getting into the idea of getting things off the ground. Extraction from the atmosphere would likely be the only method unless something significant changes with the entire planet. Refining those materials would require a lot of machinery being in Venus's orbit that we'd have to get there, as well. Speaking of the conditions though...
> It is also possible to terraform Venus
Everything is hypothetical at best regarding this and would require a level of time and resources no government nor company would want to invest for an outstanding "maybe".
by jsbisviewtiful
5/20/2026 at 7:17:42 PM
>>>It is also possible to terraform Venus, although much more difficult than for Mars.I would argue that it is very much opposite. Venus has already 80% mass of Earth. Mars on other hand have not much different gravity than that of Moon and Moon is much closer to Earth if you plan to make something suitable for older folks that look for lighter gravity.
by pasta67
5/19/2026 at 2:03:32 PM
> It is also possible to terraform VenusWe can't even properly terraform inhospitable places within Earth.
Hell, if anything we are very quickly un-terraforming Earth into a place inhospitable to human life.
by surgical_fire
5/19/2026 at 2:58:10 PM
We would have to work really hard to make Earth as inhospitable as other planets or moons in the solar system.by vjvjvjvjghv
5/19/2026 at 4:15:14 PM
But we are giving it a shot!by zabzonk
5/19/2026 at 3:07:47 PM
If we could send all the terraformers from earth to mars we would so solve both problems at the same timeby zqna
5/19/2026 at 3:38:38 PM
Sounds like a plan.by surgical_fire
5/19/2026 at 4:22:58 PM
What do you call Phoenix?by Robotbeat
5/19/2026 at 2:47:10 PM
No shit! We are probably dead even before we can build a habitat on our own orbit.We are failing the great filter very hard.
by t_mahmood
5/19/2026 at 5:17:06 PM
It is also possible to terraform Venus, although much more difficult than for Mars.We’ve not terraformed anything, ever, but now we can compare the difficulty of terraforming of one planet versus another? “It’s possible”? So is turning lead into gold.
by mikestew
5/19/2026 at 5:30:38 PM
Your point is taken but we've turned lead into gold: https://home.cern/alice-detects-conversion-lead-gold-lhc/by benced
5/19/2026 at 5:34:31 PM
I said it was possible. “…fleeting quantities of gold nuclei”, and probably worth far, far less than it cost to make. Given that, I stand by my statement. :-)by mikestew
5/19/2026 at 1:22:32 PM
[flagged]by 21asdffdsa12
5/19/2026 at 2:31:31 PM
They are all impossible without supplies from Earth.But wonder if a floating balloon contraption isn't more likely than a base on Mars. Which is more deadly?
Venus seems to have more potentially useful compounds in the atmosphere.
by FrustratedMonky
5/19/2026 at 2:55:31 PM
Mars is more deadly. Easily so.Venus atmosphere has the right amounts of radiation, temperature, and pressure. And close to the right gravity.
by marcosdumay