EV sales soar in main European markets as drivers shun expensive petrol

4/20/2026 at 4:49:03 PM

The big winner from the Iran war thus far --- China.

Whether Israel is a real winner is yet to be determined.

There is no significant, strategic benefit to the USA despite spending at least $50 billion thus far --- not counting the cost of inflated fuel prices.

by jqpabc123

4/20/2026 at 6:47:33 PM

> Last week the German automotive trade body said restructuring in the industry and new investment was paying off, as every second electric car sold in Europe was now made in Germany.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/20/electric...

by Symbiote

4/20/2026 at 6:40:37 PM

Well, we stopped hearing about the files. That's kinda a benefit to some people?

by kylehotchkiss

4/20/2026 at 7:58:08 PM

China has been winning since Trump took office second time. They are winning by doing... nothing :)

by whatevaa

4/20/2026 at 9:07:21 PM

China is advancing for the last 25 years, Trump or no Trump.

by slaw

4/20/2026 at 8:00:16 PM

The next administration needs to mandate the big American auto companies produce more EVs in more models in order to save them from the irrelevance they seemingly desire and arguably deserve.

by a_shovel

4/20/2026 at 8:38:01 PM

You’re part of the problem, not the solution. There’s an entire political backlash against EVs because of mandates. The Trump Administration actually prevented California from having EV quotas.

Simply let in EVs from China and let American car companies go out of business.

by melling

4/20/2026 at 10:27:05 PM

There's a political backlash because Fox News and some Russian propaganda social media accounts told people to get angry and they did.

We have mandates against leaded fuel and excessively tinted windows and for child seats. We have mandates for airbags and seatbelts and bumper heights and crumple zones and turn signals.

EVs are better than gas cars in every way - less noise, less pollution, less dependency buying oil from the Middle East. Our policies, regulations and incentive structures should mirror that.

by smithoc

4/20/2026 at 10:33:09 PM

If they’re better, you don’t need mandates.

by melling

4/21/2026 at 1:26:13 AM

Sad to say, the best does not always win. There are countless examples in technology, products, politics, etc etc.

by SapporoChris

4/21/2026 at 1:37:33 AM

Fortunately EVs are also cheaper. Unfortunately, the US has a 100% tariff on the less expensive Chinese EVs and batteries.

Better and cheaper does win.

by melling

4/20/2026 at 9:53:59 PM

There's a political backlash against vaccines because of mandates too, and I think we shouldn't listen to them either.

by a_shovel

4/21/2026 at 9:33:45 AM

No, there really isn’t.

by melling

4/20/2026 at 9:01:01 PM

I say this as someone who owns two EV cars, zero ICE cars, and loves everything about owning and driving EVs: it baffles me how quickly and noticeably consumers shift their preferences; I think I read something along the lines of „for the average German commuter, the petrol price spike means 6 euros plus per week in spending“ — and that is enough for so many people to go „okay screw it I’m switching to new technology for my planned purchase“?

I mean, great that it happens, but yeah, I‘m baffled.

by ManuelKiessling

4/20/2026 at 9:28:30 PM

The second part is the fact that domestic brands all came out with good EVs and many people are installing home solar which makes savings even more drastic.

by izacus

4/20/2026 at 9:28:22 PM

It’s the stress around it, not the current price. That’s what people are replacing.

If I’m trying to plan for the future in a world where conflicts this destructive are permanently on the menu, I’m not going to ever buy an ICE car again. No one wants to be at the mercy of anyone else where possible and as someone who only owns ICE cars, it’s been very stressful few weeks.

by bamboozled

4/20/2026 at 9:44:00 PM

I think you are on to something here. But it would mean that sentiment could change on a whim: a serious blackout somewhere in Europe that makes continent-wide headlines, and EV demand might crash.

by ManuelKiessling

4/20/2026 at 9:37:06 PM

I mean, realistically it's only going one direction.

by rsynnott

4/20/2026 at 6:09:39 PM

I wonder what way of thinking these people exercise. They think electricity prices are somehow shielded from price going up?

by jesterson

4/20/2026 at 7:31:50 PM

ICE cars use energy from close to 100% oil. As long as your electrical grid is more diverse than that, you're already better off.

by barbazoo

4/20/2026 at 8:09:34 PM

Exactly, electricity generation is already diversified, so it naturally gets somewhat shielded from shocks. Energy companies can burn wood if they get truly desperate, but I can only fill up my car with gasoline.

by 0cf8612b2e1e

4/20/2026 at 7:50:35 PM

What? Where? In face that statement is not true pretty much everywhere. 50% of electricity in Hungary is nuclear. 80% in France. 50% coal in Poland, 30 % solar in Spain.

by peterlada

4/20/2026 at 8:14:30 PM

You should reread their post. You're proving their point.

by supercheetah

4/20/2026 at 6:23:09 PM

In places where electricity generation is primarily nuclear, solar, hydro, wind, or geothermal? Yeah pretty much.

In most countries electric utilities have either regulated rates or are public-owned. They don't increase prices willy-nilly.

by triceratops

4/20/2026 at 7:14:39 PM

If you have an internet connected charger, which is standard in some countries, you can be decoupled from gas prices long before the gas gets phased out of the grid by charging when the grid is cheap and clean, even if gas is still being used for peakers. A simple timer will also often do the job, but you get even lower prices if you help the grid out by letting it dictate the exact time to start charging.

by ZeroGravitas

4/20/2026 at 8:04:20 PM

It's not about price; it's hedging against the very real risk of petrol rationing and shortages. An EV can charge from any source, and in Europe a lot of power is sourced from non-oil sources

by codeduck

4/21/2026 at 7:10:42 AM

If that's the case, probability of rationing/shortages for electricity may be even higher, unless you have your own generation.

There are several oil companies/sources, but for electricity you are at mercy of those who control grid. Again, unless you have your own generation.

by jesterson

4/20/2026 at 9:38:16 PM

Very few electricity grids (I think _none_ in Europe?) are particularly dependent on oil. Many European grids are quite _gas_ dependent, but gas prices are considerably less volatile than oil.

by rsynnott

4/20/2026 at 9:19:37 PM

Here’s my way of thinking: charging overnight on a smart tariff means my cost per mile is a quarter of what it used to be. It could go up by 3x and I’d still save.

by thebruce87m

4/20/2026 at 8:00:50 PM

No. But there is more control than with petrol. An if you have more charger, could balance charginf during off-peak cheaper hours.

Can't do anything about petrol. Pay or gtfo.

by whatevaa

4/20/2026 at 8:33:26 PM

i rarely (as a 12 year ev driver) see discussions mention you just get multiple times more distance per dollar, as a consumer, with an EV over ICE. (and i like both....it's just what i have measured having both)

by jjtheblunt

4/20/2026 at 9:44:23 PM

Don't accuse people of not thinking before you've thought about it.

Charging an electric car at home is a lot cheaper than filling an ICE car with petrol. If the price of both doubles you save more money by switching to electric.

To make it really simple...

Before: Petrol car costs £10k to buy, plus 20p/mile (or whatever). Electric car costs £20k, plus 5p/mile.

After: Petrol car costs 40p/mile. Electric car costs 10p/mile.

That pushes the incentive towards electric.

by IshKebab

4/20/2026 at 9:00:34 PM

[dead]

by johnwhitman

4/20/2026 at 4:32:51 PM

These are just flashes in a pan. The material math for EVs is not viable.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 4:50:31 PM

I'll bet your math conveniently ignores the fact that the supply of petroleum is inherently limited and subject to disruption for political and other "non-material" reasons..

by jqpabc123

4/20/2026 at 6:39:47 PM

It's not a political statement, just basic physics & chemistry: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEkIh2PcSYE

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 6:51:16 PM

Your own YouTube link refutes your conclusion. in the first few sentences he states “The problem is not with EVs it’s with mandates”

EVs are fine,

yes they are still limited in some cases.

by diablozzq

4/20/2026 at 6:53:45 PM

The mandates won't fix the fundamental physical & material problems so I'll repeat what I said. EVs are never going to work at the scale of ICEs, the numbers don't work out. Regardless of any political "incentives", there is only a finite amount of copper & only finitely many cars that can be made w/ that amount of copper which has to be extracted & processed using non-renewable resources.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 6:56:48 PM

> Regardless of any political "incentives", there is only a finite amount of copper & only finitely many cars that can be made w/ that amount of copper which has to be extracted & processed using non-renewable resources.

> the numbers don't work out

What are the numbers? Are we running out of any of those? Are we not recycling enough materials?

by barbazoo

4/20/2026 at 7:36:10 PM

Copper is a widely recycled metal. Is there not enough copper on earth to replace all ICE cars with EVs? Can you post some sources? And those numbers you keep talking about so I can verify if your calculator is working alright.

by wao0uuno

4/20/2026 at 8:33:01 PM

I already posted the link. You are welcome to verify the details for yourself by following up on what you take to be articles of faith. The burden of proof is on you to explain why the numbers actually work.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 9:38:25 PM

You act like no one has ever seen propaganda before. An extraordinary claim that all of society neglected some simple math, (even at significant personal investment losses in many cases) needs a bit more than one video.

by torvoborvo

4/20/2026 at 9:32:30 PM

Your link is an oil industry shill saying asinine things like EVs are too expensive because they have welds in their manufacturing processes.

Mark Mills is the founder of The National Center for Energy Analytics. Where do they get their funding? Groups like the Texas Public Policy Foundation. Where do they get their funding? That's right, billionaire oilmen.

https://www.texasobserver.org/revealed-the-corporations-and-...

Dude is paid to throw out falsehoods and sow doubt and confusion on behalf of oil industry billionaires.

> The burden of proof is on you to explain why the numbers actually work

The burden of proof is on you to share actual data of your claims there's not enough copper for EVs not ramblings of paid liars on a YouTube video.

> following up on what you take to be articles of faith

Hilarious you're suggesting him asking for actual data is him relying on blind articles of faith while your video is just a man rambling without any actual hard facts in a video, saying lots of things that just on their face make little sense.

by vel0city

4/20/2026 at 9:53:56 PM

You've convinced me, the data you have presented definitely makes it clear & obvious that Mark Mills is wrong & you are right.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 9:57:31 PM

But this guy says 9 out of 10 doctors prefer Camels!

Mark Mills is essentially the same as those researchers who told you cigarettes don't cause cancer and lead in the gas isn't anything to worry about.

by vel0city

4/20/2026 at 10:00:53 PM

I didn't really ask for analogies & metaphors but you spent a lot of time not doing any of the math. It's a good thing I found your argument convincing though, now everyone else can look at this thread & convince themselves that EVs are viable b/c you presented very coherent evidence & arguments.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 10:05:39 PM

> but you spent a lot of time not doing any of the math

I actually did the math two hours ago in the other comment showing your point about copper is nonsensical.

Strange the oil man is so concerned about a recycleable metal that an EV uses 200lbs or less of compared to the 48,000lbs a similar ICE will burn in gas. Doesn't bother thinking about all the extraction issues with that or how that will be a finite supply.

Hilarious.

But sure, take the words of a guy paid millions to lie to you about this very topic who gave you no data at all over the actual data I gave below.

by vel0city

4/20/2026 at 7:29:45 PM

> there is only a finite amount of copper

There is only a finite amount of oil as well.

There is only a finite amount of aluminum and iron.

There is only a finite amount of everything on this planet my dude.

> has to be extracted & processed using non-renewable resources

Technically speaking these don't always have to be entirely non-renewable processes. But let's also think: when the copper windings on some EV's motor are toast it can be recycled pretty much infinitely. How many times does that gallon of gasoline get recycled?

Seems strange to have the copper be the thing so uniquely focused on.

You're so focused on like 200lbs of copper that will be in the car the entire life of the car and can then be recycled after the life of the car, being so extremely concerned about how its such a finite resource. Meanwhile you just ignore than a 25mpg ICE car over a 200,000mi life will burn ~48,600lbs of gasoline, none of which is recoverable, and is also a finite resource.

Which one should we me more concerned about using up? The one that's easily recyclable or the one that's not and will be consumed >240x as much?

https://internationalcopper.org/sustainable-copper/about-cop...

> Current copper resources are estimated to exceed 5,000 million tonnes

That's ~50 billion EV cars worth of copper we roughly know about. There's probably more than that out there, we just haven't found it yet. It also just ignores all the copper we've already mined and is in the circular economy.

by vel0city

4/20/2026 at 6:03:13 PM

I don't think "material math" applies to things that are huge luxury/status symbol purchases. Otherwise we'd all be driving 2005 corollas.

And as status-symbol or identity statement, being anti-oil (or anti beholden on America, Russia, Iran, etc) seems like a pretty good one.

by zug_zug

4/20/2026 at 6:39:01 PM

I am not making any political statements, it's all basic physics & material science: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEkIh2PcSYE

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 7:11:55 PM

I've watched plenty of youtube videos, I'm not gonna watch a 10 minute video from somebody I've never heard of and treat is as a good source. It's bad form to post that here multiple times instead of just citing whatever actual published sources.

Especially when EV vehicles are already working and taking over the market.

by zug_zug

4/20/2026 at 7:21:17 PM

The man in the video has a history of questionable claims, for some fairly obvious reasons:

https://www.desmog.com/mark-p-mills/

> Senior Fellow at the Manhattan Institute, and a Strategic Partner at Cottonwood Venture Partners, an investment firm focused on technological advancements in oil and gas production

by ZeroGravitas

4/20/2026 at 7:40:11 PM

Edit: Just checked the guidelines so: Man, what a terrible person. I hope he steps on a lego block.

by wao0uuno

4/20/2026 at 8:03:27 PM

There was no physics in that. It was 10 minutes of incoherent rambling.

How do people find this convincing? Is it a new fashion?

by onraglanroad

4/20/2026 at 9:20:01 PM

Global copper reserves are about 980 million tonnes, with 1.5 billion tonnes of identified resources and 2024 mine production of about 23 million tonnes.

A conventional car uses about 23 kg of copper and a battery-electric car about 83 kg, a difference of roughly 60 kg per vehicle.

With more than 17 million EVs sold in 2024, that implies about 1.4 million tonnes of copper embodied in those vehicles, or about 1.0 million tonnes more copper than comparable conventional cars would have used; applying the same assumptions to the current global passenger-car fleet implies roughly 120 million tonnes total or 87 million tonnes incremental copper for an all-BEV fleet.

Separately, the IEA says that under today’s policy settings and announced projects, copper faces an implied 30% mined-supply shortfall in 2035, while expanded recycling could reduce new mine needs for copper by about 35% by 2050.

USGS copper reserves / resources / mine production https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2025/mcs2025-copper.pdf

USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2025 landing page https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/mcs2025

IEA Global EV Outlook 2025 – trends in electric car markets https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2025/trends-in...

IEA Global EV Outlook 2025 – full report page https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2025

IEA Global EV Outlook 2025 – PDF https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/7ea38b60-3033-42a6-...

IEA Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025 – overview for copper shortfall / recycling https://www.iea.org/reports/global-critical-minerals-outlook...

IEA Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025 – executive summary https://www.iea.org/reports/global-critical-minerals-outlook...

IEA Global Critical Minerals Outlook 2025 – PDF https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ef5e9b70-3374-4caa-...

International Copper Association – copper intensity in electrification of transport https://internationalcopper.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/2...

by ManuelKiessling

4/20/2026 at 9:57:46 PM

Great, do these reports include all the other materials that go into BEV b/c copper is only one single component w/ a shortfall.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 10:13:42 PM

And the goalposts go flying!

You know what's a shortfall today around the world? Gasoline.

by vel0city

4/21/2026 at 1:37:57 AM

Peak oil production was in 1970 so I don't know what to tell you other than it's basic physics. You should look into something called EROEI (energy return on energy invested). You might find it useful for your next argument about the viability of EVs.

by measurablefunc

4/21/2026 at 2:16:48 AM

I don't know what to tell you. ICE cars are doomed, it's basic physics. They depend on something that is a finite resource that you agree peaked a long while ago. They're well along their way to complete failure. And yet while we'll still have the copper to recycle into new motors we won't have more oil. But here you are telling me we're going to run out of copper despite lots of sources telling you that's absolutely nonsense, but you'll believe it because some guy in a YouTube video told you "that's just basic physics, there's only so much copper, gotcha!"

> You should look into something called EROEI (energy return on energy invested).

I'm very familiar with it. As easy supplies of oil are getting used up the EROEI of oil is falling. It takes a lot of energy to transport and refine all those tar sands after all. It takes a lot of energy to cryogenically transport LNG around the world. And once you burn it, you need yet another shipment of it around the world. Meanwhile the EROEI of modern renewables is often even exceeding natural gas plants. I don't know what to tell you other than it's basic physics.

You might find actually reading sources other than the oil and gas industry lobbyists enlightening on the topic. Quit asking the Altria group if you should quit that smoking habit and go talk to an actual doctor. And before you brush that off, it's exactly what you're doing. You're asking an oil industry insider if you should bother looking into buying less oil. Of course he's going to tell you nothing else makes sense, keep buying oil.

You should look at actual facts with real figures for your next argument about EVs instead of claiming there's not enough copper. I'm sorry you've swallowed so many obvious lies by these guys.

by vel0city

4/21/2026 at 2:36:46 AM

In any event, this discussion has run its course so good luck in your EV evangelism efforts.

by measurablefunc

4/20/2026 at 7:54:56 PM

Geez, Hillsdale College. Worldwide authority on all economics from the theological perspective. Congrats on picking information sources.

by peterlada

4/20/2026 at 8:34:09 PM

Do the math & then post your own video to explain why he's mistaken.

by measurablefunc