4/16/2026 at 4:51:01 AM
I have a hard time believing their numbers. If you can pay off a mac mini in 2-4 months, and make $1-2k profit every month after that, why wouldn’t their business model just be buying mac minis?by kennywinker
4/16/2026 at 10:48:37 AM
The numbers are optimistically legit -- it's calculated based purely considering we have demand for all machines at all times. We don't have that right now, but fairly optimistic that people will do it.That's why we don't recommend purchasing a new machine. Existing machine is no cost for you to run this.
Electricity is one cost, but it will get paid off from every request it receives. Electricity is only deducted when you run an inference. If you have any questions, DM me @gajesh on Twitter.
by eigengajesh
4/16/2026 at 2:37:26 PM
> That's why we don't recommend purchasing a new machine. Existing machine is no cost for you to run this.You misunderstood. If the ROI is there, there is enough capital in existence for you to accelerate your profit. So why even deal with the complexity of renting people's hardware when you can do it yourself?
by mbesto
4/17/2026 at 1:52:02 AM
No, what he's saying is that he expects this to be the ROI in the future because his product is so good.by splintercell
4/16/2026 at 11:10:48 AM
You're not taking into account the thermal strain on the machine, though. A machine that's 100% utilized (even worse if it's in bursts) will last less than an idle machine.by stavros
4/16/2026 at 12:47:04 PM
Not appreciably, and not before a 5-yr AppleCare+ warranty expires.Out of our >3000 currently active Apple Silicon Macs, failures due to non-physical damage are in the single digits per year. Of those, none have been from production systems with 24/7 uptime and continuous high load, which reflects your parenthetical.
Perhaps we haven't met the other end of the bathtub curve yet, but we also won't be retaining any of these very far beyond their warranty period, much less the end of their support life.
by washadjeffmad
4/16/2026 at 5:38:52 PM
AppleCare+ annual is perpetual as long as you keep paying it (and Apple offers to switch to that when your 3-year lump sum expires if you choose that instead). I’m guessing it ends whenever they officially discontinue hardware support, which has traditionally been about 7 years after the last unit is produced, but I haven’t reached that yet to know for sure.by bbatsell
4/16/2026 at 12:54:26 PM
I think the point of this is more "use the machine you have at home" than "do a TCO analysis and see if it's profitable", though. People like to keep their machines working for longer, generally.by stavros
4/16/2026 at 5:32:44 PM
> Not appreciably, and not before a 5-yr AppleCare+ warranty expires.It’s three years for Macs, though I believe you can pay annually for longer. Five has never been a thing to my knowledge.
by alsetmusic
4/16/2026 at 11:26:51 AM
> A machine that's 100% utilized (even worse if it's in bursts) will last less than an idle machine.How much though? Say I have three Mac Minis next to each other, one that is completely idle but on, one that bursts 100% CPU every 10 minutes and one that uses 100% CPU all the time, what's the difference on how long the machines survives? Months, years or decades?
by embedding-shape
4/16/2026 at 7:37:13 PM
> Existing machine is no cost for you to run this.That is not at all how modern chips work. Idle chips are mostly powered down, non-idle ones are working and that causes real measurable wear and tear on the silicon. CPU, RAM, NAND all wear and tear measurably with use on current manufacturing processes.
by dmitrygr
4/16/2026 at 8:46:19 PM
Like pitching "drive rideshares for only the cost of your time & gas"by Barbing
4/16/2026 at 8:49:28 PM
The question is, do they wear faster than they become obsolete, as in much more expensive to run than buying a new one with higher compute/watt. (and you can also factor in the ability to run latest models at usable speed)by ta988
4/16/2026 at 9:10:45 PM
It’s complicated. When you design with modern PDKs, you consider the expected duty cycle of the device, expected temps, and the wear and tear on the silicon all together. That affects the layout of the chip as well as certain choices about widths of various features. Generally, one designs consumer SoCs to last 10 years with the expected duty cycle (low). With more wear you could run out of your “years" much faster, maybe even before the warranty.by dmitrygr
4/16/2026 at 5:17:26 PM
I don't worry about bandwidth or constant CPU use, but the one thing that will kill my mac is burning out the SSD.The calculator gives numbers for nearly everything, but I can't obviously see how much space it needs for model storage or how many writes of temp files I should expect if I'm running flat out.
by BuildTheRobots
4/17/2026 at 4:18:30 AM
I assumed you'd want to run one immutable model that can fit in memory without any temp files.by MithrilTuxedo
4/16/2026 at 7:12:19 PM
put that stuff on an external disk perhaps, it will eventually crater, but it's easier to replace than macbook internal storage (how are they doing mac minis these days?)by sleepybrett
4/17/2026 at 5:51:13 AM
Isn't high memory pressure will result in high memory paging which will wear down the internal ssd?by neurostimulant
4/16/2026 at 9:40:08 PM
My question is why did you have to design this to use an MDM instead of a simple program running in the terminal or something?by LPisGood
4/16/2026 at 11:31:31 AM
If you start buying minis, then you need to house, power, and cool them. So you are building a mini data center. If you are building a small data center, economies of scale will drive you to want to build larger and larger. However, this gets expensive and neighbors tend to not like data centers (for good reason). To me this seems like asymmetric warfare against hyper-scalers.by avidphantasm
4/16/2026 at 3:10:27 PM
Yup. This way, the people pay for the air conditioning themselves and they probably don't even notice the extra cost.by xhkkffbf
4/16/2026 at 7:53:41 PM
& if they live in a cool place, they're getting a small space heater as a bonus.by edbaskerville
4/16/2026 at 7:59:00 AM
Because they don’t have that much initial money in their pocket, while the idle computer is already there, and the biggest friction point is convincing people to install some software. Both producing rhetoric and software are several order of magnitude cheaper than to directly own and maintain a large fleet of hardware with high guarantee of getting the electrical stable input in a safe place to store them.Assuming that getting large chunk of initial investment is just a formality is out of touch with 99% of people reality out there, when it’s actually the biggest friction point in any socio-economical endeavour.
by psychoslave
4/16/2026 at 2:01:04 PM
No provider maintains 100% utilization of GPUs at full rate. Demand is bursty - even if this project is successful, you might expect, e.g., things to be busy during the stock market times when Claude is throwing API errors and then severely underutilized during the same times that Anthropic was offering two-for-one off peak use.And then there's a hit for overprovisioning in general. If the network is not overprovisioned somewhat, customers won't be able to get requests handled when they want, and they'll flee. But the more overprovisioned it is, the worse it is for compute seller earnings.
I suspect an optimistic view of earnings from a platform like this would be something like 1/8 utilization on a model like Gemma 4. Their calculator estimates my m4 pro mini could earn about $24/month at 3 hours/day on that model. That seems plausible.
by dgacmu
4/16/2026 at 5:18:14 PM
Hold my beer: https://imgur.com/a/sNAoghLby liuliu
4/16/2026 at 5:53:44 PM
What's your Y axis?by pgporada
4/16/2026 at 5:00:01 AM
Solid q. I think the part of it is that it’s really easy to attract some “mass” (capital) of users, as there are definitely quite a few of idle Macs in the world.Non-VC play (not required until you can raise on your own terms!) and clear differentiation.
If you want to go full-business-evaluation, I would be more worried about someone else implementing same thing with more commission (imo 95% and first to market is good enough).
by chaoz_
4/16/2026 at 7:55:21 AM
I think the point they’re making though is that the numbers seem too good to be true.ie. Does anyone know the payback time for a B100 used just for inference? I assume it’s more than a couple of months? Or is it just training that costs so much?
by jonplackett
4/16/2026 at 10:55:39 AM
Eigenlayer (which this is spun off from) is a massively VC-funded crypto company.by Saline9515
4/16/2026 at 6:22:43 AM
It is too good to be true. When you see it is making more than a claude code subscription for fuck all work per day.Prolly gonna make $50 a year tops.
by dnnddidiej
4/16/2026 at 3:29:49 PM
Or like anything else it will be too good to be true at the very beginning but then once people hear about it and it gets popular supply overtakes demand and the mac minis go back to being idle most of the day.When YouTubers start making videos about it you know it's too late.
by CTDOCodebases
4/16/2026 at 10:49:18 PM
The question is what is the hassle of running it plus wear and tear. Max price will tend to that. It is not like crypto where there is capital investment in a rig that can do nothing else. People are using their existing laptop. So I reckon 20-50 a year max per laptop.by dnnddidiej
4/16/2026 at 6:00:35 AM
The numbers are obviously high, because if this takes off then the price for inference will also drop. But I still think it’s a solid economic model that benefits low income countries the most. In Ukraine, for example, I know people who live on $200/month. A couple Mac Minis could feed a family in many places.As a business owner, I can think of multiple reasons why a decentralized network is better for me as a business than relying on a hyperscaler inference provider. 1. No dependency on a BigTech provider who can cut me off or change prices at any time. I’m willing to pay a premium for that. 2. I get a residential IP proxy network built-in. AI scrapers pay big money for that. 3. No censorship. 4. Lower latency if inference nodes are located close to me.
by znnajdla
4/16/2026 at 6:14:33 AM
How many of those people who could live off $200USD/month can afford or already have a mac mini in the house?by kennywinker
4/16/2026 at 9:04:05 AM
They already have an iPhone. They could save up or borrow for a Mac Mini if they had to. Some of those people I know who live on $200/month have $30k in the bank.by znnajdla
4/16/2026 at 9:27:34 AM
then you are talking about low spend, not low incomeby lxglv
4/16/2026 at 9:34:45 AM
Not really. There are lots of people who have low income and low spending, but not low savings. Retired pensioners with savings. Young families who inherited from deceased parents/grandparents. Highly paid professionals on sabbatical. I've met people from all of those categories in Ukraine who live on $200/month.by znnajdla
4/16/2026 at 9:44:47 AM
Isn't this same premise as "lets buy few GPUs to mine crypto and have passive income"? It didn't work very well and it probably won't work now either. If there is money to be made, bigger players will get in there, buy out all mac minis they can, drive price up for regular people and inevitably drive inference price down so you'll be lucky to get initial investment backby aacid
4/16/2026 at 9:51:01 AM
No it's not the same premise at all. Crypto doesn't do anything useful for legitimate businesses. AI inference is very useful for legitimate businesses, and so are residential IP proxies for scraping. And by definition, residential IPs cannot be centralized. And as building GPUs becomes more expensive, the existing pool of second hand unused hardware becomes more valuable, not less. The problem with crypto mining is that it quickly becomes unprofitable for small scale deployments. I'm not sure if AI inference would be, especially for the decentralized benefits of lower latency.by znnajdla
4/16/2026 at 10:21:37 AM
It is the same premise, because the person you are responding to is not talking about the moral implications at all, only about the financial / hardware implications.Running AI inference increases the power draw, and requires certain hardware.
Mining bitcoin increases the power draw, and requires certain hardware.
OP's point thus stands: Bad players will find places to get far cheaper power than the intended audience, and will buy dedicated hardware, at which point the money you can earn to do this will soon drop below the costs for power (for folks like you and me).
Maybe that won't happen, but why won't that happen?
by rzwitserloot
4/16/2026 at 10:43:35 AM
The main problem with crypto is there is no universal need for it. The demand for crypto doesn’t keep increasing as compute gets cheaper. But the demand for AI inference is only growing, and making it cheaper would likely only increase demand. So it’s not a race to the bottom. Sure hyper focused players can earn more at higher margins. But average players can probably still earn decently. Take for example electricity. It can still be profitable for a home in Germany to install balcony solar and make a little money selling back to the grid even though it’s obviously not as efficient as an industrial power plant. Mom and pop AI inference don’t have to be super efficient as long as they serve a universal need - it will be like balcony solar in Europe.by znnajdla
4/16/2026 at 3:33:20 PM
The residential IP proxy point is i think invalidated by their privacy model. I think they aren’t offering up your IP, just your GPU.by kennywinker
4/16/2026 at 8:25:03 AM
On the latency point - your requests are still going through the coordinator of the system here. So on average strictly worse than a large provider.You - Darkbloom - Operator - Darkbloom - you, vs
You - Provider - you
---
On the censorship point - this is an interesting risk surface for operators. If people are drawn my decentralized model provisioning for its lax censorship, I'm pretty sure they're using it to generate things that I don't want to be liable for.
If anything, I could imagine dumber and stricter brand-safety style censorship on operator machines.
by NiloCK
4/16/2026 at 9:47:46 AM
I'm not talking about Darkbloom specifically, but rather this business model in general. I'm sure a future version of Darkbloom could be P2P for better latency. Or their central operator nodes could be geo-balanced. Liability for censorship doesn't matter if it's truly zero trust. Anyway censorship is not my main concern. Low-latency decentralized inference with no US BigTech dependency is a much bigger selling point in Europe.by znnajdla
4/16/2026 at 8:26:50 AM
It's quite funny thinking about a chimpanzee seeing a lot of bananas thinking this could feed my family and then same with humans only with Mac Minisby yard2010
4/16/2026 at 5:55:22 AM
> These are estimates only. We do not guarantee any specific utilization or earnings. Actual earnings depend on network demand, model popularity, your provider reputation score, and how many other providers are serving the same model.Others are reporting low demand, eg.: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47789171
by thih9
4/16/2026 at 4:29:37 PM
Of course these numbers are ridiculous. Mac Mini (let's assume Apple releases M5 Pro) tops Int8 (let's assume it is the same as FP8, which it is not) at ~50 TFLOPs, with Draw Things, we recently developed hybrid NAX + ANE inference, which can get you ~70 TFLOPs.A H200 gives you ~4 PFLOPs, which is ~60x at only ~40x price (assuming you can get a Mac Mini at $1000). (Not to mention, BTW, RTX PRO 6000 is ~7x price for ~40x more FLOPs).
Your M4 Mac Mini only has ~20 TFLOPs.
by liuliu
4/16/2026 at 5:18:52 PM
> Your computer only has ~20 TFLOPs.What a time to be alive.
by bentobean
4/16/2026 at 4:58:30 AM
Power and racking are difficult and expensive?by gleenn
4/16/2026 at 5:00:37 AM
How difficult? Is running 1000 minis worth $1,000,000/month of effort? I feel like it is.by kennywinker
4/16/2026 at 5:33:25 AM
And at that scale (1k) it ain't even that hard, a single room could be enough to hazardly drop them on shelves with a big fan to draw out the heatby ffsm8
4/16/2026 at 5:31:02 AM
There are many people who do not have ready access to a million dollars to purchase said Mac minis, much less the operating capital to rack & operate them.Very smart play to build a platform, get scale, and prove out the software. Then either add a small network fee (this could be on money movement on/off platform), add a higher tier of service for money, and/or just use the proof points to go get access to capital and become an operator in your own pool.
by runako
4/16/2026 at 5:53:23 AM
If those numbers are true, they could tart with one Mac and can double every few months. But, I guess there are also many people who do not have ready access to whatever a Mac mini costs either...by nxpnsv
4/16/2026 at 1:49:31 PM
You can run the simulation out, but if the idea works, you can get to scaled revenue much faster than organic growth keeping 100% of the margin.This is essentially the same reason even the best money managers take outside money to start, even if they eventually kick out the investors.
by runako
4/16/2026 at 9:02:25 PM
Because the "ship software to people, rent their hardware" model has zero up front investment required, presumably. And they don't have to deal with power, cooling, real estate.by p1necone
4/16/2026 at 7:03:06 AM
"You could see a single robotaxi being worth, or providing, about $30,000 of gross profit per year. ... A Tesla is an appreciating asset..."- Elon Musk during Tesla's Autonomy Day in April 2019.
by agnosticmantis
4/16/2026 at 4:55:38 AM
Capital and availability?by foota
4/16/2026 at 5:05:07 AM
I guess if it only works at scale capital is maybe the answer. Like enough cash to buy 5 or 10 or even 100 minis seem doable - but if the idea only works well when you have 10,000 running - that makes some sense.by kennywinker
4/16/2026 at 12:32:34 PM
Being the middleman is often way more profitableby znpy
4/16/2026 at 12:24:16 PM
Because their numbers don’t work out. When you do the math on token cost versus inference speed, you get something that barely breaks even even with cheap power.Also they’ve already launched a crypto token, which is a terrible sign.
by Filligree