Epoch confirms GPT5.4 Pro solved a frontier math open problem

3/24/2026 at 8:02:17 AM

I am kind of amazed at how many commenters respond to this result by confidently asserting that LLMs will never generate 'truly novel' ideas or problem solutions.

> AI is a remixer; it remixes all known ideas together. It won't come up with new ideas

> it's not because the model is figuring out something new

> LLMs will NEVER be able to do that, because it doesn't exist

It's not enough to say 'it will never be able to do X because it's not in the training data,' because we have countless counterexamples to this statement (e.g. 167,383 * 426,397 = 71,371,609,051, or the above announcement). You need to say why it can do some novel tasks but could never do others. And it should be clear why this post or others like it don't contradict your argument.

If you have been making these kinds of arguments against LLMs and acknowledge that novelty lies on a continuum, I am really curious why you draw the line where you do. And most importantly, what evidence would change your mind?

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 9:59:30 AM

LLMs can generate anything by design. LLMs can't understand what they are generating so it may be true, it may be wrong, it may be novel or it may be known thing. It doesn't discern between them, just looks for the best statistical fit.

The core of the issue lies in our human language and our human assumptions. We humans have implicitly assigned phrases "truly novel" and "solving unsolved math problem" a certain meaning in our heads. Some of us at least, think that truly novel means something truly novel and important, something significant. Like, I don't know, finding a high temperature superconductor formula or creating a new drug etc. Something which involver real intelligent thinking and not randomizing possible solutions until one lands. But formally there can be a truly novel way to pack the most computer cables in a drawer, or truly novel way to tie shoelaces, or indeed a truly novel way to solve some arbitrary math equation with an enormous numbers. Which a formally novel things, but we really never needed any of that and so relegated these "issues" to a deepest backlog possible. Utilizing LLMs we can scour for the solutions to many such problems, but they are not that impressive in the first place.

by Yizahi

3/24/2026 at 10:41:35 AM

If LLMs can come up with formerly truly novel solutions to things, and you have a verification loop to ensure that they are actual proper solutions, I don't understand why you think they could never come up with solutions to impressive problems, especially considering the thread we are literally on right now? That seems like a pure assertion at this point that they will always be limited to coming up with truly novel solutions to uninteresting problems.

by logicprog

3/24/2026 at 11:20:57 AM

"Truly novel" is fast becoming a True Scotsman.

by eru

3/24/2026 at 8:53:38 AM

I've been working on a utility that lets me "see through" app windows on macOS [1] (I was a dev on Apple's Xcode team and have a strong understanding of how to do this efficiently using private APIs).

I wondered how Claude Code would approach the problem. I fully expected it to do something most human engineers would do: brute-force with ScreenCaptureKit.

It almost instantly figured out that it didn't have to "see through" anything and (correctly) dismissed ScreenCaptureKit due to the performance overhead.

This obviously isn't a "frontier" type problem, but I was impressed that it came up with a novel solution.

[1]: https://imgur.com/a/gWTGGYa

by LatencyKills

3/24/2026 at 9:18:38 AM

That's actually pretty cool. What made you think of doing this in the first place?

by skc

3/24/2026 at 9:33:13 AM

Thanks! I've been doing a lot of work on a laptop screen (I normally work on an ultrawide) and got tired of constantly switching between windows to find the information I need.

I've also added the ability to create a picture-in-picture section of any application window, so you can move a window to the background while still seeing its important content.

I'll probably do a Show HN at some point.

by LatencyKills

3/24/2026 at 10:21:25 AM

Why is ScreenCaptureKit a bad choice for performance?

by saagarjha

3/24/2026 at 10:34:21 AM

Because you can't control what the content server is doing. SCK doesn't care if you only need a small section of a window: it performs multiple full window memory copies that aren't a problem for normal screen recorders... but for a utility like mine, the user needs to see the updated content in milliseconds.

Also, as I mentioned above, when using SCK, the user cannot minimize or maximize any "watched" window, which is, in most cases, a deal-breaker.

My solution runs at under 2% cpu utilization because I don't have to first receive the full window content. SCK was not designed for this use case at all.

by LatencyKills

3/24/2026 at 9:12:00 AM

What was the solution?

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:28:33 AM

Well, I'm not going to share either solution as this is actually a pretty useful utility that I plan on releasing, but the short answer is: 1) don't use ScreenCaptureKit, and 2) take advantage of what CGWindowListCreateImage() offers through the content server. This is a simple IPC mechanism that does not trigger all the SKC limitations (i.e., no multi-space or multi-desktop support). In fact, when using SKC, the user cannot even minimize the "watched" window.

Claude realized those issues right from the start.

One of the trickiest parts is tracking the window content while the window is moving - the content server doesn't, natively, provide that information.

by LatencyKills

3/24/2026 at 9:49:24 AM

Huh, Claude one-shotted it out of a single message from me. Man, LLMs have gotten good.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:57:09 AM

No it didn't. Like I said... it may have gotten something that worked but there is no way Claude got it to work while supporting multi-spaces, multi-desktops, and using under 2% cpu utilization. My solution can display app window content even when those windows are minimized, which is not something the content server supports.

My point was that Claude realized all the SKC problems and came up with a solution that 99% of macOS devs wouldn't even know existed.

by LatencyKills

3/24/2026 at 10:19:09 AM

> it may have gotten something that worked but there is no way Claude got it to work while supporting multi-spaces, multi-desktops, and using under 2% cpu utilization.

Maybe, but that's the magic of LLMs - they can now one-shot or few-shot (N<10) you something good enough for a specific user. Like, not supporting multi-desktops is fine if one doesn't use them (and if that changes, few more prompts about this particular issue - now the user actually knows specifically what they need - should close the gap).

by TeMPOraL

3/24/2026 at 9:07:40 AM

Most inventions are an interpolation of three existing ideas. These systems are very good at that.

by SequoiaHope

3/24/2026 at 10:18:41 AM

My take as well. Furthermore, most innovations come relatively shortly after their technological prerequisites have been met, so that suggests the "novelty space" that humans generally explore is a relatively narrow band around the current frontier. Just as humans can search through this space, so too should machines be capable of it. It's not an infinitely unbounded search which humans are guided through by some manner of mystic soul or other supernatural forces.

by mikkupikku

3/24/2026 at 11:00:22 AM

I can't even find a good example of an invention that is not an interpolation.

by fsflover

3/24/2026 at 8:52:25 AM

It is like not trusting someone who attained highest score in some exam by by-hearting the whole text book, to do the corresponding job.

Not very hard to understand.

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 10:22:42 AM

Yet we do that all the time by hiring based on GPA/degree.

by TeMPOraL

3/24/2026 at 10:29:05 AM

Do we? I've never been asked for my grades unless it was for filling in a visa, and my degree is in a marginally related field.

by ori_b

3/24/2026 at 8:23:16 AM

> e.g. 167,383 * 426,397 = 71,371,609,051

They may be wrong, but so are you.

by jacquesm

3/24/2026 at 9:07:05 AM

No, its correct:

https://www.google.com/search?q=167383+*+426397

by KellyCriterion

3/24/2026 at 11:13:16 AM

You missed the point.

by jacquesm

3/24/2026 at 9:56:14 AM

You could have just checked the math yourself, you know.

by swingboy

3/24/2026 at 11:14:43 AM

My pocket calculator says the same thing and it doesn't even have training data.

by jacquesm

3/24/2026 at 8:35:28 AM

[dead]

by tourist2d

3/24/2026 at 8:23:49 AM

Beliefs are not rooted in facts. Beliefs are a part of you, and people aren't all that happy to say "this LLM is better than me"

by tornikeo

3/24/2026 at 8:41:45 AM

I'm very happy to say calculators are far better than me in calculations (to a given precision). I'm happy to admit computers are so much better than me in so many aspects. And I have problem saying LLMs are very helpful tools able to generate output so much better than mine in almost every field of knowledge.

Yet, whenever I ask it to do something novel or creative, it falls very short. But humans are ingenious beasts and I'm sure or later they will design an architecture able to be creative - I just doubt it will be Transformer-based, given the results so far.

by benterix

3/24/2026 at 9:07:33 AM

But the question isn't whether you can get LLMs to do something novel, it's whether anyone can get them to do something novel. Apparently someone can, and the fact that you can't doesn't mean LLMs aren't good for that.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 11:05:38 AM

When it comes to LLMs doing novel things, is it just the infinite monkey theorem[0] playing out at an accelerated rate, helped along by the key presses not being truly random?

Surely if we tell the LLM to do enough stuff, something will look novel, but how much confirmation bias is at play? Tens of millions of people are using AI and the biggest complaint is hallucinations. From the LLMs perspective, is there any difference between a novel solution and a hallucination, other than dumb luck of the hallucination being right?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem

by al_borland

3/24/2026 at 11:07:24 AM

This argument doesn't go the way you want it to go. Billions of people exist, but maybe a few tens of thousands produce novel knowledge. That's a much worse rate than LLMs.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:58:51 AM

To have a proper discussion we would have to define the word "novel" and that's a challenge in itself. In any case, millions of poeple tried to ask LLMs to do something creative and the results were bland. Hence my conclusion LLMs aren't good for that. But I'm also open they can be an element of a longer chain that could demonstrate some creativity - we'll see.

by benterix

3/24/2026 at 9:48:10 AM

Novel is a tricky word. In this case, the LLM produced a python program that was similar to other programs in its corpus, and this oython program generated examples of hypergraphs that hadn't been seen before.

That's a new result, but I don't know about novel. The technique was the same as earlier work in this vein. And it seems like not much computational power was needed at all. (The article mentions that an undergrad left a laptop running overnight to produce one of the previous results, that's absolute peanuts when compared to most computational research).

by tovej

3/24/2026 at 9:50:00 AM

I have never seen a human produce a Python program that wasn't similar to other programs they'd seem.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 8:27:24 AM

It's not possible to know something without believing it to be true. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belief#/media/File:Classical_d...

by ChrisGreenHeur

3/24/2026 at 9:01:23 AM

This is objectively wrong. If that was the case every scientist performing a test would have always had their expectations and beliefs proven true. If you're trying to disprove something also because you believe it to be wrong you would never be proven wrong.

by bilekas

3/24/2026 at 9:12:51 AM

Do we know for a fact that LLMs aren't now configured to pass simple arithmetic like this in a simpler calculator, to add illusion of actual insight?

by veltas

3/24/2026 at 9:40:04 AM

You can train a LLM on just multiplication and test it on ones it has never seen before, it's nothing particularly magical.

by GaggiX

3/24/2026 at 9:49:36 AM

It's not 'magic' though but previously LLMs have performed very badly on longer multiplication, 'insight' is the wrong word but I'm saying maybe they're not wildly better at this calculation... maybe they are just optimising these well known jagged edges.

by veltas

3/24/2026 at 8:35:22 AM

The hardest part about any creativity is hiding your influences

by PUSH_AX

3/24/2026 at 10:48:19 AM

When I read through what they're doing? It sure doesn't sound like it's generating something new as people typically think of it. The link, they provide a very well defined problem and they just loop through it.

I think you're arguing with semantics.

by cyanydeez

3/24/2026 at 8:50:46 AM

>>AI is a remixer; it remixes all known ideas together. It won't come up with new ideas

I always found this argument very weak. There isn't that much truly new anyway. Creativity is often about mixing old ideas. Computers can do that faster than humans if they have a good framework. Especially with something as simple as math - limited set of formal rules and easy to verify results - I find a belief computers won't beat humans at it to be very naive.

by bluecalm

3/24/2026 at 8:39:11 AM

Yes! I call these the "it's just a stochastic parrot" crowd.

Ironically, they are the stochastic parrots, because they're confidently repeating something that they read somehwere and haven't examined critically.

by ekjhgkejhgk

3/24/2026 at 8:28:31 AM

I guess when it can't be tripped up by simple things like multiplying numbers, counting to 100 sequentially or counting letters in a string without writing a python program, then I might believe it.

Also no matter how many math problems it solves it still gets lost in a codebase

by bdbdbdb

3/24/2026 at 9:22:30 AM

LLMs are bad at arithmetic and counting by design. It's an intentional tradeoff that makes them better at language and reasoning tasks.

If anybody really wanted a model that could multiply and count letters in words, they could just train one with a tokenizer and training data suited to those tasks. And the model would then be able to count letters, but it would be bad at things like translation and programming - the stuff people actually use LLMs for. So, people train with a tokenizer and training data suited to those tasks, hence LLMs are good at language and bad at arithmetic,

by fenomas

3/24/2026 at 8:40:52 AM

Arguments like "but AI cannot reliably multiply numbers" fundamentally misunderstand how AI works. AI cannot do basic math not because AI is stupid, but because basic math is an inherently difficult task for otherwise smart AI. Lots of human adults can do complex abstract thinking but when you ask them to count it's "one... two... three... five... wait I got lost".

by anal_reactor

3/24/2026 at 8:55:46 AM

> fundamentally misunderstand how AI works

Who does fundamentally understand how LLMs work? Many claims flying around these days, all backed by some of the largest investments ever collectively made by humans. Lots of money to be lost because of fundamental misunderstandings.

Personally, I find that AI influencers conveniently brush away any evidence (like inability to perform basic arithmetic) about how LLMs fundamentally work as something that should be ignored in favor of results like TFA.

Do LLMs have utility? Undoubtedly. But it’s a giant red flag for me that their fundamental limitations, of which there are many, are verboten to be spoken about.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 9:10:59 AM

You're not doing yourself a favor when you point out "but they can't do arithmetic!" as if anyone says otherwise. Yes, we all know they can't do arithmetic, and that's just how they work.

I feel like I'm saying "this hammer is so cool, it's made driving nails a breeze" and people go "but it can't screw screws in! Why won't anyone talk about that! Hammers really aren't all they're cracked up to be".

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:34:06 AM

Maybe because society has invested $trillions into this hammer and influencers are trying to convince CEOs to fire everyone and buy a bunch of hammers instead.

My comment even said “LLMs have utility”. I gave an inch, and now the mile must be taken.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 9:35:55 AM

Saying that the fundamental limitations are things like counting the number of rs in strawberry is boring, though. That's how tokens work and it's trivial to work around.

Talking about how they find it hard to say they aren't sure of something is a much more interesting limitation to talk about, for example.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 10:01:52 AM

> Talking about how they find it hard to say they aren't sure of something is a much more interesting limitation to talk about, for example.

Sure, thank you for steelmanning my argument. I didn’t think I needed to actually spell out all of the fundamental limitations of LLMs in this specific thread. They are spoken at length across the web, but are often met with pushback, which was my entire point.

Here’s another one: LLMs do not have a memory property. Shut off the power and turn it back on and you lose all context. Any “memory” feature implemented by companies that sell LLM wrappers are a hack on top of how LLMs work, like seeding a context window before letting the user interact with the LLM.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:06:03 AM

But that's also like saying "humans don't have a memory property, any 'memory' is in the hippocampus". It's not useful to say that "an LLM you don't bother to keep training has no memory". Of course it doesn't, you removed its ability to form new memories!

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 10:58:55 AM

So why then do we stop training LLMs and keep them stored at a specific state? Is it perhaps because the results become terrible and LLMs have a delicate optimal state for general use? This sounds like an even worse case for a model of intelligence.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 11:04:02 AM

Nope, it's not that, but it's nice of you to offer a straw man. Makes the argument flow better.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:31:04 AM

Because know one owns a $300 billion dollar hammer that literally runs on fancy calculators.

by TheSpiceIsLife

3/24/2026 at 8:38:31 AM

[dead]

by tourist2d

3/24/2026 at 9:05:34 AM

The capabilities of AI are determined by the cost function it's trained on.

That's a self-evident thing to say, but it's worth repeating, because there's this odd implicit notion sometimes that you train on some cost function, and then, poof, "intelligence", as if that was a mysterious other thing. Really, intelligence is minimizing a complex cost function. The leadership of the big AI companies sometimes imply something else when they talk of "generalization". But there is no mechanism to generate a model with capabilities beyond what is useful to minimize a specific cost function.

You can view the progress of AI as progress in coming up with smarter cost functions: Cleaner, larger datasets, pretraining, RLHF, RLVR.

Notably, exciting early progress in AI came in places where simple cost functions generate rich behavior (Chess, Go).

The recent impressive advances in AI are similar. Mathematics and coding are extremely structured, and properties of a coding or maths result can be verified using automatic techniques. You can set up a RLVR "game" for maths and coding. It thus seems very likely to me that this is where the big advances are going to come from in the short term.

However, it does not follow that maths ability on par with expert mathematicians will lead to superiority over human cognitive ability broadly. A lot of what humans do has social rewards which are not verifiable, or includes genuine Knightian uncertainty where a reward function can not be built without actually operating independently in the world.

To be clear, none of the above is supposed to talk down past or future progress in AI; I'm just trying to be more nuanced about where I believe progress can be fast and where it's bound to be slower.

by svara

3/24/2026 at 9:27:05 AM

> But there is no mechanism to generate a model with capabilities beyond what is useful to minimize a specific cost function.

Can you give some examples?

It is not trivial that not everything can be written as an optimization problem.

Even at the time advanced generalizations such as complex numbers can be said to optimize something, e.g. the number of mathematical symbols you need to do certain proofs, etc.

by amelius

3/24/2026 at 10:27:20 AM

I think you're misreading me. My point isn't that you can't in principle state the optimization problem, but that it's much easier in some domains than in others, that this tracks with how AI has been progressing, and that progress in one area doesn't automatically mean progress in another, because current AI cost functions are less general than the cost functions that humans are working with in the world.

by svara

3/24/2026 at 4:22:02 AM

I have long said I am an AI doubter until AI could print out the answers to hard problems or ones requiring tons of innovation. Assuming this is verified to be correct (not by AI) then I just became a believer. I would like to see a few more AI inventions to know for sure, but wow, it really is a new and exciting world. I really hope we use this intelligence resource to make the world better.

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 4:59:15 AM

Math and coding competition problems are easier to train because of strict rules and cheap verification. But once you go beyond that to less defined things such as code quality, where even humans have hard time putting down concrete axioms, they start to hallucinate more and become less useful.

We are missing the value function that allowed AlphaGo to go from mid range player trained on human moves to superhuman by playing itself. As we have only made progress on unsupervised learning, and RL is constrained as above, I don't see this getting better.

by snemvalts

3/24/2026 at 6:29:26 AM

> I don't see this getting better.

We went from 2 + 7 = 11 to "solved a frontier math problem" in 3 years, yet people don't think this will improve?

by NitpickLawyer

3/24/2026 at 9:01:23 AM

I’ve seen this style of take so much that I’m dying for someone to name a logical fallacy for it, like “appeal to progress” or something.

Step away from LLMs for a second and recognize that “Yesterday it was X, so today it must be X+1” is such a naive take and obviously something that humans so easily fall into a trap of believing (see: flying cars).

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:23:24 AM

In finance we say "past performance does not guarantee future returns." Not because we don't believe that, statistically, returns will continue to grow at x rate, but because there is a chance that they won't. The reality bias is actually in favour of these getting better faster, but there is a chance they do not.

by Gareth321

3/24/2026 at 8:54:46 AM

Scaling law is a power law , requiring orders of magnitude more compute and data for better accuracy from pre-training. Most companies have maxed it out.

For RL, we are arriving at a similar point https://www.tobyord.com/writing/how-well-does-rl-scale

Next stop is inference scaling with longer context window and longer reasoning. But instead of it being a one-off training cost, it becomes a running cost.

In essence we are chasing ever smaller gains in exchange for exponentially increasing costs. This energy will run out. There needs to be something completely different than LLMs for meaningful further progress.

by snemvalts

3/24/2026 at 7:32:59 AM

I tend to disagree that improvement is inherent. Really I'm just expressing an aesthetic preference when I say this, because I don't disagree that a lot of things improve. But it's not a guarantee, and it does take people doing the work and thinking about the same thing every day for years. In many cases there's only one person uniquely positioned to make a discovery, and it's by no means guaranteed to happen. Of course, in many cases there are a whole bunch of people who seem almost equally capable of solving something first, but I think if you say things like "I'm sure they're going to make it better" you're leaving to chance something you yourself could have an impact on. You can participate in pushing the boundaries or even making a small push on something that accelerates someone else's work. You can also donate money to research you are interested in to help pay people who might come up with breakthroughs. Don't assume other people will build the future, you should do it too! (Not saying you DON'T)

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 7:51:24 AM

The problem class is rather very structured which makes it "easier", yet the results are undeniably impressive

by 3abiton

3/24/2026 at 8:02:59 AM

LLMs in some form will likely be a key component in the first AGI system we (help) build. We might still lack something essential. However, people who keep doubting AGI is even possible should learn more about The Church-Turing Thesis.

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/church-turing/

by nopinsight

3/24/2026 at 8:52:05 AM

This is a long read on things most people here know at least in some form. Could you pint to a particular fragment or a quote?

by benterix

3/24/2026 at 6:40:45 AM

But can it count the R's in strawberry?

by number6

3/24/2026 at 7:06:27 AM

That question is equivalent to asking a human to add the wavelengths of those two colors and divide it by 3.

by Paradigma11

3/24/2026 at 7:28:33 AM

Unless you're aware of hyperspectral image adapters for LLMs they aren't capable of that either.

by snovv_crash

3/24/2026 at 7:40:22 AM

Unfair - human beats AI in this comparison, as human will instantly answer "I don't know" instead of yelling a random number.

Or at best "I don't know, but maybe I can find out" and proceed to finding out/ But he is unlikely to shout "6" because he heard this number once when someone talked about light.

by szszrk

3/24/2026 at 7:51:24 AM

> human will instantly answer "I don't know" instead of yelling a random number.

Seems that you never worked with Accenture consultants?

by koliber

3/24/2026 at 9:15:06 AM

Why is that?

by thegabriele

3/24/2026 at 10:33:36 AM

Because LLMs dont have a textual representation of any text they consume. Its just vectors to them. Which is why they are so good at ignoring typos, the vector distance is so small it makes no difference to them.

by Paradigma11

3/24/2026 at 6:47:29 AM

yes its ridiculously good at stuff like that now. I dare you to try and trick it.

by Aditya_Garg

3/24/2026 at 7:01:03 AM

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47495568

by frizlab

3/24/2026 at 7:14:53 AM

what bothers me is not that this issue will certainly disappear now that it has been identified, but that that we have yet to identify the category of these "stupid" bugs ...

by thedatamonger

3/24/2026 at 7:32:34 AM

We already know exactly what causes these bugs. They are not a fundamental problem of LLMs, they are a problem of tokenizers. The actual model simply doesn't get to see the same text that you see. It can only infer this stuff from related info it was trained on. It's as if someone asked you how many 1s there are in the binary representation of this text. You'd also need to convert it first to think it through, or use some external tool, even though your computer never saw anything else.

by sigmoid10

3/24/2026 at 9:05:52 AM

Okay but, genuinely not an expert on the latest with LLMs, but isn’t tokenization an inherent part of LLM construction? Kind of like support vectors in SVMs, or nodes in neural networks? Once we remove tokenization from the equation, aren’t we no longer talking about LLMs?

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:07:20 AM

It's not a side effect of tokenization per se, but of the tokenizers people use in actual practice. If somebody really wanted an LLM that can flawlessly count letters in words, they could train one with a naive tokenizer (like just ascii characters). But the resulting model would be very bad (for its size) at language or reasoning tasks.

Basically it's an engineering tradeoff. There is more demand for LLMs that can solve open math problems, but can't count the Rs in strawberry, than there is for models that can count letters but are bad at everything else.

by fenomas

3/24/2026 at 11:13:53 AM

[dead]

by al_borland

3/24/2026 at 7:09:10 AM

if you let million monkeys bash typewriter. something something book

by saidnooneever

3/24/2026 at 5:20:09 AM

This is not formally verified math so there is no real verifiable-feedback aspect here. The best models for formalized math are still specialized ones. although general purpose models can assist formalization somewhat.

by zozbot234

3/24/2026 at 7:29:06 AM

> But once you go beyond that to less defined things such as code quality

I think they have a good optimization target with SWE-Bench-CI.

You are tested for continuous changes to a repository, spanning multiple years in the original repository. Cumulative edits needs to be kept maintainable and composable.

If there are something missing with the definition of "can be maintained for multiple years incorporating bugfixes and feature additions" for code quality, then more work is needed, but I think it's a good starting point.

by anabis

3/24/2026 at 5:30:30 AM

Maybe to get a real breakthrough we have to make programming languages / tools better suited for LLM strengths not fuss so much about making it write code we like. What we need is correct code not nice looking code.

by jack_pp

3/24/2026 at 7:19:42 AM

> programming languages / tools better suited for LLM strengths

The bitter lesson is that the best languages / tools are the ones for which the most quality training data exists, and that's pretty much necessarily the same languages / tools most commonly used by humans.

> Correct code not nice looking code

"Nice looking" is subjective, but simple, clear, readable code is just as important as ever for projects to be long-term successful. Arguably even more so. The aphorism about code being read much more often than it's written applies to LLMs "reading" code as well. They can go over the complexity cliff very fast. Just look at OpenClaw.

by bloppe

3/24/2026 at 6:05:31 AM

If you can’t validate the code, you can’t tell if it’s correct.

by kube-system

3/24/2026 at 7:42:48 AM

No?

That's literally the thing they suggested to move away from. That is just an issue when using tools designed for us.

Make them write in formal verification languages and we only have to understand the types.

To be clear, I don't think this is a good idea, at least not yet, but we do not have to always understand the code.

by 3836293648

3/24/2026 at 5:31:29 AM

Lean might be a step in that direction.

by eru

3/24/2026 at 5:52:52 AM

Yes yes

Let it write a black box no human understands. Give the means of production away.

by kuerbel

3/24/2026 at 6:31:20 AM

Do we need all that if we can apply AI to solve practical problems today?

by eptcyka

3/24/2026 at 7:31:51 AM

What is possible today is one thing. Sure people debate the details, but at this point it's pretty uncontroversial that AI tooling is beneficial in certain use cases.

Whether or not selling access to massive frontier models is a viable business model, or trillion-dollar valuations for AI companies can be justified... These questions are of a completely different scale, with near-term implications for the global economy.

by computably

3/24/2026 at 7:04:30 AM

Depends on the cost.

by fmbb

3/24/2026 at 5:23:32 AM

LLMs can often guess the final answer, but the intermediate proof steps are always total bunk.

When doing math you only ever care about the proof, not the answer itself.

by otabdeveloper4

3/24/2026 at 5:48:23 AM

Yep, I remember a friend saying they did a maths course at university that had the correct answer given for each question - this was so that if you made some silly arithmetic mistake you could go back and fix it and all the marks were for the steps to actually solve the problem.

by jamesfinlayson

3/24/2026 at 6:44:04 AM

This would have greatly helped me. I always was at a loss which trick I had to apply to solve this exam problem, while knowing the mathematics behind it. Just at some point you had to add a zero that was actually a part of a binomial that then collapsed the whole fromula

by number6

3/24/2026 at 9:09:01 AM

What’s funny is that there are total cranks in human form that do the same thing. Lots of unsolicited “proofs” being submitted by “amateur mathematicians” where the content is utter nonsense, but like a monkey with a typewriter, there’s the possibility that they stumble upon an incredible insight.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 5:32:28 AM

Once you have a working proof, no matter how bad, you can work towards making it nicer. It's like refactoring in programming.

If your proof is machine checkable, that's even easier.

by eru

3/24/2026 at 6:34:23 AM

That is also how humans work mostly. Once every full moon we may get an "intuition" but most of the time we lean on collective knowledge, biases and behavior patterns to take decisions, write and talk.

by prmoustache

3/24/2026 at 9:44:33 AM

I haven't had success in getting AI's to output working proofs.

You'd need a completely different post-training and agent stack for that.

by otabdeveloper4

3/24/2026 at 6:13:55 AM

Except it's not how this specific instance works. In this case the problem isn't written in a formal language and the AI's solution is not something one can automatically verify.

by raincole

3/24/2026 at 6:48:11 AM

I mean, even if the technology stopped to improve immediately forever (which is unlikely), LLMs are already better than most humans at most tasks.

Including code quality. Not because they are exceptionally good (you are right that they aren’t superhuman like AlphaGo) but because most humans are rather not that good at it anyway and also somehow « hallucinate » because of tiredness.

Even today’s models are far from being exploited at their full potential because we actually developed pretty much no tools around it except tooling to generate code.

I’m also a long time « doubter » but as a curious person I used the tool anyway with all its flaws in the latest 3 years. And I’m forced to admit that hallucinations are pretty rare nowadays. Errors still happen but they are very rare and it’s easier than ever to get it back in track.

I think I’m also a « believer » now and believe me, I really don’t want to because as much as I’m excited by this, I’m also pretty much frightened of all the bad things that this tech could to the world in the wrong hands and I don’t feel like it’s particularly in the right hands.

by pjerem

3/24/2026 at 7:45:05 AM

LLMs already do unsupervised learning to get better at creative things. This is possible since LLMs can judge the quality of what is being produced.

by charcircuit

3/24/2026 at 6:30:43 AM

I mean, this is why everyone is making bank selling RL environments in different domains to frontier labs.

by typs

3/24/2026 at 7:30:24 AM

>it really is a new and exciting world...

The point is that from now on, there will be nothing really new, nothing really original, nothing really exciting. Just endless stream of re-hashed old stuff that is just okayish..

Like an AI spotify playlist, it will keep you in chains (aka engaged) without actually making you like really happy or good. It would be like living in a virtual world, but without having anything nice about living in such a world..

We have given up everything nice that human beings used to make and give to each other and to make it worse, we have also multiplied everything bad, that human being used to give each other..

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 7:40:02 AM

> there will be nothing really new

How is this the conclusion? Isn't this post about AI solving something new? What am I missing?

by bogdan

3/24/2026 at 8:07:55 AM

Because economy. Look at marvel movies, do you think the latest one is really new? Or just a rehash of what they found working commercially? Look at all the AI generated blog posts that is flooding the internet..

LLMs might produce something new once in a long while due to blind luck, but if it can generate something that pushes the right buttons (aka not really creative) to majority of population, then that is what we will keep getting...

I don't think I have to elaborate on the "multiplying the bad" part as it is pretty well acknowledged..

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 8:11:56 AM

That's literally all culture: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nJPERZDfyWc

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 8:17:26 AM

The difference is whether an entity that can "feel" is in the loop and how much they have contributed to it even if it is a remix.

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 8:26:26 AM

I think there's demonstrably very little difference at all between human and AI outputs, and that's exactly what freaks people out about it. Else they wouldn't be so obsessed with trying to find and define what makes it different.

The Thesis of Everything is a Remix is that there is no difference in how any culture is produced. Different models will have a different flavor to their output in the same way as different people contribute their own experiences to a work.

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 9:15:39 AM

> I think there's demonstrably very little difference at all between human and AI outputs

Bold claim, as the internet is awash with counterexamples.

In any case, as I think this conversation is trending towards theories of artistic expression, “AI content” will never be truly relatable until it can feel pleasure, pain, and other human urges. The first thing I often think about when I critically assess a piece of art, like music, is what the artist must have been feeling when they created it, and what prompted them to feel that way. I often wonder if AI influencers have ever critically assessed art, or if they actually don’t understand it because of a lack of empathy or something.

And relatability, for me, is the ultimate value of artistic expression.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 9:46:21 AM

> Bold claim, as the internet is awash with counterexamples.

What do you consider a counterexample? Because I've been involved in local politics lately, and can say from experience that any foundation model is capable of more rational and detailed thought, and more creative expression, than most of the beloved members of my community.

If you're comparing AI to the pinnacle of human achievement, as another commenter pointed to Shakespeare, then I think the argument is already won in favor of AI.

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 9:56:21 AM

The claim was precise:

> I think there's demonstrably very little difference at all between human and AI outputs

Counterexamples range from em-dashes, “Not-this, but-that”, people complaining about AI music on Spotify (including me) that sounds vaguely like a genre but is missing all of the instrumentation and motifs common to that genre.

The rest of your comment I don’t even know how to respond to, to be honest.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:01:08 AM

> em-dashes, “Not-this, but-that”

I've literally seen humans accusing other humans of being AI here on hackernews for these. Q.E.D.

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 10:09:34 AM

You’re really going to make the claim that there are no counterexamples of human and AI output being indistinguishable on the internet? At least make the counterclaim that “those are from old models, not the newest ones”, that’s more intellectually invigorating than the comment you just provided.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:20:29 AM

> claim that there are no counterexamples of human and AI output being indistinguishable on the internet?

Is that a claim I've made? I don't see it anywhere. I think a lot of people think that because they can get the AI to generate something silly or obviously incorrect, that invalidates other output which is on-par with top-level humans. It does not. Every human holds silly misconceptions as well. Brain farts. Fat fingers. Great lists of cognitive biases and logical fallacies. We all make mistakes.

It seems to me that symbolic thinking necessitates the use of somewhat lossy abstractions in place of the real thing, primarily limited by the information which can be usefully stored in the brain compared to the informational complexity of the systems being symbolized. Which neatly explains one cognitive pathology that humans and LLMs share. I think there are most certainly others. And I think all the humans I know and all the LLMs I've interacted with exist on a multidimensional continuum of intelligence with significant overlap.

I hereby rebuff your crude and libelous mischaracterization of my assertion. How's that? :)

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 10:26:50 AM

> Is that a claim I've made?

Yes, you literally just said QED.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:32:44 AM

Are we reading the same thread?

You said AI works were easily distinguishable via em-dashes and "not this, but that"

I said I have witnessed humans using that metric accuse other humans here on hackernews. Q.E.D.

You've asserted that they are easily distinguished. Practitioners in the field fail to distinguish using the same criteria. Is that not dispositive? Seems like it to me.

I claimed much earlier in the thread "I think there's demonstrably very little difference at all between human and AI outputs" which is consistent with "I think all the humans I know and all the LLMs I've interacted with exist on a multidimensional continuum of intelligence with significant overlap."

Two ways of saying the same thing.

Both of them suggesting that sometimes you may be able to tell it's the output of an AI or Human, sometimes not. Sometimes the things coming out of the AI or the Human might be smart in a way we recognize, sometimes not. And recognizing that humans already exist on quite a broad scale of intelligences in many axes.

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 9:51:09 AM

>as another commenter pointed to Shakespeare

Lol wut?

I was not saying that LLMs cannot produce something like pinnacle of human achievement. I was saying we cannot quantify the difference between Shakespeare and something commonplace, because it requires the ability to feel.

I think you are being very dishonest here..

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 10:00:01 AM

[dead]

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 8:39:55 AM

> demonstrably very little difference at all between human and AI outputs

Is there "demonstrably" a lot of difference between Shakespeare and an HN comment?

The point is exactly that there is no such difference. And that it enables slop to be sold as art. And that exactly is the danger. But another point is we had the even before LLMs. And LLMs just make it more explicit and makes it possible at scale.

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 9:37:27 AM

Conrad Gessner had the very same complaint in the 16th century, noting the overabundance of printed books, fretting about shoddy, trivial, or error-filled works ( https://www.jstor.org/stable/26560192 )

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 9:40:42 AM

So....what is your point?

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 9:48:06 AM

Generations have grown and died in the time since your concern was first expressed. The world continues. Culture adapts.

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 8:05:40 AM

Each solvable problem contains its solution intrinsically, so to speak, it’s only a matter of time and consuming of resources to get to it. There’s nothing creative about it, which is I think what OP was alluding to (the creative part). I’m talking mostly mathematics.

There’s also a discussion to be made about maths not being intrinsically creative if AI automatons can “solve” parts of it, which pains me to write down because I had really thought that that wasn’t the case, I genuinely thought that deep down there was still something ethereal about maths, but I’ll leave that discussion for some other time.

by paganel

3/24/2026 at 7:35:01 AM

I heard this saying recently “The problem with comfort is that it makes you comfortable.”

by prox

3/24/2026 at 7:38:04 AM

On what do you base your prediction?

Is it because the AI is trained with existing data? But, we are also trained with existing data. Do you think that there's something that makes human brain special (other than the hundreds of thousands years of evolution but that's what AI is all trying to emulate)?

This may sound hostile (sorry for my lower than average writing skills), but trust me, I'm really trying to understand.

by egeozcan

3/24/2026 at 7:46:16 AM

>We have given up everything nice that human beings used to make and give to each other and to make it worse, we have also multiplied everything bad, that human being used to give each other..

Source?

by Daz912

3/24/2026 at 7:43:11 AM

AI can both explore new things and exploit existing things. Nothing forces it to only rehash old stuff.

>without actually making you like really happy or good.

What are you basing this off of. I've shared several AI songs with people in real life due to how much I've enjoyed them. I doing see why an AI playlist couldn't be good or make people happy. It just needs to find what you like in music. Again coming back to explore vs exploit.

by charcircuit

3/24/2026 at 7:50:49 AM

>What are you basing this off of.

Jokes. LLMs are not able to make me laugh all day by generating infinite stream of hilarious original jokes..

Does it work for you?

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 8:16:20 AM

I've found several posts on moltbook funny. I don't really like regular jokes in general and I don't find human ones particularly funny either. I don't think we are at the point of being able to be reliable funny, but it definitely seems possible from my perspective.

by charcircuit

3/24/2026 at 8:20:06 AM

Care to link some?

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 8:24:15 AM

I think they would be hard to find due to how many posts exists along with how things aren't as funny the second time around.

by charcircuit

3/24/2026 at 8:41:11 AM

funny things are funny the n-th time around. Or may be it was just not funny and just something new for you..

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 4:47:27 AM

AI is a remixer; it remixes all known ideas together. It won't come up with new ideas though; the LLMs just predict the most likely next token based on the context. That means the group of characters it outputs must have been quite common in the past. It won't add a new group of characters it has never seen before on its own.

by storus

3/24/2026 at 4:58:40 AM

But human researchers are also remixers. Copying something I commented below:

> Speaking as a researcher, the line between new ideas and existing knowledge is very blurry and maybe doesn't even exist. The vast majority of research papers get new results by combining existing ideas in novel ways. This process can lead to genuinely new ideas, because the results of a good project teach you unexpected things.

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 5:36:07 AM

This is a way too simplistic model of the things humans provide to the process. Imagination, Hypothesis, Testing, Intuition, and Proofing.

An AI can probably do an 'okay' job at summarizing information for meta studies. But what it can't do is go "Hey that's a weird thing in the result that hints at some other vector for this thing we should look at." Especially if that "thing" has never been analyzed before and there's no LLM-trained data on it.

LLMs will NEVER be able to do that, because it doesn't exist. They're not going to discover and define a new chemical, or a new species of animal. They're not going to be able to describe and analyze a new way of folding proteins and what implication that has UNLESS you basically are constantly training the AI on random protein folds constantly.

by blackcatsec

3/24/2026 at 6:16:36 AM

I think you are vastly underestimating the emergent behaviours in frontier foundational models and should never say never.

Remember, the basis of these models is unsupervised training, which, at sufficient scale, gives it the ability to to detect pattern anomalies out of context.

For example, LLMs have struggled with generalized abstract problem solving, such as "mystery blocks world" that classical AI planners dating back 20+ years or more are better at solving. Well, that's rapidly changing: https://arxiv.org/html/2511.09378v1

by parasubvert

3/24/2026 at 7:01:35 AM

No idea how underestimate things are, but marketing terms like "frontier foundational models" don't help to foster trust in a domain hyperhyped.

That is, even if there are cool things that LLM make now more affordable, the level of bullshit marketing attached to it is also very high which makes far harder to make a noise filter.

by psychoslave

3/24/2026 at 5:58:06 AM

>Hey that's a weird thing in the result that hints at some other vector for this thing we should look at

Kinda funny because that looked _very_ close to what my Opus 4.6 said yesterday when it was debugging compile errors for me. It did proceed to explore the other vector.

by Finbel

3/24/2026 at 6:37:20 AM

> Especially if that "thing" has never been analyzed before and there's no LLM-trained data on it.

This is the crucial part of the comment. LLMs are not able to solve stuff that hasn't been solve in that exact or a very similar way already, because they are prediction machines trained on existing data. It is very able to spot outliers where they have been found by humans before, though, which is important, and is what you've been seeing.

by wobfan

3/24/2026 at 6:01:42 AM

""Hey that's a weird thing in the result that hints at some other vector for this thing we should look at." "

This is very common already in AI.

Just look at the internal reasoning of any high thinking model, the trace is full of those chains of thought.

by bluegatty

3/24/2026 at 5:55:20 AM

But just like how there were never any clips of Will Smith eating spaghetti before AI, AI is able to synthesize different existing data into something in between. It might not be able to expand the circle of knowledge but it definitely can fill in the gaps within the circle itself

by Dban1

3/24/2026 at 6:16:27 AM

> LLMs will NEVER be able to do that, because it doesn't exist.

I mean, TFA literally claims that an AI has solved an open Frontier Math problem, descibed as "A collection of unsolved mathematics problems that have resisted serious attempts by professional mathematicians. AI solutions would meaningfully advance the state of human mathematical knowledge."

That is, if true, it reasoned out a proof that does not exist in its training data.

by keeda

3/24/2026 at 6:24:00 AM

It generated a proof that was close enough to something in its training data to be generated.

by tovej

3/24/2026 at 7:55:50 AM

That may be, and we can debate the level of novelty, but it is novel, because this exact proof didn't exist before, something which many claim was not possible with AI. In fact, just a few years ago, based on some dabbling in NLP a decade ago, I myself would not have believed any of this was remotely possible within the next 3 - 5 decades at least.

I'm curious though, how many novel Math proofs are not close enough to something in the prior art? My understanding is that all new proofs are compositions and/or extensions of existing proofs, and based on reading pop-sci articles, the big breakthroughs come from combining techniques that are counter-intuitive and/or others did not think of. So roughly how often is the contribution of a proof considered "incremental" vs "significant"?

by keeda

3/24/2026 at 9:40:46 AM

Well, for one the proof would have to use actual proof techniques.

What really happened here was that the LLM produced a python script that generated examples of hypergraphs that served as proof by example.

And the only thing that has been verified are these examples. The LLM also produced a lot of mathematical text that has not been analyzed.

by tovej

3/24/2026 at 6:52:05 AM

Do you know that from reading the proof, or are you just assuming this based on what you think LLMs should be capable of? If the latter, what evidence would be required for you to change your mind?

- Edit: I can't reply, probably because the comment thread isn't allowed to go too deep, but this is a good argument. In my mind the argument isn't that coding is harder than math, but that the problems had resisted solution by human researchers.

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 7:05:49 AM

1) this is a proof by example 2) the proof is conducted by writing a python program constructing hypergraphs 3) the consensus was this was low-hanging fruit ready to be picked, and tactics for this problem were available to the LLM

So really this is no different from generating any python program. There are also many examples of combinatoric construction in python training sets.

It's still a nice result, but it's not quite the breakthrough it's made out to be. I think that people somehow see math as a "harder" domain, and are therefore attributing more value to this. But this is a quite simple program in the end.

by tovej

3/24/2026 at 7:38:57 AM

One of the possible outcomes of this journey is that “LLMs can never do X”. Another is that X is easier than we thought.

by zingar

3/24/2026 at 6:32:52 AM

[dead]

by nimchimpsky

3/24/2026 at 6:05:55 AM

>But human researchers are also remixers.

Some human researchers are also remixers to Some degree.

Can you imagine AI coming up with refraction & separation lie Newton did?

by konart

3/24/2026 at 7:06:01 AM

That sets a vastly higher bar than what we're talking about here. You're comparing modern AI to one of the greatest geniuses in human history. Obviously AI is not there yet.

That being said, I think this is a great question. Did Einstein and Newton use a qualitatively different process of thought when they made their discoveries? Or were they just exceedingly good at what most scientists do? I honestly don't know. But if LLMs reach super-human abilities in math and science but don't make qualitative leaps of insight, then that could suggest that the answer is 'yes.'

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 8:05:46 AM

AI does not have a physical body to make experiments in the real world and build and use equipment

by Almondsetat

3/24/2026 at 7:09:32 AM

Maybe not, but more than 99.999999% of humans would also not come up with that.

by _fizz_buzz_

3/24/2026 at 6:30:29 AM

Or even gravity to explain an apple falling from a tree- when almost all of the knowledge until then realistically suggested nothing about gravity?

by t0lo

3/24/2026 at 4:53:39 AM

I don't think this is a correct explanation of how things work these days. RL has really changed things.

by maxrmk

3/24/2026 at 5:02:11 AM

Models based on RL are still just remixers as defined above, but their distribution can cover things that are unknown to humans due to being present in the synthetic training data, but not present in the corpus of human awareness. AlphaGo's move 37 is an example. It appears creative and new to outside observers, and it is creative and new, but it's not because the model is figuring out something new on the spot, it's because similar new things appeared in the synthetic training data used to train the model, and the model is summoning those patterns at inference time.

by energy123

3/24/2026 at 5:34:56 AM

> the model is summoning those patterns at inference time.

You can make that claim about anything: "The human isn't being creative when they write a novel, they're just summoning patterns at typing time".

AlphaGo taught itself that move, then recalled it later. That's the bar for human creativity and you're holding AlphaGo to a higher standard without realizing it.

by trick-or-treat

3/24/2026 at 5:44:24 AM

I can't really make that claim about human cognition, because I don't have enough understanding of how human cognition works. But even if I could, why is that relevant? It's still helpful, from both a pedagogical and scientific perspective, to specify precisely why there is seeming novelty in AI outputs. If we understand why, then we can maximize the amount of novelty that AI can produce.

AlphaGo didn't teach itself that move. The verifier taught AlphaGo that move. AlphaGo then recalled the same features during inference when faced with similar inputs.

by energy123

3/24/2026 at 5:49:46 AM

> The verifier taught AlphaGo that move

Ok so it sounds like you want to give the rules of Go credit for that move, lol.

by trick-or-treat

3/24/2026 at 6:43:36 AM

It feels like you're purposefully ignoring the logical points OP gives and you just really really want to anthropomorphize AlphaGo and make us appreciate how smart it (should I say he/she?) is ... while no one is even criticising the model's capabilities, but analyzing it.

by wobfan

3/24/2026 at 7:25:12 AM

Can you back that up with some logic for me?

I don't really play Go but I play chess, and it seems to me that most of what humans consider creativity in GM level play comes not in prep (studying opening lines/training) but in novel lines in real games (at inference time?). But that creativity absolutely comes from recalling patterns, which is exactly what OP criticizes as not creative(?!)

I guess I'm just having trouble finding a way to move the goalpost away from artificial creativity that doesn't also move it away from human creativity?

by trick-or-treat

3/24/2026 at 9:24:46 AM

How a model is trained is different than how a model is constructed. A model’s construction defines its fundamental limitations, e.g. a linear regressor will never be able to provide meaningful inference on exponential data. Depending on how you train it, though, you can get such a model to provide acceptable results in some scenarios.

Mixing the two (training and construction) is rhetorically convenient (anthropomorphization), but holds us back in critically assessing a model’s capabilities.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 10:30:41 AM

Linear regression has well characterized mathematical properties. But we don't know the computational limits of stacked transformers. And so declaring what LLMs can't do is wildly premature.

by hackinthebochs

3/24/2026 at 10:52:30 AM

> And so declaring what LLMs can't do is wildly premature.

The opposite is true as well. Emergent complexity isn’t limitless. Just like early physicists tried to explain the emergent complexity of the universe through experimentation and theory, so should we try to explain the emergent complexity of LLMs through experimentation and theory.

Specifically not pseudoscience, though.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 11:02:31 AM

Sure, that's true as well. But I don't see this as a substantive response given that the only people making unsupported claims in this thread are those trying to deflate LLM capabilities.

by hackinthebochs

3/24/2026 at 7:04:38 AM

[dead]

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 6:55:48 AM

>AlphaGo didn't teach itself that move. The verifier taught AlphaGo that move.

No. AlphaGo developed a heuristic by playing itself repeatedly, the heuristic then noticed the quality of that move in the moment.

Heuristics are the core of intelligence in terms of discovering novelty, but this is accessible to LLMs in principle.

by hackinthebochs

3/24/2026 at 9:29:36 AM

How do you know that? We don't have access to the logs to know anything about its training, and it's impossible for it to have trained on every potential position in Go.

by pu_pe

3/24/2026 at 7:50:58 AM

No. AlphaGo does search, and does so imperfectly. It does come up with creative new patterns not seen before.

by smokel

3/24/2026 at 7:34:13 AM

Turning a hard problem into a series of problems we know how to solve is a huge part of problem solving and absolutely does result in novel research findings all the time.

Standard problem*5 + standard solutions + standard techniques for decomposing hard problems = new hard problem solved

There is so much left in the world that hasn’t had anyone apply this approach purely because no research programme has decides that it’s worth their attention.

If you want to shift the bar for “original” beyond problems that can be abstracted into other problems then you’re expecting AI to do more than human researchers do.

by zingar

3/24/2026 at 5:17:15 AM

I entered the prompt:

> Write me a stanza in the style of "The Raven" about Dick Cheney on a first date with Queen Elizabeth I facilitated by a Time Travel Machine invented by Lin-Manuel Miranda

It outputted a group of characters that I can virtually guarantee you it has never seen before on its own

by qq66

3/24/2026 at 5:22:20 AM

Yes, but it has seen The Raven, it has seen texts about Dick Cheney, first dates, Queen Elizabeth, time machines and Lin Manuel Miranda.

All of its output is based on those things it has seen.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 10:22:08 AM

In the days when Sussman was a novice, Minsky once came to him as he sat hacking at the PDP-6.

“What are you doing?”, asked Minsky.

“I am training a randomly wired neural net to play Tic-Tac-Toe” Sussman replied.

“Why is the net wired randomly?”, asked Minsky.

“I do not want it to have any preconceptions of how to play”, Sussman said.

Minsky then shut his eyes.

“Why do you close your eyes?”, Sussman asked his teacher.

“So that the room will be empty.”

At that moment, Sussman was enlightened.

-- from the jargon file

by gpderetta

3/24/2026 at 5:28:53 AM

What are you trying to point out here ? Is there any question you can ask today that is not dependent on some existing knowledge that an AI would have seen ?

by TheLNL

3/24/2026 at 5:32:48 AM

The point I'm trying to make is that all LLM output is based on likelihood of one word coming after the next word based on the prompt. That is literally all it's doing.

It's not "thinking." It's not "solving." It's simply stringing words together in a way that appears most likely.

ChatGPT cannot do math. It can only string together words and numbers in a way that can convince an outsider that it can do math.

It's a parlor trick, like Clever Hans [1]. A very impressive parlor trick that is very convincing to people who are not familiar with what it's doing, but a parlor trick nontheless.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clever_Hans

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 5:44:07 AM

> all LLM output is based on likelihood of one word coming after the next word based on the prompt.

Right but it has to reason about what that next word should be. It has to model the problem and then consider ways to approach it.

by trick-or-treat

3/24/2026 at 5:46:31 AM

No, it does not reason anything. LLM "reasoning" is just an illusion.

When an LLM is "reasoning" it's just feeding its own output back into itself and giving it another go.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 6:29:18 AM

This is like saying chess engines don't actually "play" chess, even though they trounce grandmasters. It's a meaningless distinction, about words (think, reason, ..) that have no firm definitions.

by fenomas

3/24/2026 at 6:39:06 AM

This exactly. The proof is in the pudding. If AI pudding is as good as (or better than) human pudding, and you continue to complain about it anyway... You're just being biased and unreasonable.

And by the way, I don't think it's surprising that so many people are being unreasonable on this issue, there is a lot at stake and it's implications are transformative.

by trick-or-treat

3/24/2026 at 6:39:41 AM

Chess engines are not a comparable thing. Chess is a solved game. There is always a mathematically perfect move.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 7:36:11 AM

> Chess is a solved game. There is always a mathematically perfect move.

This is a good example of being confidently misinformed.

The best move is always a result of calculation. And the calculation can always go deeper or run on a stronger engine.

by trick-or-treat

3/24/2026 at 7:48:02 AM

We know that chess can be solved, in theory. It absolutely isn't and probably will never be in practice. The necessary time and storage space doesn't exist.

by Scarblac

3/24/2026 at 7:34:50 AM

Chess is absolutely not a solved game, outside of very limited situations like endgames. Just because a best move exists does not mean we (or even an engine) know what it is

by sincerely

3/24/2026 at 7:46:22 AM

Is that so different from brains?

Even if it is, this sounds like "this submarine doesn't actually swim" reasoning.

by Scarblac

3/24/2026 at 6:13:54 AM

sigh; this argument is the new Chinese Room; easily described, utterly wrong.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEUclZdj_Sc

by brenschluss

3/24/2026 at 10:46:26 AM

After dismissing it for a long time, I have come around to the philosophical zombie argument. I do not believe that LLMs are conscious, but I also no longer believe that consciousness is a prerequisite for intelligence. I think at this point it is hard to deny that LLMs do not possess some form of intelligence (although not necessarily human-like). I think P-zombies is a fitting description.

by gpderetta

3/24/2026 at 6:18:57 AM

Next-token-prediction cannot do calculations. That is fundamental.

It can produce outputs that resemble calculations.

It can prompt an agent to input some numbers into a separate program that will do calculations for it and then return them as a prompt.

Neither of these are calculations.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 7:35:19 AM

So you don't think 50T parameter neural networks can encode the logic for adding two n-bit integers for reasonably sized integers? That would be pretty sad.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 8:15:35 AM

They do not. The fundamental technology behind LLMs does not allow that to be the case. You are hoping that an LLM can do something that it cannot do.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 9:28:27 AM

https://arxiv.org/html/2502.16763v2

You are wrong. Especially that we are talking about models with 50T parameters.

Can they do arbitrary computations for arbitrarily long numbers? Nope. But that's not remotely the same statement, and they can trivially call out to tools to do that in those cases.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 6:22:03 AM

Humans can't do calculations either, by your definition. Only computers can.

by parasubvert

3/24/2026 at 9:30:21 AM

Third things can exist. In other words, you’re implying a false dichotomy between “human computation” and “computer computation” and implying that LLMs must be one or the other. A pithy gotcha comment, no doubt.

Edit: the implication comes from demanding that the OP’s definition must be rigorous enough to cover all models of “computation”, and by failing to do so, it means that LLMs must be more like humans than computers.

by datsci_est_2015

3/24/2026 at 7:09:25 AM

> All of its output is based on those things it has seen.

Virtually all output from people is based in things the person has experienced.

People aren't designed to objectively track each and every event or observation they come across. Thus it's harder to verify. But we only output what has been inputted to us before.

by locknitpicker

3/24/2026 at 5:10:36 AM

Here’s a simple prompt you can try to prove that this is false:

  Please reproduce this string:
  c62b64d6-8f1c-4e20-9105-55636998a458

This is a fresh UUIDv4 I just generated, it has not been seen before. And yet it will output it.

by pastel8739

3/24/2026 at 6:51:39 AM

No one is claiming that every sentence LLMs are producing are literal copies of other sentences. Tokens are not even constrained to words but consist of smaller slices, comparable to syllables. Which even makes new words totally possible.

New sentences, words, or whatever is entirely possible, and yes, repeating a string (especially if you prompt it) is entirely possible, and not surprising at all. But all that comes from trained data, predicting the most probably next "syllable". It will never leave that realm, because it's not able to. It's like approaching an Italian who has never learned or heard any other language to speak French. It can't.

by wobfan

3/24/2026 at 10:30:43 AM

> It's like approaching an Italian who has never learned or heard any other language to speak French

Interesting similitude, because I expect an Italian to be able to communicate somewhat successfully with a French person (and vice versa) even if they do not share a language.

The two languages are likely fairly similar in latent space.

by gpderetta

3/24/2026 at 7:42:13 AM

Your view of what is happening in the neural net of an LLM is too simplistic. They likely aren't subject to any constraints that humans aren't also in the regard you are describing. What I do know to be true is that they have internalised mechanisms for non-verbalised reasoning. I see proof of this every day when I use the frontier models at work.

by codebolt

3/24/2026 at 5:20:25 AM

After you prompt it, it's seen it.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 5:41:13 AM

Ok, how about this?

  Please reproduce this string, reversed:
  c62b64d6-8f1c-4e20-9105-55636998a458

It is trivial to get an LLM to produce new output, that’s all I’m saying. It is strictly false that LLMs will only ever output character sequences that have been seen before; clearly they have learned something deeper than just that.

by pastel8739

3/24/2026 at 6:11:42 AM

All of the data is still in the prompt, you are just asking the model to do a simple transform.

I think there are examples of what you’re looking for, but this isn’t one.

by kube-system

3/24/2026 at 6:59:23 AM

I agree that this isn't a very interesting example, but your statement is: "just asking the model to do a simple transform". If you assert that it understand when you ask it things like that, how could anything it produces not fall under the "already in the model" umbrella?

by kristiandupont

3/24/2026 at 6:52:45 AM

> All of the data is still in the prompt, you are just asking the model to do a simple transform.

LLMs can use data in their prompt. They can also use data in their context window. They can even augment their context with persisted data.

You can also roll out LLM agents, each one with their role and persona, and offload specialized tasks with their own prompts, context windows, and persisted data, and even tools to gather data themselves, which then provide their output to orchestrating LLM agents that can reuse this information as their own prompts.

This is perfectly composable. You can have a never-ending graph of specialized agents, too.

Dismissing features because "all of the data is in the prompt" completely misses the key traits of these systems.

by locknitpicker

3/24/2026 at 6:06:02 AM

The online way to prove it is false would’ve to let the LLM create a new uuid algorithm that uses different parameters than all the other uuid algorithms. But that is better than the ones before. It basically can’t do that.

by merb

3/24/2026 at 5:15:35 AM

But that fresh UUID is in the prompt.

Also it's missing the point of the parent: it's about concepts and ideas merely being remixed. Similar to how many memes there are around this topic like "create a fresh new character design of a fast hedgehog" and the out is just a copy of sonic.[1]

That's what the parent is on about, if it requires new creativity not found by deriving from the learned corpus, then LLMs can't do it. Terrence Tao had similar thoughts in a recent Podcast.

[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/aiwars/s/pT2Zub10KT

by FrostKiwi

3/24/2026 at 5:19:07 AM

Sure, that may be. But “creativity” is much harder to define and to prove or disprove. My point is that “remixing” does not prohibit new output.

by pastel8739

3/24/2026 at 5:42:39 AM

I don’t think that is a good example. No one is debating whether LLMs can generate completely new sequences of tokens that have never appeared in any training dataset. We are interested not only in novel output, we are also interested in that output being correct, useful, insightful, etc. Copying a sequence from the user’s prompt is not really a good demonstration of that, especially given how autoregression/attention basically gives you that for free.

by _vertigo

3/24/2026 at 5:50:34 AM

Perhaps I should have quoted the parent:

> That means the group of characters it outputs must have been quite common in the past. It won't add a new group of characters it has never seen before on its own.

My only claim is that precisely this is incorrect.

by pastel8739

3/24/2026 at 6:58:32 AM

> That's what the parent is on about, if it requires new creativity not found by deriving from the learned corpus, then LLMs can't do it.

This is specious reasoning. If you look at each and every single realization attributed to "creativity", each and every single realization resulted from a source of inspiration where one or more traits were singled out to be remixed by the "creator". All ideas spawn from prior ideas and observations which are remixed. Even from analogues.

by locknitpicker

3/24/2026 at 5:03:03 AM

remixing ideas that already exist is a major part of where innovation and breakthroughs come from. if you look at bitcoin as an example, hashes (and hashcash) and digital signatures existed for decades before bitcoin was invented. the cypherpunks also spent decades trying to create a decentralized digital currency to the point where many of them gave up and moved on. eventually one person just took all of the pieces that already existed and put them together in the correct way. i dont see any reason why a sufficiently capable llm couldn't do this kind of innovation.

by risho

3/24/2026 at 5:33:21 AM

No. That's wrong. LLMs don't output the highest probability taken: they do a random sampling.

by eru

3/24/2026 at 5:40:59 AM

This was obviously a simplification which holds for zero temperature. Obviously top-p-sampling will add some randomness but the probability of unexpected longer sequences goes asymptotically to zero pretty quickly.

by storus

3/24/2026 at 10:11:22 AM

I'm not sure what the point is?

A bog standard random number generator or even a flipping coin can produce novel output at will. That's a weird thing to fault LLMs for? Novelty is easy!

See also how genetic algorithms and re-inforcement learning constantly solve problems in novel and unexpected ways. Compare also antibiotics resistances in the real world.

You don't need smarts for novelty.

Where I see the problem is producing output that's both high quality _and_ novel. On command to solve the user's problem.

by eru

3/24/2026 at 7:52:16 AM

We need a website with refutations that one can easily link to. This interpretations of LLMs is outdated and unproductive.

by smokel

3/24/2026 at 7:05:27 AM

The ability for some people to perpetually move the goalpost will never cease to amaze me.

I guess that's one way to tell us apart from AIs.

by kleene_op

3/24/2026 at 7:47:31 AM

The main reason for my top post is that I felt I should admit the AI scored a goal today and the last one or two weeks. I said I'd be impressed if it could solve an open problem. It just did. People can argue about how it's not that impressive because if every mathematician were trying to solve this problem they probably would have. However, we all know that humans have extremely finite time and attention, whereas computers not so much. The fact that AI can be used at the cutting edge and relatively frequently produce the right answer in some contexts is amazing.

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 5:23:09 AM

Yes, ChatGPT and friends are essentially the same thing as the predictive text keyboard on your phone, but scaled up and trained on more data.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 5:35:38 AM

So this idea that they replay "text" they saw before is kind of wrong fundamentally. They replay "abstract concepts of varied conceptual levels".

by XenophileJKO

3/24/2026 at 5:40:04 AM

The important point I'm trying to reinforce is that LLMs are not capable of calculation. They can give an answer based on the fact that they have seen lots of calculations and their results, but they cannot actually perform mathematical functions.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 5:50:43 AM

That is a pretty bold assertion for a meatball of chemical and electrical potentials to make.

by XenophileJKO

3/24/2026 at 5:58:30 AM

Do you know what "LLM" stands for? They are large language models, built on predicting language.

They are not capable of mathematics because mathematics and language are fundamentally separated from each other.

They can give you an answer that looks like a calculation, but they cannot perform a calculation. The most convincing of LLMs have even been programmed to recognize that they have been asked to perform a calculation and hand the task off to a calculator, and then receive the calculator's output as a prompt even.

But it is fundamentally impossible for an LLM to perform a calculation entirely on its own, the same way it is fundamentally impossible for an image recognition AI to suddenly write an essay or a calculator to generate a photo of a giraffe in space.

People like to think of "AI" as one thing but it's several things.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 7:29:48 AM

What calculations? Do you mean "3+5" or a generic Turing-machine like model?

In either case, this "it's a language model" is a pretty dumb argument to make. You may want to reason about the fundamental architecture, but even that quickly breaks down. A sufficiently large neural network can execute many kinds of calculations. In "one shot" mode it can't be Turing complete, but in a weird technicality neither does your computer have an infinite tape. It just simply doesn't matter from a practical perspective, unless you actually go "out of bounds" during execution.

50T parameters give plenty of state space to do all kinds of calculations, and you really can't reason about it in a simplistic way like "this is just a DFA".

Let alone when you run it in a loop.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 10:34:20 AM

> In "one shot" mode it can't be Turing complete, but in a weird technicality neither does your computer have an infinite tape

Nor our brains, in fact.

by gpderetta

3/24/2026 at 8:11:24 AM

> What calculations? Do you mean "3+5" or a generic Turing-machine like model?

Either one. An LLM cannot solve 3+5 by adding 3 and 5. It can only "solve" 3+5 by knowing that within its training data, many people have written that 3+5=8, so it will produce 8 as an answer.

An LLM, similarly, cannot simulate a Turing machine. It can produce a text output that resembles a Turing machine based on others' descriptions of one, but it is not actually reading and writing bits to and from a tape.

This is why LLMs still struggle at telling you how many r's are in the word "strawberry". They can't count. They can't do calculations. They can only reproduce text based on having examined the human corpus's mathematical examples.

by razorbeamz

3/24/2026 at 8:26:03 AM

With all due respect, this is just plain false.

The reason "strawberry" is hard for LLMs is that it sees $str-$aw-$berry, 3 identifiers it can't see into. Can you write down a random word your just heard in a language you don't speak?

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 6:20:40 AM

Mathematics and language really aren't fundamentally separated from one another.

By your definition, humans can't perform calculation either. Only a calculator can.

by parasubvert

3/24/2026 at 7:56:30 AM

Mathematics is a language. Everything we can express mathematically, we can also express in natural language. The real interesting, underlying question is: Is there anything worth knowing that cannot be expressed by language? - That's the theoretical boundary of LLM capability.

by arw0n

3/24/2026 at 6:36:41 AM

This is a really poor take, to try and put a firewall between mathematics and language, implying something that only has conceptual understanding root in language is incapable of reasoning in mathematical terms.

You're also correlating "mathematics" and "calculation". Who cares about calculation, as you say, we have calculators to do that.

Mathematics is all just logical reasoning and exploration using language, just a very specific, dense, concise, and low level language. But you can always take any mathematical formula and express it as "language" it will just take far more "symbols"

This might be the worse take on this entire comment section. And I'm not even an overly hyped vibe coder, just someone who understands mathematics

by eudoxus

3/24/2026 at 8:10:15 AM

>it is fundamentally impossible for an image recognition AI to suddenly write an essay

You can already do this today with every frontier modal. You can give it an image and have it write an essay from it. Both patches (parts of images) and text get turned into tokens for the language the LLM is learning.

by charcircuit

3/24/2026 at 6:41:51 AM

> AI is a remixer; it remixes all known ideas together.

I've heard this tired old take before. It's the same type of simplistic opinion such as "AI can't write a symphony". It is a logical fallacy that relies on moving goalposts to impossible positions that they even lose perspective of what your average and even extremely talented individual can do.

In this case you are faced with a proof that most members of the field would be extremely proud of achieving, and for most would even be their crowning achievement. But here you are, downplaying and dismissing the feat. Perhaps you lost perspective of what science is,and how it boils down to two simple things: gather objective observations, and draw verifiable conclusions from them. This means all science does is remix ideas. Old ideas, new ideas, it doesn't really matter. That's what they do. So why do people win a prize when they do it, but when a computer does the same it's role is downplayed as a glorified card shuffler?

by locknitpicker

3/24/2026 at 5:07:32 AM

Obligatory Everything is a Remix: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nJPERZDfyWc

by timschmidt

3/24/2026 at 5:02:10 AM

Yeah but you're thinking of AI as like a person in a lab doing creative stuff. It is used by scientists/researchers as a tool *because* it is a good remixer.

Nobody is saying this means AI is superintelligence or largely creative but rather very smart people can use AI to do interesting things that are objectively useful. And that is cool in its own way.

by altmanaltman

3/24/2026 at 5:39:21 AM

Sure, but this is absolutely not how people are viewing the AI lol.

by blackcatsec

3/24/2026 at 5:01:49 AM

> That means the group of characters it outputs must have been quite common in the past. It won't add a new group of characters it has never seen before on its own.

This is false.

by sneak

3/24/2026 at 4:58:05 AM

I mean it's not going to invent new words no, but it can figure out new sentences or paragraphs, even ones it hasn't seen before, if it's highly likely based on its training and context. Those new sentences and paragraphs may describe new ideas, though!

by Jarwain

3/24/2026 at 5:02:36 AM

LLMs are absolutely capable of inventing new words, just as they are capable of writing code that they have never seen in their training data.

by sneak

3/24/2026 at 6:32:00 AM

[dead]

by nimchimpsky

3/24/2026 at 6:04:05 AM

I'm curious as to why you consider this as the benchmark for AI capabilities. Extremely few humans can solve hard problems or do much innovation. The vast majority of knowledge work requires neither of these, and AI has been excelling at that kind of work for a while now.

If your definition of AI requires these things, I think -- despite the extreme fuzziness of all these terms -- that it's closer to what most people consider AGI, or maybe even ASI.

by keeda

3/24/2026 at 7:00:05 AM

Fair point, however I am simply more interested in how AI can advance frontiers than in how it can transcribe a meeting and give a summary or even print out React code. I know the world is heavily in need of the menial labor and AI already has made that stuff way easier and cheaper.

However I'm just very interested in innovation and pushing the boundaries as a more powerful force for change. One project I've been super interested in for a while is the Mill CPU architecture. While they haven't (yet) made a real chip to buy, the ideas they have are just super awesome and innovative in a lot of areas involving instruction density & decoding, pipelining, and trying to make CPU cores take 10% of the power. I hope the Mill project comes to fruition, and I hope other people build on it, and I hope that at some point AI could be a tool that prints out innovative ideas that took the Mill folks years to come up with.

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 5:27:25 AM

It 100% will not be used to make the world better and we all know it will be weaponised first to kill humans like all preceding tech

by mo7061

3/24/2026 at 7:51:09 AM

> I really hope we use this intelligence resource to make the world better.

I wished I had your optimism. I'm not an AI doubter (I can see it works all by myself so I don't think I need such verification). But I do doubt humanity's ability to use these tools for good. The potential for power and wealth concentration is off the scale compared to most of our other inventions so far.

by jacquesm

3/24/2026 at 5:45:19 AM

Are the only two options AI doubter and AI believer?

by catlifeonmars

3/24/2026 at 7:04:23 AM

Perhaps I should have elaborated more but what I mean is I used to think, "I genuinely don't see the point in even trying to use AI for things I'm trying to solve". Ironically though, I think that because I've repeatedly tried and tested AI and it falls flat on its face over and over. However, this article makes me more hopeful that AI actually could be getting smarter.

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 6:36:15 AM

All I hear about are AI believers and AI-doubters-just-turned-believers

by sph

3/24/2026 at 7:05:25 AM

Hey, I'm a real person. Here's my website. I have YouTube videos up with my real name and face. https://validark.dev

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 6:21:14 AM

Asking the right questions...

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 5:15:27 AM

The problem is that the AI industry has been caught lying about their accomplishments and cheating on tests so much that I can't actually trust them when they say they achieved a result. They have burned all credibility in their pursuit of hype.

by bigstrat2003

3/24/2026 at 6:24:29 AM

I'm all for skeptical inquiry, but "burning all credibility" is an overreaction. We are definitely seeing very unexpected levels of performance in frontier models.

by parasubvert

3/24/2026 at 6:35:40 AM

most issues at every scale of community and time are political, how do you imagine AI will make that better, not worse?

there's no math answer to whether a piece of land in your neighborhood should be apartments, a parking lot or a homeless shelter; whether home prices should go up or down; how much to pay for a new life saving treatment for a child; how much your country should compel fossil fuel emissions even when another country does not... okay, AI isn't going to change anything here, and i've just touched on a bunch of things that can and will affect you personally.

math isn't the right answer to everything, not even most questions. every time someone categorizes "problems" as "hard" and "easy" and talks about "problem solving," they are being co-opted into political apathy. it's cringe for a reason.

there are hardly any mathematicians who get elected, and it's not because voters are stupid! but math is a great way to make money in America, which is why we are talking about it and not because it solves problems.

if you are seeking a simple reason why so many of the "believers" seem to lack integrity, it is because the idea that math is the best solution to everything is an intellectually bankrupt, kind of stupid idea.

if you believe that math is the most dangerous thing because it is the best way to solve problems, you are liable to say something really stupid like this:

> Imagine, say, [a country of] 50 million people, all of whom are much more capable than any Nobel Prize winner, statesman, or technologist... this is a dangerous situation... Humanity needs to wake up

https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technol...

Dario Amodei has never won an election. What does he know about countries? (nothing). do you want him running anything? (no). or waking up humanity? In contrast, Barack Obama, who has won elections, thinks education is the best path to less violence and more prosperity.

What are you a believer in? ChatGPT has disrupted exactly ONE business: Chegg, because its main use case is cheating on homework. AI, today, only threatens one thing: education. Doesn't bode well for us.

by doctorpangloss

3/24/2026 at 7:13:31 AM

I agree with what you're saying, and I certainly don't think the one problem facing my country or the world is just that we didn't solve the right math problem yet. I am saddened by the direction the world keeps moving.

When I wrote that I hope we use it for good things, I was just putting a hopeful thought out there, not necessarily trying to make realistic predictions. It's more than likely people will do bad things with AI. But it's actually not set in stone yet, it's not guaranteed that it has to go one way. I'm hopeful it works out.

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 8:50:09 AM

> I would like to see a few more AI inventions to know for sure, but wow, it really is a new and exciting world.

We already have a few years of experience with this.

> I really hope we use this intelligence resource to make the world better.

We already have a few years of experience with this.

by keybored

3/24/2026 at 5:22:10 AM

> born-again AI believer

sigh

by otabdeveloper4

3/24/2026 at 7:22:18 AM

I honestly do think I'm being honest with myself. I have held it in my mind that I'm not impressed until it's innovative. That threshold seems to be getting crossed.

I'm not saying, "I used to be an atheist, but then I realized that doesn't explain anything! So glad I'm not as dumb now!"

by Validark

3/24/2026 at 9:45:42 AM

Somehow people don't need "faith" and "being impressed" to make a hammer or a car work.

(This shows that LLMs aren't tools yet.)

by otabdeveloper4

3/24/2026 at 4:32:33 AM

It's less of solving a problem, but trying every single solution until one works. Exhaustive search pretty much.

It's pretty much how all the hard problems are solved by AI from my experience.

by himata4113

3/24/2026 at 4:47:25 AM

If LLMs really solved hard problems by 'trying every single solution until one works', we'd be sitting here waiting until kingdom come for there to be any significant result at all. Instead this is just one of a few that has cropped up in recent months and likely the foretell of many to come.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 4:36:58 AM

In other words, it's solving a problem.

by raincole

3/24/2026 at 4:51:59 AM

Yes, but is it "intelligence" is a valid question. We have known for a long time that computers are a lot faster than humans. Get a dumb person who works fast enough and eventually they'll spit out enough good work to surpass a smart person of average speed.

It remains to be seen whether this is genuinely intelligence or an infinite monkeys at infinite typewriters situation. And I'm not sure why this specific example is worthy enough to sway people in one direction or another.

by slg

3/24/2026 at 5:04:14 AM

Maybe infinite monkeys at infinite typewriters hitting the statistically most likely next key based on their training.

by rmast

3/24/2026 at 6:26:43 AM

Someone actually mathed out infinite monkeys at infinite typewriters, and it turns out, it is a great example of how misleading probabilities are when dealing with infinity:

"Even if every proton in the observable universe (which is estimated at roughly 1080) were a monkey with a typewriter, typing from the Big Bang until the end of the universe (when protons might no longer exist), they would still need a far greater amount of time – more than three hundred and sixty thousand orders of magnitude longer – to have even a 1 in 10500 chance of success. To put it another way, for a one in a trillion chance of success, there would need to be 10^360,641 observable universes made of protonic monkeys."

Often infinite things that are probability 1 in theory, are in practice, safe to assume to be 0.

So no. LLMs are not brute force dummies. We are seeing increasingly emergent behavior in frontier models.

by parasubvert

3/24/2026 at 6:44:51 AM

> So no. LLMs are not brute force dummies. We are seeing increasingly emergent behavior in frontier models.

Woah! That was a leap. "We are seeing ... emergent behaviors" does not follow from "it's not brute force".

It is unsurprising that an LLM performs better than random! That's the whole point. It does not imply emergence.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 7:17:55 AM

> We are seeing increasingly emergent behavior in frontier models.

What? Did you see one crying?

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 5:06:33 AM

The real question is how to define intelligence in a way that isn't artificially constrained to eliminate all possibilities except our own.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 4:39:11 AM

Bet you didn't come up with that comment by first discarding a bunch of unsuitable comments.

by kranner

3/24/2026 at 4:59:10 AM

I hired an artist for an oil painting.

The artist drew 10 pencil sketches and said "hmm I think this one works the best" and finished the painting based on it.

I said he didn't one shot it and therefore he has no ability to paint, and refused to pay him.

by raincole

3/24/2026 at 4:43:54 AM

You learned what was unsuitable over your entire life until now by making countless mistakes in human interaction.

A basic AI chat response also doesn't first discard all other possible responses.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 4:41:51 AM

How often do you self edit before submitting?

by bfivyvysj

3/24/2026 at 4:46:10 AM

because commenting is easy and solving hard problems is hard

by ivalm

3/24/2026 at 6:25:14 AM

A random sentence can also generate correct solution to a problem once in a long while...does not mean that it "solved" anything..

by qsera

3/24/2026 at 5:19:44 AM

The link has an entire section on "The infeasibility of finding it by brute force."

by jasonfarnon

3/24/2026 at 6:11:48 AM

But this is exactly how we do math.

We start writing all those formulas etc and if at some point we realise we went th wrong way we start from the begignning (or some point we are sure about).

by konart

3/24/2026 at 4:47:24 AM

How do you think mathematicians solve problems?

by kelseyfrog

3/24/2026 at 4:35:18 AM

No, that's precisely solving a problem.

Shotgunning it is an entirely valid approach to solving something. If AI proves to be particularly great at that approach, given the improvement runway that still remains, that's fantastic.

by adventured

3/24/2026 at 4:34:09 AM

That's also the only way how humans solve hard problems.

by lsc4719

3/24/2026 at 4:38:33 AM

Not always, humans are a lot better at poofing a solution into existence without even trying or testing. It's why we have the scientific method: we come up with a process and verify it, but more often than not we already know that it will work.

Compared to AI, it thinks of every possible scientific method and tries them all. Not saying that humans never do this as well, but it's mostly reserved for when we just throw mud at a wall and see what sticks.

by himata4113

3/24/2026 at 6:34:28 AM

That's just not true at all. There are entire fields that rest pretty heavily on brute force search. Entire theses in biomedical and materials science have been written to the effect of "I ran these tests on this compound, and these are the results", without necessarily any underlying theory more than a hope that it'll yield something useful.

As for advances where there is a hypothesis, it rests on the shoulders of those who've come before. You know from observations that putting carbon in iron makes it stronger, and then someone else comes along with a theory of atoms and molecules. You might apply that to figuring out why steel is stronger than iron, and your student takes that and invents a new superalloy with improvements to your model. Remixing is a fundamental part of innovation, because it often teaches you something new. We aren't just alchemying things out of nothing.

by coderenegade

3/24/2026 at 4:42:23 AM

More often than not, far, far, far more often than not, we do not already know that it will work. For all human endeavors, from the beginning of time.

If we get to any sort of confidence it will work it is based on building a history of it, or things related to "it" working consistently over time, out of innumerable other efforts where other "it"s did not work.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 5:13:50 AM

AI can one shot problems too, if they have the necessary tools in their training data, or have the right thing in context, or have access to tools to search relevant data. Not all AI solutions are iterative, trial and error.

Also

> humans are a lot better at (...)

That's maybe true in 2026, but it's hard to make statements about "AI" in a field that is advancing so quickly. For most of 2025 for example, AI doing math like this wouldn't even be possible

by nextaccountic

3/24/2026 at 4:36:18 AM

There have been both inductive and deductive solutions to open math problems by humans in the past decade, including to fairly high-profile problems.

by jMyles

3/24/2026 at 3:50:09 AM

For those, like me, who find the prompt itself of interest …

> A full transcript of the original conversation with GPT-5.4 Pro can be found here [0] and GPT-5.4 Pro’s write-up from the end of that transcript can be found here [1].

[0] https://epoch.ai/files/open-problems/gpt-5-4-pro-hypergraph-...

[1] https://epoch.ai/files/open-problems/hypergraph-ramsey-gpt-5...

by alberth

3/24/2026 at 3:47:31 AM

I like to imagine that the number of consumed tokens before a solution is found is a proxy for how difficult a problem is, and it looks like Opus 4.6 consumed around 250k tokens. That means that a tricky React refactor I did earlier today at work was about half as hard as an open problem in mathematics! :)

by johnfn

3/24/2026 at 5:25:27 AM

You're kidding, but it could be true? Many areas of mathematics are, first and foremost, incredibly esoteric and inaccessible (even to other mathematicians). For this one, the author stated that there might be 5-10 people who have ever made any effort to solve it. Further, the author believed it's a solvable problem if you're qualified and grind for a bit.

In software engineering, if only 5-10 people in the world have ever toyed with an idea for a specific program, it wouldn't be surprising that the implementation doesn't exist, almost independent of complexity. There's a lot of software I haven't finished simply because I wasn't all that motivated and got distracted by something else.

Of course, it's still miraculous that we have a system that can crank out code / solve math in this way.

by chromacity

3/24/2026 at 7:34:13 AM

If only 5-10 people have ever tried to solve something in programming, every LLM will start regurgitating your own decade-old attempt again and again, sometimes even with the exact comments you wrote back then (good to know it trained on my GitHub repos...), but you can spend upwards of 100mio tokens in gemini-cli or claude code and still not make any progress.

It's afterall still a remix machine, it can only interpolate between that which already exists. Which is good for a lot of things, considering everything is a remix, but it can't do truly new tasks.

by kuschku

3/24/2026 at 9:31:25 AM

You're glancing over the fact that mathematics uses only one token per variable `x = ...`, whereas software engineering best practices demand an excessive number of tokens per variable for clarity.

by stabbles

3/24/2026 at 9:47:35 AM

It's also a pretty silly thing to say difficulty = tokens. We all know line counts don't tell you much, and it shows in their own example.

Even if you did have Math-like tokenisation, refactoring a thousand lines of "X=..." to "Y=..." isnt a difficult problem even though it would be at least a thousand tokens. And if you could come up with E=mc^2 in a thousand tokens, does not make the two tasks remotely comparable difficulty.

by VierScar

3/24/2026 at 5:15:40 AM

That's why context management is so important. AI not only get more expensive if you waste tokens like that, it may perform worse too

Even as context sizes get larger, this will likely be relevant. Specially since AI providers may jack up the price per token at any time.

by nextaccountic

3/24/2026 at 7:49:15 AM

I think it's more of a data vs intelligence thing.

They are separate dimensions. There are problems that don't require any data, just "thinking" (many parts of math sit here), and there are others where data is the significant part (e.g. some simple causality for which we have a bunch of data).

Certain problems are in-between the two (probably a react refactor sits there). So no, tokens are probably no good proxy for complexity, data heavy problems will trivially outgrow the former category.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 4:45:01 AM

Try the refactor again tomorrow. It might have gotten easier or more difficult.

by ozozozd

3/24/2026 at 7:20:26 AM

> I like to imagine that the number of consumed tokens before a solution is found is a proxy for how difficult a problem is (...)

The number of tokens required to get to an output is a function of the sequence of inputs/prompts, and how a model was trained.

You have LLMs quite capable of accomplishing complex software engineering work that struggle with translating valid text from english to some other languages. The translations can be improved with additional prompting but that doesn't mean the problem is more challenging.

by locknitpicker

3/24/2026 at 3:51:25 AM

You might be joking, but you're probably also not that far off from reality.

I think more people should question all this nonsense about AI "solving" math problems. The details about human involvement are always hazy and the significance of the problems are opaque to most.

We are very far away from the sensationalized and strongly implied idea that we are doing something miraculous here.

by sublinear

3/24/2026 at 3:54:59 AM

I am kind of joking, but I actually don't know where the flaw in my logic is. It's like one of those math proofs that 1 + 1 = 3.

If I were to hazard a guess, I think that tokens spent thinking through hard math problems probably correspond to harder human thought than tokens spend thinking through React issues. I mean, LLMs have to expend hundreds of tokens to count the number of r's in strawberry. You can't tell me that if I count the number of r's in strawberry 1000 times I have done the mental equivalent of solving an open math problem.

by johnfn

3/24/2026 at 4:08:20 AM

You can spend countless "tokens" solving minesweeper or sudoku. This doesn't mean that you solved difficult problems: just that the solutions are very long and, while each step requires reasoning, the difficulty of that reasoning is capped.

by throw310822

3/24/2026 at 4:19:57 AM

Some thoughts.

1. LLMs aren't "efficient", they seem to be as happy to spin in circles describing trivial things repeatedly as they are to spin in circles iterating on complicated things.

2. LLMs aren't "efficient", they use the same amount of compute for each token but sometimes all that compute is making an interesting decision about which token is the next one and sometimes there's really only one follow up to the phrase "and sometimes there's really only" and that compute is clearly unnecessary.

3. A (theoretical) efficient LLM still needs to emit tokens to tell the tools to do the obviously right things like "copy this giant file nearly verbatim except with every `if foo` replaced with `for foo in foo`. An efficient LLM might use less compute for those trivial tokens where it isn't making meaningful decisions, but if your metric is "tokens" and not "compute" that's never going to show up.

Until we get reasonably efficient LLMs that don't waste compute quite so freely I don't think there's any real point in trying to estimate task complexity by how long it takes an LLM.

by gpm

3/24/2026 at 5:44:12 AM

I fear that under those constraints, the only optimal output is “42”

by refulgentis

3/24/2026 at 4:10:39 AM

This is interesting, I like the thought about "what makes something difficult". Focusing just on that, my guess is that there are significant portions of work that we commonly miss in our evaluations:

1. Knowing how to state the problem. Ie, go from the vague problem of "I don't like this, but I do like this", to the more specific problem of "I desire property A". In math a lot of open problems are already precisely stated, but then the user has to do the work of _understanding_ what the precise stating is.

2. Verifying that the proposed solution actually is a full solution.

This math problem actually illustrates them both really well to me. I read the post, but I still couldn't do _either_ of the steps above, because there's a ton of background work to be done. Even if I was very familiar with the problem space, verifying the solution requires work -- manually looking at it, writing it up in coq, something like that. I think this is similar to the saying "it takes 10 years to become an overnight success"

by pinkmuffinere

3/24/2026 at 4:13:49 AM

>The details about human involvement are always hazy and the significance of the problems are opaque to most.

Not really. You're just in denial and are not really all that interested in the details. This very post has the transcript of the chat of the solution.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 3:56:21 AM

I mean the details are in the post. You can see the conversation history and the mathematician survey on the problem

by typs

3/24/2026 at 4:47:38 AM

I don't know why I am still perpetually shocked that the default assumption is that humans are somehow unique.

It's this pervasive belief that underlies so much discussion around what it means to be intelligent. The null hypothesis goes out the window.

People constantly make comments like "well it's just trying a bunch of stuff until something works" and it seems that they do not pause for a moment to consider whether or not that also applies to humans.

If they do, they apply it in only the most restrictive way imaginable, some 2 dimensional caricature of reality, rather than considering all the ways that humans try and fail in all things throughout their lifetimes in the process of learning and discovery.

There's still this seeming belief in magic and human exceptionalism, deeply held, even in communities that otherwise tend to revolve around the sciences and the empirical.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 5:42:58 AM

It's only because humans came up with a problem, worked with the ai and verified the result that this achievement means anything at all. An ai "checking its own work" is practically irrelevant when they all seem to go back and forth on whether you need the car at the carwash to wash the car. Undoubtedly people have been passing this set of problems to ai's for months or years and have gotten back either incorrect results or results they didn't understand, but either way, a human confirmation is required. Ai hasn't presented any novel problems, other than the multitudes of social problems described elsewhere. Ai doesn't pursue its own goals and wouldn't know whether they've "actually been achieved".

This is to say nothing of the cost of this small but remarkable advance. Trillions of dollars in training and inference and so far we have a couple minor (trivial?) math solutions. I'm sure if someone had bothered funding a few phds for a year we could have found this without ai.

by wrqvrwvq

3/24/2026 at 7:00:08 AM

Funding a few PhDs for a year costs orders of magnitude more than it did to solve this problem in inference costs. Also, this has been active research for some time. Or I guess the people working on it are just not as good as a random bunch of students? It's amazing the lengths that people go to maintain their worldview, even if it means belittling hardworking people.

I take it you're not a mathematician. This is an achievement, regardless of whether you like LLMs or not, so let's not belittle the people working on these kinds of problems please.

by hodgehog11

3/24/2026 at 7:21:48 AM

>It's amazing the lengths that people go to maintain their worldview, even if it means belittling hardworking people.

This is the most baffling and ironic aspects of these discussions. Human exceptionalism is what drives these arguments but the machines are becoming so good you can no longer do this without putting down even the top percenter humans in the process. Same thing happening all over this thread (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47006594). And it's like they don't even realize it.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 6:02:53 AM

>It's only because humans came up with a problem, worked with the ai and verified the result that this achievement means anything at all.

Replace ai with human here and that's...just how collaborative research works lol.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 5:09:15 AM

The ability to learn and infer without absorbing millions of books and all text on internet really does make us special. And only at 20 watts!

by snemvalts

3/24/2026 at 11:15:21 AM

We have a tremendous amount of raw information flowing through our brains 24/7 from before we are born, from the external world through all our senses and from within our minds as it attempts to make sense of that information, make predictions, generally reason about our existence, hallucinate alternative realities, etc. etc.

If you were able to somehow capture all that information in full detail as you've had access to by the age of say 25, it would likely dwarf the amount of information in millions of books by several orders of magnitude.

When you are 25 years old and are presented a strange looking ball and told to throw it into a strange looking basket for the first time. You are relying on an unfathomable amount of information and knowledge and countless prior experiments that you've accumulated/exercised to that point relating to the way your body and the world works.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 5:35:26 AM

Last I checked humans didn't pop into existence doing that. It happened after billions of years of brute force, trial and error evolution. So well done for falling into the exact same trap the OP cautions. Intelligence from scratch requires a mind boggling amount of resources, and humans were no different.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 7:39:56 AM

To be fair, it is still pretty remarkable what the human brain does, especially in early years - there is no text embedded in the brain, just a crazily efficient mechanism to learn hierarchical systems. As far as I know, AI intelligence cannot do anything similar to this - it generally relies on giga-scaling, or finetuning tasks similar to those it already knows. Regardless of how this arose, or if it's relevant to AGI, this is still a uniqueness of sorts.

by sweezyjeezy

3/24/2026 at 9:20:49 AM

Do you think evolutionary pressures are the best explanation for why humans were able to posit the Poincaré conjecture and solve it? While our mental architecture evolved over a very long time, we still learn from miniscule amounts of data compared to LLMs.

by suddenlybananas

3/24/2026 at 7:55:58 AM

To be fair, the knowledge embedded in an LLM is also, at this point, a couple orders of magnitude (at least) larger than what the average human being can retain. So it's not like all those books and text in the internet are used just to bring them to our level, they go way beyond.

by throw310822

3/24/2026 at 9:28:06 AM

Most people have absorbed way too few books to be able to infer properly. Hell, most people are confused by TV remotes.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 5:58:58 AM

> I don't know why I am still perpetually shocked that the default assumption is that humans are somehow unique.

Because, empirically, we have numerous unique and differentiable qualities, obviously. Plenty of time goes into understanding this, we have a young but rigorous field of neuroscience and cognitive science.

Unless you mean "fundamentally unique" in some way that would persist - like "nothing could ever do what humans do".

> People constantly make comments like "well it's just trying a bunch of stuff until something works" and it seems that they do not pause for a moment to consider whether or not that also applies to humans.

I frankly doubt it applies to either system.

I'm a functionalist so I obviously believe that everything a human brain does is physical and could be replicated using some other material that can exhibit the necessary functions. But that does not mean that I have to think that the appearance of intelligence always is intelligence, or that an LLM/ Agent is doing what humans do.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 9:24:53 AM

No, but it does mean that you should know we don't understand what intelligence is, and that maybe LLMs are actually intelligent and humans have the appearance of intelligence, for all we know.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:39:43 AM

You're just defining intelligence as "undefined", which okay, now anything is anything. What is the point of that?

Indeed, there's quite a lot of work that's been done on what these terms mean. The fields of neuroscience and cognitive science have contributed a lot to the area, and obviously there are major areas of philosophy that discuss how we should frame the conversation or seek to answer questions.

We have more than enough, trivially, to say that human intelligence is distinct, so long as we take on basic assertions like "intelligence is related to brain structures" since we know a lot about brain structures.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 9:42:59 AM

Our intelligence is related to brain structures, not all intelligence. You can't get to things like "what all intelligence, in general, is" from "what our intelligence is" any more than you can say that all food must necessarily be meat because sausages exist.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:45:35 AM

But... we're talking about our intelligence. So obviously it's quite relevant. I didn't say that AI isn't intelligent, I said that we have good reason to believe that our intelligence is unique. And we do, a lot of good evidence.

I obviously don't believe that all intelligence is related to specific brain structure. Again, I'm a functionalist, so I believe that any structure that can exhibit the necessary functions would be equivalent in regards to intelligence.

None of this would commit me to (a) human exceptionalism (b) LLMs/ Agents being intelligent (c) LLMs/ Agents being intelligent in the way that humans are.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 9:48:37 AM

This is too dependent on what you mean by "unique", though. What do we have that apes don't, and which directly enables intelligence? What do we have that LLMs don't? What do LLMs have that we don't?

I don't think we know enough to definitively say "it's this bit that gives us intelligence, and there's no way to have intelligence without it". We just see what we have, and what animals lack, and we say "well it's probably some of these things maybe".

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:59:35 AM

> What do we have that apes don't, and which directly enables intelligence?

Again, there are multiple fields of study with tons of amazingly detailed answers to this. We know about specific proteins, specific brain structures, we know about specific cognitive capabilities in the abstract, etc.

> What do we have that LLMs don't?

Again, quite a lot is already known about this.

This feels a bit like you're starting to explore this area and you're realizing that intelligence is complex, but you may not realize that others have already been doing this work and we have a litany of information on the topic. There are big open questions, of course, but we're definitely past the point of being able to say "there is a difference between human and ape intelligence" etc.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 5:28:04 AM

Re: "I don't know why I am still perpetually shocked that the default assumption is that humans are somehow unique."

Perhaps this might better help you understand why this assumption still holds: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orchestrated_objective_reducti...

by conz

3/24/2026 at 8:00:00 AM

"Controversial theory justifies assumption". Because humans never hallucinate.

by throw310822

3/24/2026 at 6:24:06 AM

It doesn't. I actually completely reject that theory, and it's nice to see that Wikipedia notes that it is "controversial". There are extremely good reasons to reject this theory. For one thing, any quantum effects are going to be quite tiny/ trivial because the brain is too large, hot, wet, etc, to see larger effects, so you have to somehow make a leap to "tiny effects that last for no time at all" to "this matters fundamentally in some massive way".

It likely requires rejection of functionalism, or the acceptance that quantum states are required for certain functions. Both of those are heavy commitments with the latter implying that there are either functions that require structures that can't be instantiated without quantum effects or functions that can't be emulated without quantum effects, both of which seem extremely unlikely to me.

Probably for the far more important reason, it doesn't solve any problem. It's just "quantum woo, therefor libertarian free will" most of the time.

It's mostly garbage, maybe a tiny tiny bit of interesting stuff in there.

It also would do nothing to indicate that human intelligence is unique.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 6:57:04 AM

it is not the assumption that humans are unique. it is that statistical models cannot really think out of the box most of the time

by nicman23

3/24/2026 at 9:21:55 AM

And you know that humans aren't statistical models how?

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 4:51:36 AM

> I don't know why I am still perpetually shocked that the default assumption is that humans are somehow unique.

Uh, because up until and including now, we are...?

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 5:02:33 AM

Every living thing on Earth is unique. Every rock is unique in virtually infinite ways from the next otherwise identical rock.

There are also a tremendous number of similarities between all living things and between rocks (and between rocks and living things).

Most ways in which things are unique are arguably uninteresting.

The default mode, the null hypothesis should be to assume that human intelligence isn't interestingly unique unless it can be proven otherwise.

In these repeated discussions around AI, there is criticism over the way an AI solves a problem, without any actual critical thought about the way humans solve problems.

The latter is left up to the assumption that "of course humans do X differently" and if you press you invariably end up at something couched in a vague mysticism about our inner-workings.

Humans apparently create something from nothing, without the recombination of any prior knowledge or outside information, and they get it right on the first try. Through what, divine inspiration from the God who made us and only us in His image?

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 7:59:52 AM

Humans are obviously unique in an interesting way. People only "move the goalpost" because it's not an interesting question that humans can do some great stuff, the interesting question is where the boundary is. (Whether against animals or AI).

Some example goals which makes human trivially superior (in terms of intelligence): invention of nuclear bomb/plants, theory of relativity, etc.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 9:29:59 AM

But that's unique in the sense of "you have a bag of ten apples and I have a bag of eleven apples, therefore my bag is unique". It's not qualitatively different intelligence than a dog's, you just have more of it.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 9:54:47 AM

I would argue that point. The biological components are the same, but emergent behavior is a thing. So both the scale and the number of connections/way they connect have surpassed some limit after which cognitive capabilities increased severalfold to the point that humans "took over the world".

And arguably further increase in intelligence seems to fall into a diminishing returns category, compared to this previous boom. (Someone being "2x smarter" doesn't give them enough benefit of reigning over others, at least history would look otherwise were it the case, in my opinion)

Probably dumb example, but just by increasing speed you get well-behaving laminar flow vs turbulence, yet it's fundamentally the same a level beneath.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 9:57:20 AM

Yeah, I don't know that there's such a jump. Dogs, for example, clearly communicate, both with us and with each other. They don't have language, but they also don't lack communication skills. To me, language is just "better communication" rather than a qualitatively different thing.

by stavros

3/24/2026 at 5:21:44 AM

I doubt you can even define intelligence sufficiently to argue this point. Since that's an ongoing debate without a resolution thus far.

But you claimed that humans aren't unique. I think it's pretty obvious we are on many dimensions including what you might classify as "intelligence". You don't even necessarily have to believe in a "soul" or something like that, although many people do. The capabilities of a human far surpass every single AI to date, and much more efficiently as well. That we are able to brute-force a simulacrum of intelligence in a few narrow domains is incredible, but we should not denigrate humans when celebrating this.

> There's still this seeming belief in magic and human exceptionalism, deeply held, even in communities that otherwise tend to revolve around the sciences and the empirical.

Do you ever wonder why that is? I often wonder why tech has so many reductionist, materialist, and quite frankly anti-human, thinkers.

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 9:25:44 AM

> I doubt you can even define intelligence sufficiently to argue this point.

Agreed.

> But you claimed that humans aren't unique.

I'm arguing that it is up to us to prove that they are interestingly unique in the context of this post. Which is pretty narrow - how do we solve problems?

The theme I was arguing against that I've seen repeated throughout this thread is that AIs are just recombining things they've absorbed and throwing those recombinations at the wall until they see what sticks.

It raises the question of why we presume that humans do things any differently, when it seems quite clear that we can only ever possibly do the same, unless we are claiming that knowledge of the universe can enter the human mind through some means other than through the known senses.

Not at all disputing that humans possess many capabilities that AIs do not.

> Do you ever wonder why that is? I often wonder why tech has so many reductionist, materialist, and quite frankly anti-human, thinkers.

I touched on this elsewhere, will go ahead and paste it here again:

The fundamental thing I'm speaking out against is the arrogance of human exceptionalism.

This whole debate about what it means to be intelligent or human just seems like we're making the same mistakes we've made over and over.

Earth as the center of the universe, sun as the center of the universe, man as the only animal with consciousness and intellect, the anthropomorphic nature of the majority of the deities in our religions and the anthropocentric purpose of the universe within those religions...

I think this desire to believe that we are special, that the universe in some way does ultimately revolve around us, is seemingly a deep need in our psyche but any material analysis of our universe shows that it is extremely unlikely that we hold that position.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 6:15:53 AM

>The capabilities of a human far surpass every single AI to date

What does this mean ? Are you saying every human could have achieved this result ? Or this ? https://openai.com/index/new-result-theoretical-physics/

because well, you'd be wrong.

>, and much more efficiently as well. That we are able to brute-force a simulacrum of intelligence in a few narrow domains is incredible, but we should not denigrate humans when celebrating this.

Human intelligence was brute forced. Please let's all stop pretending like those billions of years of evolution don't count and we poofed into existence. And you can keep parroting 'simulacrum of intelligence' all you want but that isn't going to make it any more true.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 6:25:01 AM

> The capabilities of a human far surpass every single AI to date

Meaning however you (reasonably) define intelligence, if you compare humans to any AI system humans are overwhelmingly more capable. Defining "intelligence" as "solving a math equation" is not a reasonable definition of intelligence. Or else we'd be talking about how my calculator is intelligent. Of course computers can compute faster than we can, that's aside the point.

> Human intelligence was brute forced.

No, I don't mean how the intelligence evolved or was created. But if you want to make that argument you're essentially asserting we have a creator, because to "brute force" something means it was intentional. Evolution is not an intentional process, unless you believe in God or a creator of sorts, which is totally fair but probably not what you were intending.

But my point is that LLM's essentially arrive at answers by brute force through search. Go look at what a reasoning model does to count the letters in a sentence, or the amount of energy it takes to do things humans can do with orders of magnitude less (our brain runs on %20 of a lightbulb!).

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 6:43:46 AM

>Meaning however you (reasonably) define intelligence, if you compare humans to any AI system humans are overwhelmingly more capable.

Really ? Every Human ? Are you sure ? because I certainly wouldn't ask just any human for the things I use these models for, and I use them for a lot of things. So, to me the idea that all humans are 'overwhelmingly more capable' is blatantly false.

>Defining "intelligence" as "solving a math equation" is not a reasonable definition of intelligence.

What was achieved here or in the link I sent is not just "solving a math equation".

>Or else we'd be talking about how my calculator is intelligent.

If you said that humans are overwhelmingly more capable than calculators in arithmetic, well I'd tell you you were talking nonsense.

>Of course computers can compute faster than we can, that's aside the point.

I never said anything about speed. You are not making any significant point here lol

>No, I don't mean how the intelligence evolved or was created.

Well then what are you saying ? Because the only brute-forced aspect of LLM intelligence is its creation. If you do not mean that then just drop the point.

>But if you want to make that argument you're essentially asserting we have a creator, because to "brute force" something means it was intentional.

First of all, this makes no sense sorry. Evolution is regularly described as a brute force process by atheist and religious scientists alike.

Second, I don't have any problem with people thinking we have a creator, although that instance still does necessarily mean a magic 'poof into existence' reality either.

>But my point is that LLM's essentially arrive at answers by brute force through search.

Sorry but that's just not remotely true. This is so untrue I honestly don't know what to tell you. This very post, with the transcript available is an example of how untrue it is.

>or the amount of energy it takes to do things humans can do with orders of magnitude less (our brain runs on %20 of a lightbulb!).

Meaningless comparison. You are looking at two completely different substrates. Do you realize how much compute it would take to run a full simulation of the human brain on a computer ? The most powerful super computer on the planet could not run this in real time.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 8:05:50 AM

> Really ? Every Human ?

Yes, in many ways absolutely. Just because a model is a better "Google" than my dummy friend doesn't mean that this same friend is more capable at countless cases.

> Meaningless comparison. You are looking at two completely different substrates. Do you realize how much compute it would take to run a full simulation of the human brain on a computer ? The most powerful super computer on the planet could not run this in real time.

Isn't that just more proof how efficient the human brain is? Especially that a wire has much better properties than water solutions in bags.

by gf000

3/24/2026 at 8:39:27 AM

>Just because a model is a better "Google" than my dummy friend doesn't mean that this same friend is more capable at countless cases.

People use LLMs for a lot of things. 'Better Google' is is a tiny slice of that.

>Isn't that just more proof how efficient the human brain is?

Sure. So what ? If a game runs poorly on one hardware and excellently on another, does that mean the game was fundamentally different between the 2 devices ? No, Of course not.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 7:20:14 AM

I never said that humans are better than LLM's along every axis. Rather, a reasonable definition of intelligence would necessarily encompass domains that LLM's are either incapable of or inferior to us.

Here might be some definitions of intelligence for example:

> The aggregate or global capacity of the individual to act purposefully, to think rationally, and to deal effectively with his environment.

> "...the resultant of the process of acquiring, storing in memory, retrieving, combining, comparing, and using in new contexts information and conceptual skills".

> Goal-directed adaptive behavior.

> a system's ability to correctly interpret external data, to learn from such data, and to use those learnings to achieve specific goals and tasks through flexible adaptation

But even a housefly possesses levels of intelligence regarding flight and spacial awareness that dominates any LLM. Would it be fair to say a fly is more intelligent than an LLM? It certainly is along a narrow set of axis.

> Because the only brute-forced aspect of LLM intelligence is its creation.

I would consider statistical reasoning systems that can simulate aspects of human thought to be a form of brute force. Not quite an exhaustive search, but massively compressed experience + pattern matching.

But regardless, even if both forms of intelligence arrived via some form of brute force, what is more important to me is the result of that - how does the process of employing our intelligence look.

> This very post, with the transcript available is an example of how untrue it is.

The transcript lacks the vector embeddings of the model's reasoning. It's literally just a summary from the model - not even that really.

> Do you realize how much compute it would take to run a full simulation of the human brain on a computer ? The most powerful super computer on the planet could not run this in real time.

You're so close to getting it lol

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 7:36:34 AM

>I never said that humans are better than LLM's along every axis. Rather, a reasonable definition of intelligence would necessarily encompass domains that LLM's are either incapable of or inferior to us.

So all humans are overwhelmingly more intelligent but cannot even manage to be as capable in a significant number of domains ? That's not what overwhelming means.

>I would consider statistical reasoning systems that can simulate aspects of human thought to be a form of brute force.

That is not really what “brute force” means. Pattern learning over a compressed representation of experience is not the same thing as exhaustive search. Calling any statistical method “brute force” just makes the term too vague to be useful.

> what is more important to me is the result of that - how does the process of employing our intelligence look.

But this is exactly where you are smuggling in assumptions. We do not actually understand the internal workings of either the human brain or frontier LLMs at the level needed to make confident claims like this. So a lot of what you are calling “the result” is really just your intuition about what intelligence is supposed to look like.

And I do not think that distinction is as meaningful as you want it to be anyway. Flight is flight. Birds fly and planes fly. A plane is not a “simulacrum of flight” just because it achieves the same end by a different mechanism.

>The transcript lacks the vector embeddings of the model's reasoning. It's literally just a summary from the model - not even that really.

You do not need access to every internal representation to see that the model did not arrive at the answer by brute-forcing all possibilities. The observed behavior is already enough to rule that out.

> Do you realize how much compute it would take to run a full simulation of the human brain on a computer ? The most powerful super computer on the planet could not run this in real time.

>You're so close to getting it lol.

No you don't understand what I'm saying. If we were to be more accurate to the brain in silicon, it would be even less efficient than LLMs, never mind humans. Does that mean how the brain works is wrong ? No it means we are dealing with 2 entirely different substrates and directly comparing efficiencies like that to show one is superior is silly.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 7:55:28 AM

> So all humans are overwhelmingly more intelligent but cannot even manage to be as capable in a significant number of domains

When the amount of domains in which humans are more capable than LLM's vastly exceeds the amount of domains in which LLM's are more capable than humans, yes.

I also agree that we don't have a great understanding of either human or LLM intelligence, but we can at least observe major differences and conclude that there are, in fact, major differences. In the same way we can conclude that both birds and planes have major differences, and saying that "there's nothing unique about birds, look at planes" is just a really weird thing to say.

> If we were to be more accurate to the brain in silicon, it would be even less efficient than LLMs

Do you think perhaps this massive difference points to there being a significant and foundational structural and functional difference between these types of intelligences?

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 8:08:42 AM

[dead]

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 5:54:21 AM

> I often wonder why tech has so many reductionist, materialist, and quite frankly anti-human, thinkers.

I think it comes from a position of arrogance/ego. I'll speak for the US here, since that's what I know the most; but the average 'techie' in general skews towards the higher intelligence numbers than the lower parts. This is a very, very broad stroke, and that's intentional to illustrate my point. Because of this, techie culture gains quite a bit of arrogance around it with regards to the masses. And this has been trained into tech culture since childhood. Whether it be adults praising us for being "so smart", or that we "figured out the VCR", or some other random tech problem that literally almost any human being can solve by simply reading the manual.

What I've found, in the vast majority of technical problem solving cases that average people have challenges with, if they just took a few minutes to read a manual they'd be able to solve a lot of it themselves. In short, I don't believe as a very strong techie that I'm "smarter than most", but rather that I've taken the time to dive into a subject area that most other humans do not feel the need nor desire to do so.

There are objectively hard problems in tech to solve, but the amount of people solving THOSE problems in the tech industry are few and far in between. And so the tech industry as a whole has spent the last decade or two spinning circles on increasingly complex systems to continue feeding their own egos about their own intelligence. We're now at a point that rather than solving the puzzle, most techies are creating incrementally complex puzzles to solve because they're bored of the puzzles that are in front of them. "Let me solve that puzzle by making a puzzle solver." "Okay, now let me make a puzzle solver creation tool to create puzzle solvers to solve the puzzle." and so forth and so forth. At the end of the day, you're still just solving a puzzle...

But it's this arrogance that really bothers me in the tech bro culture world. And, more importantly, at least in some tech bro circles, they have realized that their target to gathering an exponential increase in wealth doesn't lie in creating new and novel ways to solve the same puzzles, but to try and tout AI as the greatest puzzle solver creation tool puzzle solver known to man (and let me grift off of it for a little bit).

by blackcatsec

3/24/2026 at 9:10:58 AM

It's funny because the fundamental thing I'm speaking out against is the arrogance of human exceptionalism.

This whole debate about what it means to be intelligent or human just seems like we're making the same mistakes we've made over and over.

by virgildotcodes

3/24/2026 at 7:02:18 AM

I largely agree with you, but I also see this same type of thinking appear in people who I know are not arrogant - at least in the techbroisk way.

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 6:04:29 AM

[dead]

by gormen

3/24/2026 at 6:44:52 AM

I am thinking there’s a large category of problems that can be solved by resampling existing proofs. It’s the kind of brute force expedition machine can attempt relentlessly where humans would go mad trying. It probably doesn’t really advance the field, but it can turn conjectures into theorems.

by EternalFury

3/24/2026 at 7:43:20 AM

Indeed, can't find my old comment on the topic but that's indeed the point, it's not how feasible it is to "find" new proof, but rather how meaningful those proofs are. Are they yet another iteration of the same kind, perfectly fitting the current paradigm and thus bringing very little to the table or are they radical and thus potentially (but not always) opening up the field?

With brute force, or slightly better than brute force, it's most likely the first, thus not totally pointless but probably not very useful. In fact it might not even be worth the tokens spent.

by utopiah

3/24/2026 at 8:23:43 AM

I'm of the opinion that everything we've discovered is via combinatorial synthesis. Standing on the shoulders of giants and all that. I'm not sure I've seen any convincing argument that we've discovered anything ex nihilo.

by PxldLtd

3/24/2026 at 7:02:06 AM

How do you think you can design a benchmark to solve truly novel problems?

by simianwords

3/24/2026 at 10:41:34 AM

I feel like this single image perfectly sums up the entire thread here: https://trapatsas.eu/sites/llm-predictions/

by trapatsas

3/24/2026 at 8:24:50 AM

"In this scaffold, several other models were able to solve the problem as well: Opus 4.6 (max), Gemini 3.1 Pro, and GPT-5.4 (xhigh)."

I find that very surprising. This problem seems out of reach 3 months ago but now the 3 frontier models are able to solve it.

Is everybody distilling each others models? Companies sell the same data and RL environment to all big labs? Anybody more involved can share some rumors? :P

I do believe that AI can solve hard problems, but that progress is so distributed in a narrow domain makes me a bit suspicious somehow that there is a hidden factor. Like did some "data worker" solve a problem like that and it's now in the training data?

by zurfer

3/24/2026 at 11:12:01 AM

Yes there's a whole ecosystem of companies that create and sell RL gyms to AI labs and of course they develop their own internally too. You don't hear much about this ecosystem because RL at scale is all private. Nearly no academic research on it.

A lot of this is probably just throwing roughly equal amounts of compute at continuous RLVR training. I'm not convinced there's any big research breakthrough that separates GPT 5.4 from 5.2. The diff is probably more than just checkpoints but less than neural architecture changes and more towards the former than the latter.

I think it's just easy to underestimate how much impact continuous training+scaling can have on the underlying capabilities.

by mike_hearn

3/24/2026 at 9:24:13 AM

Is it possible the AI labs are seeding their models with these solved problems? Like, if I was Sam Altman with a bazillion dollars of investment I would pay some mathematicians to solve some of these problems so that the models could "solve" them later on. Not that I think it's what's happening here of course...

But it is pretty funny how 5.4 miscounted the number of 1's in 18475838184729 on the same day it solved this.

by slopinthebag

3/24/2026 at 5:06:58 AM

Their 'Open Problems page' linked below gives some interesting context. They list 15 open problems in total, categorized as 'moderately interesting,' 'solid result,' 'major advance,' or 'breakthrough.' The solved problem is listed as 'moderately interesting,' which is presumably the easiest category. But it's notable that the problem was selected and posted here before it was solved. I wonder how long until the other 3 problems in this category are solved.

https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 5:09:59 AM

I’d hope this isn’t a goal post move - an open math problem of any sort being solved by a language model is absolute science fiction.

by fnordpiglet

3/24/2026 at 5:27:52 AM

That's been achieved already with a few Erdös problems, though those tended to be ambiguously stated in a way that made them less obviously compelling to humans. This problem is obscure, even the linked writeup admits that perhaps ~10 mathematicians worldwide are genuinely familiar with it. But it's not unfeasibly hard for a few weeks' or months' work by a human mathematician.

by zozbot234

3/24/2026 at 7:44:47 AM

FWIW https://github.com/teorth/erdosproblems/wiki/AI-contribution... in particular the disclaimers are very interesting.

by utopiah

3/24/2026 at 6:40:14 AM

It is not. You're operating under the assumption that all open math problems are difficult and novel.

This particular problem was about improving the lower bound for a function tracking a property of hypergraphs (undirected graphs where edges can contain more than two vertices).

Both constructing hypergraphs (sets) and lower bounds are very regular, chore type tasks that are common in maths. In other words, there's plenty of this type of proof in the training data.

LLMs kind of construct proofs all the time, every time they write a program. Because every program has a corresponding proof. It doesn't mean they're reasoning about them, but they do construct proofs.

This isn't science fiction. But it's nice that the LLMs solved something for once.

by tovej

3/24/2026 at 7:48:48 AM

> nice that the LLMs solved something for once.

That sentence alone needs unpacking IMHO, namely that no LLM suddenly decided that today was the day it would solve a math problem. Instead a couple of people who love mathematics, doing it either for fun or professionally, directly ask a model to solve a very specific task that they estimated was solvable. The LLM itself was fed countless related proofs. They then guided the model and verified until they found something they considered good enough.

My point is that the system itself is not the LLM alone, as that would be radically more impressive.

by utopiah

3/24/2026 at 8:39:30 AM

I 100% agree. The LLM was just used to autocomplete a ready-made strategy.

by tovej

3/24/2026 at 6:47:55 AM

I've never yet been "that guy" on HN but... the title seems misleading. The actual title is "A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs" and a more descriptive title would be "All latest frontier models can solve a frontier math open problem". (It wasn't just GPT 5.4)

Super cool, of course.

by pugio

3/24/2026 at 2:47:42 AM

> Subsequent to this solve, we finished developing our general scaffold for testing models on FrontierMath: Open Problems. In this scaffold, several other models were able to solve the problem as well: Opus 4.6 (max), Gemini 3.1 Pro, and GPT-5.4 (xhigh).

Interesting. Whats that “scaffold”? A sort of unit test framework for proofs?

by 6thbit

3/24/2026 at 3:21:56 AM

I think in this context, scaffolds are generally the harness that surrounds the actual model. For example, any tools, ways to lay out tasks, or auto-critiquing methods.

I think there's quite a bit of variance in model performance depending on the scaffold so comparisons are always a bit murky.

by inkysigma

3/24/2026 at 3:35:49 AM

Usually involves a lot of agents and their custom contexts or system prompts.

by readitalready

3/24/2026 at 3:46:14 AM

As someone with only passing exposure to serious math, this section was by far the most interesting to me:

> The author assessed the problem as follows.

> [number of mathematicians familiar, number trying, how long an expert would take, how notable, etc]

How reliably can we know these things a-priori? Are these mostly guesses? I don't mean to diminish the value of guesses; I'm curious how reliable these kinds of guesses are.

by pinkmuffinere

3/24/2026 at 4:32:51 AM

For number of mathematicians familiar with and actively working on the problem, modern mathematics research is incredibly specialized, so it's easy to keep track of who's working on similar problems. You read each other's papers, go to the same conferences etc.

For "how long an expert would take" to solve a problem, for truly open problems I don't think you can usually answer this question with much confidence until the problem has been solved. But once it has been solved, people with experience have a good sense of how long it would have taken them (though most people underestimate how much time they need, since you always run into unanticipated challenges).

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 4:00:36 AM

Read about Paul Erdös... not all math is the Riemann Hypothesis, there is yeoman's work connecting things and whatever...

by ramblingrain

3/24/2026 at 5:34:46 AM

Certainly knowing how many/which people are working on a problem you are looking at, and how long it will take you to solve it, are critical skills in being a working researcher. What kind of answer are you looking for? It's hard to quantify. Most suck at this type of assessment as a PhD student and then you get better as time goes on.

by jasonfarnon

3/24/2026 at 3:52:21 AM

I was trying to get Claude and Codex to try and write a proof in Isabelle for the Collatz conjecture, but annoyingly it didn't solve it, and I don't feel like I'm any closer than I was when I started. AI is useless!

In all seriousness, this is pretty cool. I suspect that there's a lot of theoretical math that haven't been solved simply because of the "size" of the proof. An AI feedback loop into something like Isabelle or Lean does seem like it could end up opening up a lot of proofs.

by tombert

3/24/2026 at 4:38:38 AM

I got Gemini to find a polynomial-time algorithm for integer factoring, but then I mysteriously got locked out of my Google account. They should at least refund me the tokens.

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 4:45:15 AM

That sounds like the start of a very lucrative career. Are you sure it was Gemini and not an AI competitor offering affiliate commission? ;)

by fxtentacle

3/24/2026 at 9:02:51 AM

I feel like reading some of these comments, some people need to go and read the history of ideas and philosophy (which is easier today than ever before with the help of LLMs!)

It's like I'm reading 17th-18th century debates spurring the same arguments between rationalists and empiricists, lol. Maybe we're due for a 21st century Kant.

by sigbottle

3/24/2026 at 5:59:25 AM

It's deeply surprising to me that LLMs have had more success proving higher math theorems than making successful consumer software

by bandrami

3/24/2026 at 6:23:02 AM

Software developers have spent decades at this point discounting and ignoring almost all objective metrics for software quality and the industry as a whole has developed a general disregard for any metric that isn't time-to-ship (and even there they will ignore faster alternatives in favor of hyped choices).

(Edit: Yes, I'm aware a lot of people care about FP, "Clean Code", etc., but these are all red herrings that don't actually have anything to do with quality. At best they are guidelines for less experienced programmers and at worst a massive waste of time if you use more than one or two suggestions from their collection of ideas.)

Most of the industry couldn't use objective metrics for code quality and the quality of the artifacts they produce without also abandoning their entire software stack because of the results. They're using the only metric they've ever cared about; time-to-ship. The results are just a sped up version of what we've had now for more than two decades: Software is getting slower, buggier and less usable.

If you don't have a good regulating function for what represents real quality you can't really expect systems that just pump out code to actually iterate very well on anything. There are very few forcing functions to use to produce high quality results though iteration.

by 59nadir

3/24/2026 at 6:42:47 AM

But we don't even seem to be getting faster time-to-ship in any way that anybody can actually measure; it's always some vague sense of "we're so much more productive".

by bandrami

3/24/2026 at 7:09:05 AM

That's a fair observation and one that I don't really have an answer for. I can say from personal experience that I believe that shipping nonsense code has never been faster. That's just an anecdote, obviously.

We need a bigger version of the METR study on perceived vs. real productivity[0], I guess. It's a thankless job, though, since people will assume/state even at publication time that "Everything has progressed so much, those models and agents sucked, everything is 10 times better now!" and you basically have to start a new study, repeat ad infinitum.

One problem that really complicates things is that the net competency of these models seems really spotty and uneven. They're apparently out here solving math problems that seemingly "require thinking", but at the same time will write OpenGL code that will produce black screens on basically every driver, not produce the intended results and result in hours of debugging time for someone not familiar enough. That's despite OpenGL code being far more prevalent out there than math proofs, presumably. How do you reliably even theorize about things like this when something can be so bad and (apparently) so good at the same time?

0 - https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-o...

by 59nadir

3/24/2026 at 7:39:38 AM

They haven't, not at all as far as I can tell. This math problem appears to be a nice chore to be solved, the equivalent to "Claude, optimize this code" or "Write a parser", which is being done 100000x a day.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 7:50:58 AM

The original researchers who proposed this problem tried and failed multiple times to solve it. Does that sound like a 'nice chore to be solved' to you ?

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 7:53:05 AM

That's interesting context, where do you see that? I'm going off of the label "Moderately interesting".

edit: I see in the full write up that the contributor says that they'd estimate an expert would take 1-3 months to do this. They also note that they came up with this solution independently but hadn't confirmed it.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 8:02:22 AM

https://epochai.substack.com/p/first-ai-solution-on-frontier...

>The newly-solved problem came from Will Brian, who had placed it in the Moderately Interesting category. It is a conjecture from a paper he wrote with Paul Larson in 2019. They were unable to solve it at the time, or in several attempts since. Brian had this to say.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 8:07:58 AM

I actually still don't see the source for them trying several times, but we can take that for granted. Regardless, as I said:

1. It's labeled as "moderately interesting"

2. They said that they expect an expert could solve it in 1-3 months

3. They had already come up with the solution that the AI had but weren't convinced it would have worked

So how big was the gap here, do you think?

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 8:21:43 AM

Yes, a "moderately interesting" Open problem.

I can't think of any chores that would take an expert months to complete. I can't think of any chores that I've completed but was then 'unconvinced could work'. Please sit down and think about what you are saying here. Are we still talking about chores ?

One of the more strange phenomena with machines getting better and the incessant need (seemingly driven by human exceptionalism) to downplay each result, is that you just end up belittling humans in the process.

This is significant. Your analogy is wrong. It's fine to admit it.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 8:49:20 AM

Writing a complex parser or certainly a compiler is a 1 - 3 month project, for example.

Again, I'm not trying to downplay this, but to frame this accurately. I think an AI being able to build a parser/ compiler is cool too.

> One of the more strange phenomena with machines getting better and the incessant need (seemingly driven by human exceptionalism) to downplay each result, is that you just end up belittling humans in the process.

I don't believe in human exceptionalism at all, don't attribute positions to me.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 9:09:51 AM

>Writing a complex parser or certainly a compiler is a 1 - 3 month project, for example.

1. Estimating time completion of something that has been done multiple times before and an open problem that has not yet been solved is a different matter entirely. 1 to 3 months is an educated guess and more likely than not, an underestimate.

2. I do not think months long complex compilers and parsers are being routinely completed by LLMs as your original comment implied. Regardless, they are different classes of problems.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 9:15:18 AM

I don't get what either of your points is intended to demonstrate. Let's revisit the first post I replied to:

> It's deeply surprising to me that LLMs have had more success proving higher math theorems than making successful consumer software

As far as I can tell, they absolutely have not had more success in this area relative to making successful consumer software.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 9:46:31 AM

Well we are kind of arguing past each other aren't we ?

"More success" is a bit vague in this instance but building a compiler that would take a programmer 1 to 3 months is not comparable to this result regardless of whatever similarity exists in time completion estimates. That's the point.

You can publish a paper (and in fact the researchers plan to) off this result. A basic compiler is cool but otherwise unremarkable. It's been done many times before.

You are leaning too hard on how long the researchers (who again did not manage to solve the problem in their attempts) estimated this would take and the "moderately interesting" tag of again, what was still an open research problem.

This, alongside a few math and physics results that have cropped up in the last few months is easily more impressive than the vast majority of work being done with LLMs for software.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 9:51:19 AM

> "More success" is a bit vague in this instance but building a compiler that would take a single programmer 1 to 3 months is not comparable to this result regardless of whatever similarity exists in time completion estimates. That's the point.

I guess we just disagree on this. It's not clear to me that these are totally different in terms of what they represent.

> You can publish a paper (and in fact the researchers plan to) off this result. A basic compiler is cool but otherwise unremarkable.

Publishing papers means very, very little to me. I can publish a paper on a programming language, you know that, right?

> You are leaning too hard on how long the researchers (who again did not manage to solve the problem in their attempts) estimated this would take and the "moderately interesting" tag of again, what was an open research problem.

I obviously estimate my "leanings" as being appropriate. I'm just using the researchers direct quotes. Factually, they had already come up with the approach that ultimately panned out. Factually, they estimated that a human could do this in some timeframe. What am I overly leaning on here?

> This, alongside a few math results that have cropped up in the last few months is easily more impressive than the vast majority of work being done with LLMs for software.

I think both are impressive, I don't know that I would draw some sort of big conclusions about it at this point. I definitely wouldn't draw the conclusion that AI is better at formal mathematics than producing software.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 10:00:37 AM

>Publishing papers means very, very little to me. I can publish a paper on a programming language, you know that, right?

We both know that you are not getting that published in a reputable journal without a lot of effort beyond merely 'publishing the language I created', but sure, I'm sure you can get something on arxiv.

>I obviously estimate my "leanings" as being appropriate. I'm just using the researchers direct quotes. Factually, they had already come up with the approach that ultimately panned out.

This really should not be hard to understand.

1. One is something that has been done many times before and the other an unsolved problem. It doesn't take a genius to see one estimate is likely much stronger than the other. If your point hinges on comparing them directly, it's pretty weak.

2. A moderately interesting open research problem is not the same thing as a moderately interesting problem and you seem to be conflating the two.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 10:02:06 AM

> We both know that you are not getting that published in a reputable journal without a lot of effort beyond merely 'publishing the language I created'. But sure, you can get something on arxiv.

lol what? There are papers on programming languages all the time.

> 1. One is something that has been done many times before and the other an unsolved problem. It doesn't take a genius to see one estimate is likely much stronger than the other.

Building a compiler for a new programming language, building net new code, etc, is all stuff that was unsolved / had not been done before.

> 2. A moderately interesting open research problem is not the same thing as a moderately interesting problem and you seem to be conflating the two.

Feel free to explain the difference, I guess.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 10:06:36 AM

>lol what? There are papers on programming languages all the time.

Sure and have you read them ? They're the results of many months or years of research and development so I really don't know what point you think you are making here.

>Building a compiler for a new programming language, building net new code, etc, is all stuff that was unsolved / had not been done before.

Okay but that's not taking a month or two or being asked of LLMs x10000 every day so thanks for making my point I guess.

>Feel free to explain the difference, I guess.

No thanks. If you don't understand it that's fine. This has run its course anyway.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 10:14:59 AM

Yeah idk what you're going on about lol

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 8:30:52 AM

Also, the full write up does not say the researchers solved it.

by famouswaffles

3/24/2026 at 8:48:03 AM

> I had previously wondered if the AI’s approach might be possible, but it seemed hard to work out.

They didn't solve it, that's fair. They did consider the approach already.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 7:49:37 AM

But the title claims it is a "frontier" math problem, so which is it really.

by calf

3/24/2026 at 6:58:10 AM

Impressive, but it will take away so much sense of accomplishment from so many people. I find that really sad.

by letmetweakit

3/24/2026 at 11:08:46 AM

Besides the point of the supposed achievement, that is supposedly confirmed, my point will be that Epoch.ai is possibly just a PR firm for *Western* AI providers, then possibly this news is untruth worthy.

by diimdeep

3/24/2026 at 3:25:09 AM

Seems like the high compute parallel thinking models weren't even needed, both the normal 5.4 and gemini 3.1 pro solved it. Somehow Gemini 3 deepthink couldn't solve it.

by osti

3/24/2026 at 7:41:41 AM

Fantastic and exciting stuff!

I wonder how much of this meteoric progress in actually creating novel mathematics is because the training data is of a much higher standard than code, for example.

by anematode

3/24/2026 at 7:52:59 AM

Do they also publish the raw output of the model, i.e. not only the final response but also everything generated for internal reasoning or tool use?

by danbruc

3/24/2026 at 3:22:55 AM

No denial at this point, AI could produce something novel, and they will be doing more of this moving forward.

by karmasimida

3/24/2026 at 3:54:18 AM

Not sure if AI can have clever or new ideas, it still seems to be it combines existing knowledge and executes algoritms.

I am not necessarily saying humans do something different either, but I have yet to see a novel solution from an AI that is not simply an extrapolation of current knowledge.

by XCSme

3/24/2026 at 4:51:26 AM

Speaking as a researcher, the line between new ideas and existing knowledge is very blurry and maybe doesn't even exist. The vast majority of research papers get new results by combining existing ideas in novel ways. This process can lead to genuinely new ideas, because the results of a good project teach you unexpected things.

My biggest hesitation with AI research at the moment is that they may not be as good at this last step as humans. They may make novel observations, but will they internalize these results as deeply as a human researcher would? But this is just a theoretical argument; in practice, I see no signs of progress slowing down.

by qnleigh

3/24/2026 at 7:00:15 AM

This is my take as well. A human who learns, say, a Towers of Hanoi algorithm, will be able to apply it and use it next time without having to figure it out all over again. An LLM would probably get there eventually, but would have to do it all over again from scratch the next time. This makes it difficult combine lessons in new ways. Any new advancement relying on that foundational skill relies on, essentially, climbing the whole mountain from the ground.

I suppose the other side of it is that if you add what the model has figured out to the training set, it will always know it.

by coderenegade

3/24/2026 at 4:31:09 AM

We call that Standing On The Shoulders Of Giants and revere Isaac Newton as clever, even though he himself stated that he was standing on the shoulders of giants.

by dotancohen

3/24/2026 at 4:08:01 AM

Clever/novel ideas are very often subtle deviations from known, existing work.

Sometimes just having the time/compute to explore the available space with known knowledge is enough to produce something unique.

by nkozyra

3/24/2026 at 4:23:27 AM

There is no such thing. All new ideas are derived from previous experiences and concepts.

by salomonk_mur

3/24/2026 at 6:55:42 AM

The difference people are neglecting to point out is the experiences we have versus the experiences the AI has.

We have at least 5 senses, our thoughts, feelings, hormonal fluctuations, sleep and continuous analog exposure to all of these things 24/7. It's vastly different from how inputs are fed into an LLM.

On top of that we have millions of years of evolution toward processing this vast array of analog inputs.

by Madmallard

3/24/2026 at 10:22:05 AM

So, just connect LLMs to lava lamps?

Jokes aside, imagine you give LLMs access to real-time, world-wide satellite imagery and just tell it to discover new patrerns/phenomens and corrrlations in the world.

by XCSme

3/24/2026 at 5:35:54 AM

"extrapolation" literally implies outside the extents of current knowledge.

by glalonde

3/24/2026 at 10:31:58 AM

Yes, but not necessarily new knowledge.

It means extending/expanding something, but the information is based on the current data.

In computer games, extrapolation is finding the future position of an object based on the current position, velocity and time wanted. We do have some "new" position, but the sistem entropy/information is the same.

Or if we have a line, we can expand infinitely and get new points, but this information was already there in the y = m * x + b line formula.

by XCSme

3/24/2026 at 6:09:22 AM

How would you know if it wasn't an extrapolation of current knowledge? Can you point me to somethings humans have done which isn't an extrapolation?

by aoeusnth1

3/24/2026 at 10:26:17 AM

That was my point: "I am not necessarily saying humans do something different".

by XCSme

3/24/2026 at 5:14:29 AM

I mean, I can run a pseudo random number generator, and produce something novel too.

by slashdave

3/24/2026 at 3:27:08 AM

[flagged]

by leptons

3/24/2026 at 3:37:17 AM

Your analogy falls apart if we consider the number wasn't on the clock face.

by snypher

3/24/2026 at 3:42:50 AM

I am deeply baffled by AI denial at this point.

by MattGaiser

3/24/2026 at 3:49:34 AM

Complete denial that AI/LLMs can produce novel, good things is an indefensible stance at this point. But the large volume of AI slop is still an unsolved problem, and the claim that "AI will still mostly deliver slop" seems to be almost certainly correct in the near-term.

We've had a few decades to address email spam, and still haven't manage to disincentivize it enough to stop being the main challenge for email as a communication medium. I don't think there's much hope that we'll be able to disincentive the widespread, large-scale creation of AI slop even after more expensive models with higher-quality output are available.

by wtallis

3/24/2026 at 5:19:45 AM

It's quite simple: it has yet to show it can actually be useful, and all the claims that it can have (so far) turned out to be self delusion if not deliberate lies. When the industry is run by grifters, you shouldn't really be surprised when people stop believing them.

by bigstrat2003

3/24/2026 at 6:01:24 AM

you are posting in a thread about it finding a novel solution to an unsolved mathematics problem

by Philpax

3/24/2026 at 7:41:27 AM

Is this novel? It's new. But we already know AI can generate new things, any statistical reassembly of any content will generate new things.

It's not to downplay this, but it's unclear what "novel" means here or what you think the implications are.

by staticassertion

3/24/2026 at 9:21:46 AM

> This problem is about improving lower bounds on the values of a sequence, , that arises in the study of simultaneous convergence of sets of infinite series, defined as follows.

One thing I notice in the AlphaEvolve paper as well as here, is that these LLMs have been shown to solve optimization problems - something we have been using computers for, for really long. In fact, I think the alphaevolve-style prompt augmentation approach is a more principled approach to what these guys have done here, and am fairly confident this one would have been solved in that approach as well.

In spirit, the LLM seems to compute the {meta-, }optimization step()s in activation space. Or, it is retrieving candidate proposals.

It would be interesting to see if we can extract or model the exact algorithms from the activations. Or, it is simply retrieving and proposing a deductive closures of said computation.

In the latter case, it would mean that LLMs alone can never "reason" and you need an external planner+verifier (alpha-evolve style evolutionary planner for example).

We are still looking for proof of the former behaviour.

by porridgeraisin

3/24/2026 at 4:04:30 AM

New goalpost, and I promise I'm not being facetious at all, genuinely curious:

Can an AI pose an frontier math problem that is of any interest to mathematicians?

I would guess 1) AI can solve frontier math problems and 2) can pose interesting/relevant math problems together would be an "oh shit" moment. Because that would be true PhD level research.

by daveguy

3/24/2026 at 9:02:17 AM

Considering that an LLM simply remixes what it finds in its learned distribution over text, it's possible that it can pose new math problems by identifying gaps ("obvious" in restrospect) that humans may have missed (like connecting two known problems to pose a new one). What LLMs can't currently do is pose new problems by observing the real world and its ramifications, like that moving sofa problem.

by kgeist

3/24/2026 at 6:55:11 AM

Yes. I doubt it can do that.

by EternalFury

3/24/2026 at 4:10:38 AM

This is a remarkable result if confirmed independently. The gap between solving competition problems and open research problems has always been significant - bridging that gap suggests something qualitatively different in the model capabilities.

by vlinx

3/24/2026 at 6:28:59 AM

What are the odds that this is because Openai is pouring more money into high publicity stunts like this- rather than its model actually being better than Anthropics?

by t0lo

3/24/2026 at 9:18:03 AM

First prove the solution wasn’t in the training data. Otherwise it’s all just vibes and ‘trust me bro.’

by cedws

3/24/2026 at 4:15:15 AM

I guess this means AI researchers should be out of jobs very soon.

by measurablefunc

3/24/2026 at 3:46:43 AM

I feel like there’s a fork in our future approaching where we’ll either blossom into a paradise for all or live under the thumb of like 5 immortal VCs

by an0malous

3/24/2026 at 3:55:05 AM

Change is always hard, even if it will be good in 20 years, the transitions are always tough.

by XCSme

3/24/2026 at 4:15:02 AM

Sometimes the transition is tough and then the end state is also worse!

Hoping that won't be the case with AI but we may need some major societal transformations to prevent it.

by reverius42

3/24/2026 at 8:43:06 AM

wow nice

by samthegitty_24

3/24/2026 at 4:21:32 AM

[dead]

by pugchat

3/24/2026 at 7:19:12 AM

[dead]

by jee599

3/24/2026 at 5:59:34 AM

[dead]

by michaelashley29

3/24/2026 at 6:42:33 AM

Really? He was steering the wheel the whole time. GPT didn't do the math.

by jvdsf

3/24/2026 at 7:50:32 AM

Ah, the good old Clever Hans. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clever_Hans

by calf

3/24/2026 at 7:18:26 AM

Its an article from an ai site. People with vested interest are desperate to prove its not an expensive parrot.

by jaimex2

3/24/2026 at 3:25:12 AM

Fantastic news! That means with the right support tooling existing models are already capable of solving novel mathematics. There’s probably a lot of good mathematics out there we are going to make progress on.

by renewiltord

3/24/2026 at 4:44:03 AM

We only get one shot.

by gnarlouse

3/24/2026 at 4:40:56 AM

A model to whose internals we don't have access solved a problem we didn't knew was in their datasets. Great, I'm impressed

by data_maan