3/18/2026 at 2:25:29 PM
I'm not a gambler, but there should be a thing on those gambling sites on whether this is about extraterrestrial life or mexicansby pluc
3/18/2026 at 2:28:01 PM
Who said it’s a binary choice? Could have extraterrestrials taking advantage of our weak southern border to enter the country.by koolba
3/18/2026 at 2:29:47 PM
They're eating the cats![0]by messe
3/18/2026 at 6:16:45 PM
They also are eating stars apparently.by dogma1138
3/18/2026 at 8:27:19 PM
> Who said it’s a binary choice?Have you not been paying attention to this administration?
by ahmahxee
3/18/2026 at 2:30:41 PM
Even better, then noone will be payed out.by tokai
3/18/2026 at 2:40:52 PM
Ask and ye shall receive: https://manifold.markets/benmanns/aliensgov-prop-bets (play money). I set this up so multiple can resolve and other users can add additional speculations.by benmanns
3/18/2026 at 5:09:08 PM
This is so smart. Gambling with fake money.I love the idea of polybet but would never invest into it. Gonna check this out
by ramon156
3/18/2026 at 7:56:38 PM
Exprience shows that braindead ideas are great moneymakers.by tempodox
3/18/2026 at 2:47:08 PM
Oh my god.EDIT: oh it's play money, good website
by hootz
3/18/2026 at 2:32:21 PM
If it was about extraterrestrial life, there would be a massive insider trade and Polymarket would've climbed. It's been static for the past day.https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...
by jjmarr
3/18/2026 at 2:30:52 PM
According to Polymarket, there's a 16% chance US will confirm aliens exist: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...by Void_
3/18/2026 at 2:40:39 PM
Someone with the ability to register .gov domains is trying to make a sneaky buck.by kevmo314
3/18/2026 at 4:04:50 PM
It used to be anyone with a fax machine could register any .gov but they fixed that when there was a news report about it.by rationalist
3/19/2026 at 6:57:13 PM
I was curious about this, so for anyone else who’s interested, here’s a KrebsOnSecurity article from 2019 about how easy it was to fraudulently register a .gov domain:https://krebsonsecurity.com/2019/11/its-way-too-easy-to-get-...
I haven’t seen any follow-up reporting, but it looks like the process now requires some semblance of identity verification:
by afn
3/19/2026 at 12:00:47 AM
It's because of the time value of money. Buying no is much like buying a bond.It doesn't mean there's a 16% chance.
It's probably more attractive to gamblers when presented like this.
by barchar
3/18/2026 at 4:29:39 PM
That's just gambling without any basis for reality though. Not sure if you're actually attributing any weight to random gamblers lol.by Insanity
3/18/2026 at 4:54:30 PM
Taking the opposite side of this bet feels like a free 19% return on your money.by wavemode
3/19/2026 at 7:49:13 AM
It's based on what Donald Trump (or any other US president, should it come to that) says, not on any evidence or ground truth beyond that.The are motives for lying on this - for a start, if a president knows definitively they're going to say it, it's a free 81% return. Secondly, it's a pretty big dead cat to throw on the table to distract from any scandal and/or to keep themselves in the news cycle on a different topic.
by A1kmm
3/18/2026 at 4:42:41 PM
Ah, the wisdom of the crowds (of gamblers.)by nxobject
3/18/2026 at 4:31:16 PM
We know for a fact that the US government has no evidence of aliens existing, because there's a 0% chance Trump wouldn't have blabbed about it during his first term.by kibwen
3/19/2026 at 11:45:51 AM
I mean, fair, but who says he'll be appraised and knowing about it at all?by pdimitar
3/18/2026 at 2:34:26 PM
et.aliens.gov, mexicans.aliens.govIt can do it all!
by crumpled
3/18/2026 at 5:29:18 PM
> mexicans.aliens.govYou mean that 2023 "reveal"?
by pndy
3/18/2026 at 5:10:40 PM
ancient.aliens.govA possible collaboration
by casey2
3/18/2026 at 4:07:39 PM
Who do you think built Chicken Itza?!by chatmasta
3/18/2026 at 4:30:20 PM
This gave me a good laugh. I think you got auto-corrected from 'Chichén Itzá', to 'Chicken'.by Insanity
3/18/2026 at 4:44:21 PM
If you go to the other sites down there (like Tulum) very often you will hear the vendors talk trash about Chichen Itza calling it "Chicken Pizza".by Ccecil
3/18/2026 at 5:03:42 PM
Didn't pick up on that when I was there. But I'll say that Chichen is definitely worth a visit and only about a 2h drive from Cancun! You can do a tour with a group like Xcaret so you don't even have to drive there yourself.by Insanity
3/19/2026 at 9:49:58 PM
Yeah… yeah… that’s totally what happened :)by chatmasta