alt.hn

3/4/2026 at 6:30:02 PM

Open Source Iran War Cost Tracker: 45.7B

https://iranwarcost.com

by koverda

3/4/2026 at 7:13:16 PM

Some problems:

- The Aid package is not immediately spent all at once. It authorizes up to $26 billion, but the CBO estimates it may take all the way into 2033 to claim the money.

- To that end, a lot of these costs are double counted. It's including the bill that authorizes these expenses, and then those expenses all in the same calculation.

More realistically, the $6.5M/day in theater operations for a Carrier Strike Group is probably pretty accurate (In reality, they already cost the US about $30M/day just operate normally). The flyaway costs for the Tomahawk missiles are going to be about $1M each (a lot of price estimates include the R&D costs divided per units).

In reality, the cost of a 60 day war with Iran using current methods at our current loss rates will get you closer to about $8-12B total cost. Which is still a lot more more incrementally accurate.

by legitster

3/4/2026 at 7:29:25 PM

Thank you for the feedback, I'll take it into account. Much appreciated!

by koverda

3/5/2026 at 7:34:58 AM

It would be interesting, but admittedly difficult, to have a comparative scale of what could have been achieved if the money had been used to hire more teachers, set up universal healthcare, reduce overcrowding in prisons, provide shelters and food for the homeless, subsidise doctors to work in places where no-one can afford medical care... In other words "at this point you could have provided shelter for every homeless person; at this point you could have halved the crowding in prisons; at this point ...".

by pseudohadamard

3/5/2026 at 5:17:07 PM

You mean instead of the war?

These are really two different costs, hardly comparable. And both useful (if it ends up with a true liberation of the Iranians)

by BrandoElFollito

3/5/2026 at 4:59:07 AM

"Estimated US military spending since April 20, 2024, the day Congress passed $26.38B in emergency security assistance for Israel. "

In April 2024, Congress passed a $95.3 billion national-security supplemental package that included funding for Ukraine, Israel, and Indo-Pacific security. The Israel portion totaled about $26.38 billion.

Key points about that money:

Total Israel-related funding: about $26.38B. Humanitarian aid: roughly $9.15B (for civilians affected by conflicts, including Gaza). Missile defense: about $5.2B for systems like Iron Dome and David’s Sling. Weapons procurement: about $3.5B for new weapons. Other military supplies/services: about $4.4B.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/whats-us-houses-foreign-aid... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Law_118-50

by SegfaultSeagull

3/4/2026 at 6:50:19 PM

I was curious about the (AN/FPS-132) radar, which is a significant cost-driver, and have come away unsure as to whether it was a US-asset (which seems to be what this website is tracking). Qatar seems to have ordered one of these radars, and I can't see any record of the US installing one of its own at the facility in question, but it is not clear (to me) who owns this unit, though it seems most likely to be Qatar. Additionally, the widely-circulated image of the 'destroyed' radar appears to be 'fake', with satellite images showing less-than-catastrophic damage:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/fact-check-fake-image-de...

https://www.news18.com/world/iran-destroyed-uss-1-1-billion-...

by nickff

3/4/2026 at 7:00:51 PM

Pretty certain from this that it's a US asset: https://www.wpafb.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/111460...

by koverda

3/4/2026 at 7:13:28 PM

Thanks for your link! The text seems to indicate the equipment is Qatar-owned: “The foreign military sale agreement, signed Dec. 7, 2016, requested AFLCMC provide the radar itself and associated mission support facilities at a remote location in Qatar.”

For context, in the case of foreign military sales, the US government usually buys the equipment from its suppliers, then resells it to the foreign government.

by nickff

3/4/2026 at 6:30:02 PM

I made a site a couple of days ago to track the cost of the iran war. It's open source, feel free to submit a PR or open an issue: https://github.com/koverda/iranwarcost.com

by koverda

3/4/2026 at 6:57:00 PM

[dead]

by ffsickempire

3/5/2026 at 9:39:03 AM

Commenters here calculating expenses, this money could have gone to healthcare of people, not to mention lives lots.

by nerdyadventurer

3/4/2026 at 6:45:16 PM

Different tracker, but also see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47237080

Iran War Cost Tracker (iran-cost-ticker.com) 312 points | 23 hours ago | 440 comments

How does yours compare to that one?

by WalterGR

3/4/2026 at 6:58:05 PM

Mine seems to be a bit more focused and comprehensive on the financial expenditures by the US government, and open source. Also iran-cost-ticker.com seems to be "on hold" when i visit it.

by koverda

3/4/2026 at 7:04:02 PM

> Also iran-cost-ticker.com seems to be "on hold" when i visit it.

That is certainly a difference between the two sites. :) (In my defense, I hadn't visited since yesterday.)

by WalterGR

3/4/2026 at 7:16:58 PM

The modern Iran War began in April 2024 when Israel bombed Iran's consulate in Syria, marking the first direct conflict between the countries.

by JohnTHaller

3/4/2026 at 7:33:02 PM

There were many many milestones that are relevant to the current war.

- Proxy war waged by Iran in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen.

- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_of_Qasem_Soleima...

Arguably the bombing of IRGC meeting in the consulate-adjacent structure was not really "direct conflict". It was Iran firing missiles at Israel that was the first real direct conflict: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_2024_Iranian_strikes_on_...

Also if we want to split hairs Iran attacked Israel's embassy in Buenos Aires in 1992: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Buenos_Aires_Israeli_emba...

"In April 2024, Argentina's second highest court ruled that the Iranian government was responsible for the bombing, and that it was carried out in retaliation for Argentina reneging on agreements to transfer nuclear material to Iran. The ruling also characterized Iran as a terrorist state"

by YZF

3/5/2026 at 3:06:24 PM

In your last point, wasn't that just Miley pandering to the US and Israel ?

Bombing an Embassy/Consulate is a direct attack on sovereign territory according to international law, so technically Israel started first, but I agree, it's splitting hair, both sides attacked each other in various ways, via proxies, sabotage, killing scientists, economic damages, sanctions long before any of this happened.

by Qiu_Zhanxuan

3/5/2026 at 4:52:47 AM

That only works if you treat Iran’s proxies as unrelated actors.

Hamas (Oct 7), Hezbollah on the northern border, the Houthis in the Red Sea, Iraqi militias hitting U.S. bases — that’s been Iran’s strategy for decades.

April 2024 may have been the first direct exchange, but the war with Iran’s proxy system was already underway.

by SegfaultSeagull

3/5/2026 at 5:21:34 AM

Hezbollah and Hamas are friendly with Iran but they very much have their own reasons for attacking Israel. Handwaving that as "Iran's proxies" is motivated reasoning.

by nixon_why69